<!--~-|**|PrettyHtmlEndT|**|-~--> *Mo price climbing again...KR From: Go Desk Sent: Tuesday, May 29, 2007 6:28 AM To: Canaccord - Internal Research Distribution Subject: Morning Commodities Summary - Tuesday May 29, 2007 Importance: High
Morning Commodities Summary - Tuesday May 29, 2007
Commodities Table (Figures in USD)
Change Last Gold COMEX +4.60 659.90/ounce Crude Oil NYMEX -1.14 64.06/barrel Natural Gas NYMEX -0.05 7.59/MMBtu AECO C Hub Spot -0.18 6.46/MMBtu Heating Oil NYMEX -0.03 1.91/gallon Silver COMEX +0.08 12.94/ounce Nickel Spot LME +0.82 22.71/lb Tin LME 3-month +0.02 6.30/lb Zinc LME 3-month +0.03 1.65/lb Lead LME 3-month +0.05 1.01/lb Coal Big Sandy +0.00 44.50/tonne Aluminium LME +0.02 1.27/lb Copper COMEX -0.03 3.29/lb Uranium NYMEX +0.00 134.90/lb Molybdenum Oxide +1.50 33.50/lb Cobalt Spot -0.30 29.05/lb Titanium Unprocessed +0.00 2.97/lb Lumber OSB 7x16 -2.00 153.00/1,000 sqft Corn CBOT -0.04 3.73/bushel Wheat CBOT -0.04 4.97/bushel Soybean CBOT -0.04 8.08/bushel Lean Hogs MERC -0.00 0.75/lb Sugar MERC -0.14 9.28/lb
Summary
Crude oil is off $1.14 to $64.06pbl (range is 64.01 to 65.24). Weakness in crude is due to refining capacity coming back on line (Valero plans to restart its 170,000 bopd Sunray, Texas refinery at noon today; the restart will last through 6/1) coupled w/ Nigerian oil workers ending a 2-day strike. Today is the expiration of the June natural gas contract (nat gas is off a 5 cents to $7.59mbtu; July is off a dime to $7.70mbtu). With hurricane season kicking off this week, nat gas weakness is likely to be shortlived (experts at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center are projecting a 75% chance that the Atlantic Hurricane Season will be above normal this year-showing the ongoing active hurricane era remains strong). Heating oil is off 3.23 cents to $1.9068/gal while RBOB gas is off 2.81 cents to $2.3756/gal. July gas cracks are $31.43 (down from $31.84 on Fri). Bloomberg reports Libya, holder of Africa's largest oil reserves, created a special force to protect its petroleum facilities, after terror attacks against such installations in other oil-producing nations (note that today Nigeria's new gov't moves into office amid continued miliant unrest). Refining co Holly Corp (HOC) boosts its regular dividend from 10cents to 12 cents (other refiners may do the same since free cash flow in the sector is in orbit). Chevron (CVX) will spend $2.5 bln on biofuels technology through 2009...
Peru Copper (CUP) announced that the previously reported exclusivity period granted to a third party to facilitate discussions, has expired without reaching any agreement on price or terms (this may weigh on the stock which ran 10% on Friday on speculation a sale was imminent). Copper inventories on the LME fell for the 7th day in a row to levels not seen since late Oct. Chile's Codelco, the largest producer of copper in the world, may face a worker strike by June 9th over wages (note: Codelco mgmt is already trying to nip this in the bud but if a strike occurs you can bet that copper prices will rise considerably; this fear should limit downside for copper prices; copper off 3.2 cents to $3.2880; support lies at $3.2693). Nickel advanced $550 to $46,850 a ton as Canadian nickel miner LionOre Mining said yesterday its forecast output of 44,300 tons this year will be cut by 2.9% due to production delays at the Maggie Hays underground mine in Australia. Gold is up $4.60 to $659.90 an ounce on the COMEX as the euro strenghtens vs the US dollar thus making gold a nice alt investment (a plethora of economic data this week should make gold prices extremely volatile this week; any data that points to the Fed not raising rates should be viewed as bullish for gold prices). Platinum prices hit a 5-week low in London on slowing demand for the new ETF. There are concerns that an ETF for the metal in the U.S. will face a lot of opposition from manufacturers.
Sources: Bloomberg, Briefing.com, Canaccord Adams, Dow Jones, StreetAccount, Ux Weekly, WSJ <!--~-|**|PrettyHtmlStart|**|-~-->__._,_.___ <!-- Start the section with Message In topic --> |