Credit Suisse upgraded Jinko Solar (JKS) to Buy with a $32 target price on $3.58 2014 earnings per share:
Our TP of $32 includes $1.05b from 1x EV to replacement value of capacity and $200m in incremental value from 2013 projects that may be keTP on the balance sheet. Next year, JinkoSolar may build a similar level of projects, contributing additional retained value and/or project sales.
And raised target price for Trina Solar (TSL) to $20, JA Solar (JASO) to $9, YIngli Green Energy (YGE) to $5 and ReneSola (SOL) to $5:
If we give TSL a multiple of 1.4x EV/capacity and the $140m in 2013 project value, we arrive at our TP of $20. We are raising our 2014 EPS from ($1.35) to ($0.88) due to more stability in pricing.
We are increasing our JASO TP to $9, representing 0.7x the replacement value of capacity. We are raising our 2013 EPS from ($1.93) to ($1.84) and 2014 EPS from ($0.97) to $0.07.
Thus far, Yingli has been able to roll over China loans and bonds. The company has bond payments of RMB 1.2b ($196m) due in China in May 2015, RMB 1b ($163m) in Oct 2015, and RMB 1.4b ($230m) in May 2016. Our TP of $5 represents ~1.2x the replacement value of capacity.
Our SOL TP of $5 represents 0.6x the replacement value of capacity. We are trimming our 2014 EPS from ($0.07) to ($0.41) due to increased costs from outsourcing and the higher share count after the equity offering, partially offset by more stable pricing in 2014.
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