habe gerade dazu einen Beitrag zum letzten crash im März gelesen, den Louis James LCC "verpasst" hat und dies so schreibt:
Gold and silver stocks are different: I should have bought more after the crash.
I do consider this a mistake, because I knew it at the time, but didn’t act.
In fact, the title of the March 2020 edition of The Independent Speculator was: “I’m Preparing to Buy.” I wrote then that I planned to buy when the stocks on my Shopping List had rebounded 25%. That seemed like a reasonable measure of the bottom being behind me.
As it turned out, that would have worked out spectacularly well. Unfortunately for me, I didn’t pull the trigger. The 25% rebound happened almost instantly—too soon for me to take seriously.
As readers of this free Digest back then may recall, I just couldn’t believe that the Crash of 2020 was over. Even in April, when the rebound in share prices was showing real strength, it seemed too good to be true. In the April edition of The Independent Speculator, I wrote of my hunch that Wall Street would soon crash again:
If I’m right, I’ll be able to buy some terrific stocks at much lower prices that will greatly increase my returns.
If I’m wrong, I simply won’t buy the stocks I want as cheaply as I hope to—but I’ll still make money in the multiyear bull market for gold and silver that’s just getting started.
Turned out, I was wrong about a second crash—but right that I’d still make money. By early May, I’d started buying the stocks on my Shopping List. As I’d written, they were no longer as cheap, but I still had a great year.
Die sichere Variante hat sich im Nachhinein als fast so erfolgreich erwiesen. Wir sind weiter weg. Für uns ist das Risiko noch größer die richtigen Zeitpunkte abzupassen. Vielleicht ist "der Spatz in der Hand" ja doch keine so schlechte Entscheidung. |
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