Re: wamu Safe Harbor MBS Trusts that were properly securitized Quote from: Dmdmd1 on Yesterday at 11:41:46 AMIMO…my conclusions as of February 09, 2022 @ 1033 CST: 1) Deutch Bank is the trustee for $165 billion worth of MBS Trusts WMI subsidiaries securitized 2) $165 billion x 14.725% (retained beneficial interests in MBS Trusts) = $24,296,250,000 $24,296,250,000 x 13.25% x 13 years = $122,471,767,780.57 WMI Escrow CUSIP Holders’ expected share of MBS Trusts under DB I will tabulate the actual realized distributions of all the MBS Trusts under DB later (hopefully I’ll finish it by the end of the week) « Reply #44 on: Today at 11:44:38 AM » Quote Dmdmd1 IMO...my conclusions as of February 10, 2022 @ 0908 CST:
1) I was only able to tabulate 43 of the 99 MBS Trusts under DB because the information (i.e. "Distribution to Date" was not available on most of the non-Long Beach Mortgage originating entities such Washington Mutual Mortgage Securities Corp.)
2) But I was able to extract and compare the averages of the Long Beach Mortgage originated MBS Trusts vs. three non-Long Beach Mortgage originating entities.
Overall conclusions:
1) The tabulations for the 40 Long Beach Mortgage originated MBS Trusts a) Total Original Face Value = $81,329,775,591.45
b) Total Distribution to Date (as of January 25, 2022) = $79,290,249,534.26
c) Realized Loss to Date = $7,446,339,026.40 / $81,329,775,591.45 = 0.09155 or 9.115% Realized Loss to Date instead of the Duff & Phelps' estimate of 16%
d) ROI to Date (as of January 25, 2022) = $79,290,249,534.26 - $81,329,775,591.45 = (-$2,039,526,057.19) / $81,329,775,591.45 (-$2,039,526,057.19) / $81,329,775,591.45= -0.025 or -2.5% ROI currently
e) Now, if we consider adding in the Credit Default Swap payouts for the Realized Losses : $7,446,339,026.40
$79,290,249,534.26 + $7,446,339,026.40 = $86,736,588,560.66 Total Distributions including the Credit Default payouts
Thus ROI: ($86,736,588,560.66 - $81,329,775,591.45) / $81,329,775,591.45 = $5,405,812,969.21 / $81,329,775,591.45 = 0.06648 or 6.648% ROI Comparison of other non-Long Beach Mortgage entities that originated loans for MBS Trusts
1) I found the "Distribution to Date" data for the three MBS Trusts:
Washington Mutual Mortgage Securities Corp. 2000-1 Washington Mutual Mortgage Securities Corp. 2001-7 WaMu 2007-HE1
a) Total Original Face Value = $9,146,363,676.86
b) Total Distribution to Date (as of January 25, 2022) = $10,084,316,351.96
c) Realized Loss to Date = $281,684,442.06 / $9,146,363,676.86 = 0.030797 or 3.0797% Realized Loss to Date
d) ROI to Date (as of January 25, 2022) = $10,084,316,351.96 - $9,146,363,676.86 = $937,952.10 $937,952.10 / $9,146,363,676.86= 0.1025492 or 10.25492% ROI currently
e) Now, if we consider adding in the Credit Default Swap payouts for the Realized Losses : $281,684,442.06
$10,084,316,351.96 + $281,684,442.06 = $10,366,000,794.02 Total Distributions including the Credit Default payouts
Thus ROI: ($10,366,000,794.02 - $9,146,363,676.86) / $9,146,363,676.86 = $1,219,637,117.16 / $9,146,363,676.86 = 0.133346 or 13.3346% ROI
If we blend the ROI rates of Long Beach Mortgage with the non-Long Beach Mortgage entities:
Long Beach Mortgage : 6.648% ROI x (40/99 MBS Trusts) = 6.648% ROI x .4040 = 2.686%
Non-Long Beach Mortgage entities: 13.3346% ROI x (59/99 MBS Trusts) = 13.3346% ROI x .5959 = 7.9468%
Blended ROI Rate = 2.686% + 7.9468% = 10.6328%
Therefore:
$101.9 billion (WMI retained beneficial interests in MBS Trusts created by WMI subsidiaries from 2000 to 2008)
Blended ROI Rate = 10.6328% assume that we use this rate for all MBS Trusts under DB and all other Trustees
Calculations:
$101.9 billion x 10.6328% x 13 years = $379.022 billion low ball estimate of WMI recoveries (this only accounts for bankruptcy remote non-bank assets such as retained beneficial interests in MBS Trusts which belongs to WMI Escrow CUSIP Holders) |