By Tim Hanson and Brian Richards January 14, 2010 | Comments (6)
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Email Share Print Penny stocks have huge potential -- that's their blessing and their curse.
The potential rewards are enormous. In fact, pennies have been the best performers lately. Over the past 30 days, ADVENTRX Pharmaceuticals (AMEX: ANX), Adeona Pharmaceuticals (AMEX: AEN), and Petroflow Energy (AMEX: PED) are all up more than 110%.
Those quick doubles look like easy gains, considering that Apache (NYSE: APA) and ITT Educational (NYSE: ESI) would need to add $106 and $101, respectively, to their share prices to do the same.
Everybody loves pennies It's the potential of quick gains in "cheap" stocks that keeps investors coming back. We recently typed "penny stocks" into Google, and the search engine spat out more than 10 million hits. We did the same for more time-tested terms such as "blue-chip stocks" and "dividend stocks" and got just over 1 million and 4 million hits, respectively.
Sure, we expected a discrepancy, but the size of the gap was startling. It became even more interesting when we broke down those hits with Google Trends. According to Trends, penny stocks are particularly alluring to investors in Tampa, Miami, and Orlando -- the locales where the term is most often searched.
We hope the folks Googling "penny stocks" down there aren't retirees trying to cope with this crazy, crazy market.
This stock is set to take off! Or not. According to the Securities and Exchange Commission, the term "penny stock" generally refers to low-priced (below $5), speculative securities of very small companies. To quote the SEC: "Investors in penny stocks should be prepared for the possibility that they may lose their whole investment." (It's worth noting that the emphasis in that last sentence is in the original.)
Pay attention to the SEC's entire definition, not just the stock price. Going solely on price would wrongly categorize billion-dollar companies such as Huntington Bancshares (Nasdaq: HBAN) or Chimera Investment (NYSE: CIM) as penny stocks.
Regardless, the SEC is spot-on when it says that true penny stocks are among the surest ways to lose money in the stock market.
Well, then, why do we love penny stocks? We love penny stocks because they're fascinating. The world of pennies is inhabited by hardworking average Joes and Janes hoping to strike it rich, as well as by pumpers and dumpers, hypesters, and scammers. In pennies, the logic and reason that applies in the rest of daily life is replaced by zeal and prayer.
However, we don't love them enough to actually buy them. Yes, they have big potential, but their daily gyrations are unpredictable -- the stock-price movements have next to nothing to do with the underlying company the stock represents. In fact, trading in pennies is highly illiquid, and prices are often manipulated by forces not at all related to the business.
The dangers of incredible promises If you're buying stocks without paying attention to the businesses you're buying, then you might as well be buying a lottery ticket. Or, to use another analogy, you might as well buy up every baseball card of a benchwarmer on the Akron Aeros Class AA baseball team and hope that he someday rises up, fulfills his potential, and becomes an all-star for the big-league Cleveland Indians.
There's a better way Before you start saying the rest of the stock market is boring -- though you're probably not saying that any longer -- let us introduce you to some underfollowed small caps. They're nothing like penny stocks, yet they still offer some of the best returns on the market. Unlike penny stocks, promising small caps:
File reliable financial statements. Are transparent. Have conference calls that individual investors can listen to. Don't simply hype their stock in press releases. That's a starting point. There are more -- and more important -- criteria to help you find great small-cap companies. Our team at Motley Fool Hidden Gems, for instance, looks for a balance sheet with lots of cash and no debt, and a tenured CEO (or founder, if possible) who holds a substantial ownership stake in the business. In other words, we're looking for big returns with good old-fashioned bottom-up analysis.
You can view the 50-plus small caps our team has already found with a free 30-day trial. There's no obligation to subscribe, and we particularly recommend it for the penny-stock-o-philes reading in Florida. You know who you are.
Already a Hidden Gems member? Log in at the top of this page.
This article was originally published July 27, 2006. It has been updated.
Tim Hanson and Brian Richards disagree about whether the U.S. Treasury should do away with the penny ... but the Treasury is probably busy with other issues right now. Neither owns shares of any company mentioned. Google is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers recommendation. The Fool's disclosure policy is finger-lickin' good.
Read/Post Comments (6) | Recommend This Article (8)
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Report this Comment On January 14, 2010, at 3:12 PM, nwaldman89 wrote: you are totally right. really cheap penny stocks generally fluctuate based on traders moods that day, and are not 100%correlated to the businesses that they represent.
Gambling is what you compare it to. But the odds are much better, especially once you get a good feel for the stock. If you have a large enough arsenal of penny stocks to choose from and you watch them all fairly closely it is easy to see when to buy them and when to sell them. I have made just over 30 trades since december with stocks like ANX PED MDU:ca OXGN ETRM and more and i have only lost on a few occasions.
It is hard to compare them to gambling, unless you want to say that the whole market is a gamble.
Report this Comment On January 14, 2010, at 3:23 PM, nwaldman89 wrote: I dont think buying penny stocks is the same as a Gamble. You watch them, you see the range that they trade in and you buy low sell high. Very simple. And sometimes you get lucky! for example i was repetatively buying ANX at 9 or 10 cents and selling at 11,(sometimes twice a day) and then we all know what happened, and now im a happy camper! but i dont think it is fair to say that trading penny stocks is a form of gambling if trading regular stocks is not. It is a skill, not just luck.Although It is a different game then larger scale stocks.
Penny Stock Winners Should Get Respect!!
Report this Comment On January 14, 2010, at 3:48 PM, bittymack wrote: ANX will be $2.00 before you know it. Carl Icahn bought millions and they are likely being bought out:
http://newsblaze.com/story/20100110141726trho.nb/localnews/t...
Report this Comment On January 14, 2010, at 5:03 PM, mouseaggie wrote: NVLT is another great penny stock story:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Novelos-Therapeutics-NVLTOB-iw...
Very likely could double from here before Phase III results come out for Nov-002, and then if successful - $8+
Report this Comment On January 14, 2010, at 7:26 PM, pleazu69 wrote: I agree with you on ANX $2 is an easy target to hit.
Did you see that conference?
There is nothing but good thing ahead for them.
They rose from the ashes like a phoenix. Lol
ANX-530 is going to take a big part of the market
Report this Comment On January 14, 2010, at 8:12 PM, nwaldman89 wrote: so if there is a takeover what will happen to my shares of ANX. Do they just become a different ratio of shares of the company who buys them out?
http://www.fool.com/investing/small-cap/2010/01/...-penny-stocks.aspx |