finde ich die Prüfung der Erwartungen zur Euroentwicklung nicht unwesentlich.Habe gerade einen interessanten Artikel bei bloomberg entdeckt,der mehrheitlich wohl den Euro bis 1,29 bzw sogar 1,40 ansteigen sieht,lediglich CSFB sieht ihn bei 1,17....
wenn dem so wäre dürfte sich Gold wohl auch wieder erholen
Feb. 27 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. dollar will extend its two- year slide against the euro and the yen as the Federal Reserve is expected to keep its key interest rate at a four-decade low, according to traders and strategists surveyed by Bloomberg News.
The dollar will drop to a record $1.2955 per euro at year-end from $1.2378 at 10:13 a.m. in London, the average forecast of the 29 polled between Friday and Wednesday showed. The U.S. currency will fall to 101.03 yen, the weakest since January 2000, according to EBS prices, from 109.02, as Japan's economic growth accelerates, the survey showed.
Zurich-based UBS, the largest trader in the $1.2 trillion a day currency market, and the Bank of New York were the most pessimistic on the dollar versus the euro, predicting the five- year-old currency will end the year at $1.40.
In addition to being upbeat on the dollar versus the euro, CSFB was the most bullish on the dollar against the yen, forecasting the U.S. currency will strengthen to 117.
fragt sich natürlich,was passieren würde wenn wider Erwarten doch der Zins in USA angehoben würde,aber das wird man wohl vor der Wahl nicht riskieren |
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