Table of Companies With Profit, Sales Shortfalls: David Wilson
By David Wilson
Princeton, New Jersey, Oct. 2 (Bloomberg) -- The following table consists of U.S. companies that disclosed last month that earnings and/or sales would fall short of analysts' expectations or their own estimates.
``Current'' refers to the company's latest estimate, while `Previous'' is either an earlier forecast or analysts' average estimate, based on surveys by First Call/Thomson Financial or IBES International Inc.
The percentage difference is based on the midpoint of the current range. When the estimates cover more than one quarter, it's an average for the entire period.
The percentage change is shown for either the day of the announcement or the next trading day, depending on the timing of the company's release. The multiplier is the difference between the second percentage and the first, before rounding.
Earnings Shortfalls
ESTIMATE PCT PCT MULTI-
COMPANY PERIOD CURRENT PREVIOUS DIFF CHG PLIER
Alcoa SepQtr 40-43c 49c - 15 - 5 0.3
Apple Computer SepQtr 30-33c 45c - 30 -52 1.7
ArvinMeritor SepQtr 40-45c 59c - 28 -14 0.5
Campbell Soup (1) OctQtr 44-46c 52c - 13 + 1 N/A
Crown Cork & Seal 2000 80-90c $1.55 - 45 0 N/A
DuPont (2) 2dHalf $1.44-54 $1.60 - 7 -10 1.4
Eastman Kodak SepQtr $1.31-46 $1.60 - 13 -25 1.8
Lexmark Intl SepQtr 45-50c 60c - 24 -28 1.2
DecQtr 55-65c 81c
Litton Indus (3) OctQtr 90c-$1.02 $1.24 - 8 -24 3.0
FY2001 $4.74-98 $5.31
May Dept Stores OctQtr 23-26c 38c - 35 - 6 0.2
Maytag 2dHalf $1.57-60 $1.93 - 18 - 6 0.3
Rockwell Intl SepQtr 78-80c 88c - 15 -20 1.3
FY2001 $3.10-20 $3.76
SCI Systems SepQtr 34c 38c - 11 -20 1.8
Sherwin-Williams SepQtr 66-69c 73c
Sprint PCS (4) SepQtr 45-47c 49c - 6 -19 3.0
Watson Pharma SepQtr 3-5c 48c - 19 -20 1.1
DecQtr 39-41c 54c
2001 $2.38-42 $2.47
Sales Shortfalls
ESTIMATE PCT PCT MULTI
COMPANY PERIOD CURRENT PREVIOUS DIFF CHG PLIER
Apple Computer SepQtr 1.85-1.9B 2.0-2.07B - 8 -52 6.5
Intel SepQtr 8.55-8.72B 9.07B - 5 -22 4.6
Priceline.com SepQtr 340-345M 360-380M - 8 -42 5.6
PSINet (5) 2dHalf 920-960M 1.0B - 6 -19 3.2
SCI Systems SepQtr 2.0B 2.3B - 13 -21 1.6
(1) - Based on company forecast that earnings per share will be 6 cents to 8 cents `` below current published estimates.''
(2) - Company forecast earnings of $2.85 to $2.95 a share for 2000. Second-half range reflects first-half results.
(3) - Quarter ended in October is Litton's fiscal first quarter. Ranges are based on forecasts of a 10 percent to 20 percent drop in first-quarter earnings, and unchanged to 5 percent higher profit in the full year. It earned $1.13 a share in the year-earlier quarter, and $4.74 a share in all of fiscal 2000.
(4) - Also reduced forecast for third-quarter customer growth to 800,000 from 900,000.
(5) - Previous estimate from William Klein, an analyst at Wasserstein Perella Securities. PSINet also said it will need $600 million network to expand a network that hosts Web sites.
Earnings shortfalls at these companies exceeded 50 percent:
ESTIMATE PCT PCT MULTI-
COMPANY PERIOD CURRENT PREVIOUS DIFF CHG PLIER
Goodyear Tire SepQtr Break-even 29c -100 -14 0.1
DecQtr or loss 35c
Informix SepQtr 5-8c loss 2c -350 -10 0.0
UAL SepQtr Loss 97c -100 - 5 0.0
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Quelle: http://quote.bloomberg.com/...hg5hZQVGFibGUg&T=marketsquote99_news.ht
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Mein persönlicher Kommentar:
Auf deutsch läßt sich dieses Geschehen wohl in etwa so beschreiben:
Wir prügeln so lange komplett irrational auf die Unternehmen ein, die es gewagt haben, daß böse, böse Wort auszusprechen. Am besten so lange, daß für die ganze nächste Dekade kein Mensch sich mehr traut in diese Firmen zu investieren.
Ein ziemlich verständnisloser,
redcrx
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