Nachdem in Hongkong Gerüchte laufen dass sina.com vorerst nicht an die Nasdaq kommt,dies auch wegen der offensichtlich kontrollierenden Haltung der Cinabehörden bei Webseiten,hatte die Aktie heute um 14Uhr 40 6% verloren.Ich habe meine Stone eben in Frankfurt verkauft zu 50.Nachlesen könnt Ihr das glaub ich im Tageskommentar von Quamnet.com rechts oben. Zu Founder ist zu sagen,dass das Joint venture mit Yahoo zur Eröffnung eines Portals in China vorerrst zurückgestellt wurde.Ausserdem hat der grösste Anteileigner Mexiko Gold seine Anteile von 55Mn Shares verkauft.Daher der Kursrückgang.Die Aktie wurde zuletzt von Kingsway empfohlen:· Back to the operating level, Founder is expected to break even in 2H99, following a HK$106m loss in 1H99 as a result of cost related to restructuring progress. Hence, the full-year result is expected to remain red and a turnaround will not be seen until FY00. · Founder has a dominant position in the electronic publishing system ("EPS"), with a market share of 80% among Chinese language publishers. The operation is experiencing a bit slowdown in terms of turnover compared to the previous year. However, we expect EPS to grow faster, accompanied with the development of E-media and its application on TV broadcasting. Until now, five TV operators had signed contracts (averaged 3-month) to provide them with editorial system.
· The Japan EPS market fared better in 2H99 after solving out the technical problems during 1H99. The company said that it would consider spinning off its Japanese EPS division on GEM in 1H00. The spin-off plan will further support Founder's price share.
· Its system integration business is expected to record strong compound growth of 65% for the coming two years. The main focus resides on banking industry, with specialty in electronic payment system. The company is optimistic towards the potential growth of the SI business in the PRC.
· Founder's restructuring move is almost completed and we estimate that the provisions against the restructuring should be fully made this year.
Estimated Valuation for its core businesses Business Assumption Value based Value on FY00 sales per share (HK$m) (HK$) Electronic Publishing system 2.0x 1,847 1.75 System Integration 2.0x 1,071 1.02 Hareware 2.0x 2,384 2.26 Total 5,302 5.03
Conclusion Following the anticipated gradual open-up of telecom and Internet market in the PRC, more partnership opportunities are available for Founder with other international IT companies. The EPS has a bright outlook on the back of the future development of E-media and its application on TV broadcasting. The JVs with Yahoo also provide hidden value to Founder, which will not be clearly seen until further details are disclosed. If we predict the value of its core businesses based on 2.0x of FY00 turnover ¡V the level which Legend (0992.HK) is currently trading at, the estimated value per share will be HK$5.03 (excluding the hidden value of Founder-Yahoo JVs). We reiterate our BUY recommendation based on this hidden value.
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