If Apple uses new accounting (I think they will) Apple top line growth will be beyond huge and EPS will be $4.00 t0 $4.25.
This will finally trigger recognition that Aplle will earn $13 to $14 in Calendar 2010 and, net of cash, is selling at an 11 to 12 multiple.
Further, the new accounting will trigger analyst revisions/upgrades in the following 10 days. Some of these will actually start to focus in the iSlate which will add $1.00 to EPS in 2010.
Finally, there is another quirk. According to my reading of the ETIF in October, the new accounting will be only for 'prospective arrangements'. This would mean the current stream of deferred revenue will not be disrupted and will continue to flow through future income statements. This added %1.30 in the Sept 2009 Q and should be about $1.50 for the Dec Q. This would be added to my estimate of 'new accounting results of $4.00 to $4.25 and shock the analsyts with a $5.50 to $5.75 EPS.
Obviously an economic overstatement but would get the spot light on Apple's undervaluation
...so far my personal opinion and estimation. |
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