: Spread zwischen Gold, Silber, Platin, Palladium 08
Grundsätzlich dürfte diese Entwicklung auch in 2009 anhalten. Platin und Palladium werden vorrangig von der industriellen Entwicklung beeinflusst, was auch den steilen Absturz zur Jahresmitte erklärt. Zum Teil trifft dies natürlich auch auf den Goldpreis zu, welcher aber vorrangig als Investment zur Diversifikation und zum Schutz vor Inflation genutzt wird. Deshalb muss einkalkulieret werden, dass sich die Edelmetalle auch in 2009 nicht einheitlich bewegen werden.
: Gold - Wie immer den richtigen Riecher gehabt!
So jetzt ist klar, das es für den Moment nur eine Korrektur im "Abwärtstrend" ist! Solange die große Markierung oben bei 896 nicht genommen wird, sind wir im Abwärtstrend! Nun Luft runter bis 828! Toni machst DU mal ein Update! Danke!
----------- "An der Börse sind 2 + 2 nicht 4, sondern 5 - 1 !" "Papier ist nicht nur geduldig, es brennt auch gut!"
? Russia?s oil production fell by around one percent in 2008, the country's first annual decline in a decade and possibly a sign of things to come. The decline is expected to continue because of aging reserves and plunging oil prices, which combine with heavy taxation to leave producers with limited cash to invest in maintaining production and opening new fields. (1/4, #13) ? Russian crude oil exports increased 10 percent in December after the government lowered duties. (1/2, #12) ? Faced with falling oil prices and a weakening economy, Iran?s President Ahmadinejad presented a plan to Parliament that would scrap energy subsidies, a major change in a country where gasoline is sold for 36 cents/gal. (1/1, #7) ? The Chinese National Petroleum Company started work on a $3 billion oil project in Iraq, the first foreign firm to undertake such work since Saddam Hussein nationalized the industry decades ago. (1/3, #8) ? Iraq has opened nearly 90 percent of its reserves to international oil companies for development in two major bidding rounds this year. The government plans to add 4 to 4.5 million barrels a day to its current 2.4 million b/d of production over the next four to six years. (1/2, #3) (Editor?s note: consider us highly skeptical, for a host of reasons.) ? The number of drilling rigs actively exploring for oil and natural gas in the US dropped by 98 this week to 1,623. A year ago, the rig count stood at 1,774. (1/3, #13) ? More Gulf oil and gas projects may go the way of Kuwait's aborted $17.4 billion deal with Dow Chemical or be renegotiated as states take a hard look at spending amid the global financial crisis and an oil price slump. (1/1, #6) ? Crude oil output in China's Daqing oilfield, China's largest, fell 3.6 percent during 2008 to 804,000 barrels per day. Annual oil output at Daqing has been on the decline for several years after decades of production. Its crude output in 2007 was down 3.7 percent, down 3 percent in 2006. (12/31, #10) ? Vietnam's crude output dropped 5.7 percent --the fourth straight year of declines?because of aging fields, technical problems and bad weather, and 2009 is forecast to be a ``very difficult'' year. Crude exports account for 20 percent of the country's GDP. (12/30, #11) ? Preliminary figures from Venezuela's Energy Ministry suggest their December oil prices will average $32.66/barrel ? nearly half the $60 average used in Venezuela's 2009 budget plan. (1/2, #9) ? The world?s most inexpensive gasoline ? around 15 cents a gallon ?is sold in Venezuela, through a longstanding subsidy program that subsidizes car owners $3,000 each while depriving the oil industry of a large source of funds for reinvesting. (12/30, #9) ? A 50 percent increase in US gasoline and diesel fuel taxes is being urged by a federal commission to finance highway construction and repair until the government devises another way for motorists to pay for using public roads. (1/2, #11) ? The Bush administration resumed buying oil for the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve seeking to fill the reserve to the maximum by year's end. (1/3, #10) ? Early in 2008, Mexico locked in contracts to sell its oil for $70 per barrel. By the end of 2009, its fixed-rate contracts to sell oil at $70 will have expired. (1/1, #10) ? A new rule from the US Securities and Exchange Commission will let oil and natural-gas producers declare probable and possible reserves, a break with a decades-old rule that allowed them only to identify proven reserves. (12/31, #12; 12/30, #13) ? China Datang Corp., the nation's second-biggest power producer, received state permission to build a $659 million wind farm as the government expedites project approvals to spur economic growth. (12/31, #19) ? US oil demand in October was 598,000 barrels per day more than previously estimated and down 833,000 bpd from a year earlier, the Energy Information Administration said on Monday. US oil demand in October was revised up by 3.14 percent from the EIA's early estimate. (12/30, #12) ? A year ago, Gazprom, the Russian natural gas monopoly, aspired to be the largest corporation in the world. Today, Gazprom is deep in debt and negotiating a government bailout. The total value of all the company's shares fell 76 percent during 2008. Instead of becoming the world's largest company, it has tumbled to 35th place. (12/30, #16) ? The outlook for the 2009 hurricane season is not a good one for the Gulf coast from Louisiana to Alabama, according to Weather Research Center in Houston. (1/1, #12)
The impact that declining world oil production will have during the coming year, and possibly longer, is now inextricably intertwined with the course of the economic recession that is sweeping the world. During 2008 the world?s stock markets lost some $30 trillion in investor equity. Nearly every major government was forced to begin massive bailouts of financial institutions and many have started to support failing businesses. The end is not in sight. While many peak oil observers long anticipated that faltering world oil production would lead to much higher oil prices and eventually to an associated economic meltdown, the setbacks of the last year have complicated the situation. While it is clear that worldwide demand for oil has stopped growing and has started to decline in the last six months, it is not yet clear just how fast demand is falling. The sudden drop in oil prices has further complicated the situation by setting off a race between falling prices and slowing economic activity. Nearly all observers are forecasting that the economic situation will get worse for at least the next six months as foreclosures increase, real estate values continue falling, retail downsizes, and unemployment grows. From there on opinions vary. Some believe that the trillions in financial and business bailouts and massive government stimulus spending will stabilize the US and world economy, eventually leading to economic growth. Others believe that spending so much borrowed money will only exacerbate the current situation and that far worse times are ahead. Some peak oil pragmatists look at the US airlines and auto industries as the canaries in the recession?s coal mine. Hit last spring with oil prices too high to work with their business model, plus a recession, the airlines blinked. Virtually all announced major schedule cutbacks. The recession has pushed the Detroit Big Three to near bankruptcy. This year will likely determine their future.
Dickes danke an Toni, muss sagen deine Crude Oil analyse( ein Stand unter 40$ schien mir völlig irre) hat mich als Öl bei 50$ stand, vor nem anständigen Verlust bewahrt, und hat mir nun, einen kleinen aber doch feinen Gewinn beschert.