Nov.16.16 | About: Stroeer Out- (SOTDF)
Turtle Street Capital Long/short equity, independent equity research
•Target Price: €15; Rating: Sell.
Introduction
Ströer SE & CO KGaA (OTC: OTC:SOTDF) with its primary listing in Europe (ETR: SAX) is, according to management, Germany's largest outdoor and online advertiser. Ströer's shares have received a unanimous buy recommendation from analyst who cover the stock. Everyone agrees, except Muddy Waters, which issued a severe warning to investors, in early 2016.
Turtle Street Capital shares some of the concerns in regards to management stewardship. However, this report primarily takes issue with the stock's current valuation, driven by a hopeful outlook for Ströer's business - chiefly online advertising - and management's obsession with growth for growth's sake.
Ströer's current market cap is €2.1 billion and analyst target prices range from €40 to €80. Turtle Street Capital believes only the most optimistic results imply a share price of €40. Optimistic on all fronts: revenue growth, margins, future tax rates, miscellaneous income, cost of capital, and long term growth. We urge investors to take a more careful look. Our analysis points to a significant divergence between expectations, short and long term, and the business reality for Ströer SE & CO KGaA. |