SCHWER-Gewichte in SILBER

Der Chart hat heute 2 MINIMAL-Voraussetzungen zerschossen, die man braucht, um aus PUMP-Bewegungen Schwung- oder Sprung-WEITEN zu errechnen.

ERSTENS: Der Chart ist zwar heute um kurz vor 12 Uhr Lehrbuch-gemäß aus der ERSTEN Phase des Pumpens in die ZWEITE übergegangen, hat in dieser zweiten Phase aber nur einen EINZIGEN Wellen-Berg hingelegt, statt, wie erforderlich, mindestens ZWEI, die zudem möglichst genau auf gleicher HÖHE, also in etwa HORICONTAL, liegen sollten (horicontalistischer Minimalismus).

ZWEITENS: Der Chart hat auch gegen die weitere Bedingung verstoßen, in der ZWEITEN Pump-Phase nicht Nennens-wert unter die Unter-Kante der ERSTEN Pump-Phase zu fallen.

Hiermit ist die BASIS entfallen, aus diesem veränderten Chart Sprung-Weiten abzuleiten oder aufrecht zu halten.

Mit chartistischen Grüßen:
Der olle Teras.

Der MOUNTAIN-Chart jedoch zeigt viel BESSER, dass der in #277 beschriebene FORM-Verstoß bereits kurz vor 16 Uhren erkennbar wurde, und worin dieser fette Form-VERSTOß denn eigentlich LIEGT:

Der Horicontalismus als SOLCHER ist NICHT verletzt worden, wohl aber seine SYMMETRIE: Die eine Welle RUND, die andere SPITZ; von da an war die Figur "verbraten":

Um die weitere PREIS-Entwicklung des Silbers mache ich mir gleichwohl  KEINE  Sorgen; nur hat der momentan etwas erratische Chart derzeit eine Form angenommen, aus der man leider KEINE Punct-genauen Sprung-Marken mehr ableiten kann.

Das stört zwar ohnehin nur die Puristen,
doch will ich gern' zugeben,
dass ich so einer bin.

LG: Teras.

Oder ANDERS gefragt: Wieso wird der JPMorgan-CHASE-Chart ausgerechnet mit dem FREITAG (18.3.2011) beginnend plötzlich so SELTSAM?

VERÄNDERUNGEN oder BEIBEHALTUNGEN der FORM sind Ausnahms-los ALLEN minimalistischen Disciplinen als Analyse-Basis stets hoch willkommen, da die Aufgabe des Minimalismus (nicht nur des chartistischen Minimalismus) ja darin besteht, schon
aus kleinsten Informations-Schnippseln seine Schlüsse zu ziehen...

Und GROßE Veränderungen zeigen sich halt ERFAHRUNGS-gemäß als KLEINE Veränderungen meist zu aller-erst in der FORM:

Und NOCH etwas ist am FREITAG, wenn auch nicht am Freitag (18.3.2011) sondern am jüngst vergangenen Freitag (29.4.2011), höchst SELTSAM wesen:

Gold STEIGT,
während Silber FÄLLT.

Und der U$-Dollar STEIGT,
während der €uro gegen den Dollar GEFALLEN ist.

Wann hat es eine solche Constellation denn jemals gegeben?
Ich bin mir sicher, dass es da irgend einen causalen Zusammenhang gibt.

Nur: WELCHEN?

Die Rätsel-FRAGEN bleiben natürlich auf unserer Watch-List; aber auch actuelle COMMENTARE können mitunter höchst Rätsel-haft sein:

Mittwoch, 27. April 2011, um 18:01
Pan American Silver buy
By Finanzen.net / Aktiencheck.de AG:

"New York (Xetra: A0DKRK - Nachrichten) (aktiencheck.de AG) - Michael S. Dudas, Analyst von Jefferies & Co, stuft die Aktie von Pan American Silver (ISIN: CA6979001089; WKN: 876617) von "hold" auf "buy" hoch.

Das Kursziel werde von 37,00 auf 48,00 USD heraufgesetzt und basiere auf einem 2012er Cash flow-Multiple von 12,5.

Der Silber-Ausblick mit einem erwarteten Preis von 50 USD und einem Durchschnitt von 38 USD sei weiterhin positiv. Zudem habe der Titel in letzter Zeit eine relative Underperformance gezeigt. Dies zusammen führe zu einem günstigeren Chance/Risiko-Profil.

Vor diesem Hintergrund empfehlen die Analysten von Jefferies & Co die Aktie von Pan American Silver nunmehr zum Kauf. (Analyse vom 26.04.11) (27.04.2011/ac/a/a)".

SOURCE / LINK / QUELLE  dieser Empfehlung:
http://de.finance.yahoo.com/nachrichten/...zennet-1057236970.html?x=0

Silver Postings im Euro Forum nerven.  

schau dir doch mal den Threadtitel an.

Ahh Guten Morgen erst mal

Zu #280: Da ich mir auf die auffällige CHART-Verflachung  www.ariva.de/forum/FREITAG-(18.3.2011)-435912?page=11#jumppos280  beim Welt-weit größten Silber-SHORTER JPMorgan CHASE keinen rechten REIM machen konnte, habe ich jetzt (auf Google) einfach den einschlägigen SUCH-String - JP March 18 - bemüht; Ergebnis, aber aus 2010:

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Release No. 61734/ March 18, 2010

Report of Investigation Pursuant to Section 21(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934: JP Morgan Securities, Inc.

By U.S. SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION:

"The Division of Enforcement has investigated whether JP Morgan Securities Inc. ("JPMSI"), a broker-dealer registered with the Commission, violated MSRB Rule G-37 ("Rule G-37"). Rule G-37 prohibits a broker, dealer or municipal securities dealer from, among other things, underwriting municipal bonds for an issuer within two years after the broker, dealer or municipal securities dealer or one of its municipal finance professionals ("MFPs") makes a political contribution to an official of that issuer. JPMSI underwrote municipal bonds issued by the state of California within two years after the Vice Chairman of JPMSI's parent bank holding company, JP Morgan Chase & Co., Inc. ("JP Morgan Chase" or "the Company"), who also led JP Morgan Chase's investment banking business, gave a $1,000 contribution to the Treasurer of the State of California ("California Treasurer"). Although the Vice Chairman of JP Morgan Chase was not a director, officer or employee of JPMSI, he nevertheless was an MFP associated with JPMSI because he functionally supervised JPMSI and served on the executive committee that oversaw JPMSI.

The Commission deems it appropriate and in the public interest to issue this Report of Investigation ("Report") pursuant to Section 21(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 ("Exchange Act")"...

SOURCE / LINK / QUELLE  dieses Ausschnitts:
http://www.sec.gov/litigation/investreport/34-61734.htm

Das 2010er Such-Ergebnis ist zwar nicht gänzlich uninteressant, kann aber die mit dem 18.3.2011 einsetzende, auffällige Chart-Verflachung bei JPMorgan Chase selbst-redend NICHT erklären.

Wir werden also in der Sache noch ein Bisschen weiter herumsuchen müssen, wenn wir Klarheit haben wollen. - Aber vielleicht hilft uns ja irgendwann später irgendein Presse-Artikel...

Schnell noch ein paar U$-Dollares loswerden, den aus denen Einkäufen generierten Handel dann aber später in anderer "Währung" abwickeln:

Wednesday April 27, 2011, 5:34 pm EDT
Emerging firms raise foreign investment to record high: UN
By AFP, sourced from UNCTAD:

"Companies from emerging and developing economies raised their global direct investment abroad to record levels last year, a UN economic think tank said on Wednesday.

"The BRICs are the leaders," said James ZHAN, the director of the investment division at the UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), referring to emerging nations BRAZIL, RUSSIA, INDIA and CHINA.

UNCTAD said in its latest Global Investment Trends monitor that global flows of outward foreign direct investment reached $1.3 trillion in 2010, an increase of 13 percent.

Although it marked the latest stage in a three-year recovery, the amount was still 10 percent below the pre-crisis average and 40 percent short of the 2007 peak for outward foreign direct investment flows.

However, UNCTAD underlined a shift in the pattern of investment abroad with a more dynamic economic recovery in ASIA and LATIN America than in developed WESTERN economies and a strong RUSSIAN corporate presence abroad.

"Outward FDI from developing and transition economies has reached a record high both in absolute terms and as a share of the global total," ZHAN told journalists"...

SOURCE / LINK / QUELLE  dieses Ausschnitts:
http://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/...ise-foreign-afp-16815620.html?x=0

Schlechte Ausgangs-Lage für den AMERO: Ursprünglich war ja geplant, den U$-Dollar in eine seichte Hänge-Matte zwischen einen starken Mexicanischen Peso und einen starken Canadischen Dollar zu betten; doch wenn Letzterer jetzt ebenfalls schwächelt?

On Friday April 29, 2011, 12:49 pm EDT
Economy shrinks unexpectedly in February
Reporting by Louise EGAN and Howaida SOROUR; editing by Peter GALLOWAY:

"OTTAWA (Reuters) - Canada's economy shrank unexpectedly in February, nudging the Canadian dollar lower and reinforcing expectations that the central bank will hold interest rates steady until the second half of this year.

Following two months of robust growth, gross domestic product slid 0.2 percent in February from January, Statistics Canada said on Friday, with the auto sector dragging down manufacturing-production and wholesale-trade figures.

The slump -- the first since September and the largest since May 2009 -- is bad news for the Conservative government as it heads into the May 2 general election. It has been campaigning on its success in boosting economic growth.

The economic performance was worse than any of the 22 analysts surveyed by Reuters had expected. The median forecast was for GDP to remain flat. - "After a strong showing at the turn of the year, Canadian economic momentum has downshifted," said Benjamin REITZES, economist at BMO Capital Markets.

The blip in February may cause markets to pare back their forecasts for first-quarter growth, he said, and raise the possibility that the Bank of Canada will stall on raising interest rates hikes longer than had been thought. - "We anticipate the bank will restart its tightening program in July, though the risk now appears to be toward a later move," REITZES said.

The Canadian dollar immediately weakened after the report to C$0.9515 to the U.S. dollar, or $1.0505, and continued to fall to C$0.9542 an hour later, compared with Thursday's North American finish of C$0.9510 to the U.S. dollar and C$0.95"...

SOURCE / LINK / QUELLE  dieses Ausschnitts:
http://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/...tedly-reuters-3678894136.html?x=0
SOURCE / LINK / QUELLE  anhängter Graphik:
http://www.x-rates.com/d/MXN/USD/graph120.html

Deren 3 Staats-Oberhäupter haben sich ja schon MEHRMALS in Form der TROIKA getroffen, und meist lädt Einer von denen Dreien die beiden Anderen jeweils in sein Land ein; danach ist dann der Nächste dran...

Und bei diesen DREIER-Treffen geht es STETS um weit-reichende HARMONISIERUNG, wie auch um sonstige NORMIERUNGS-Fragen; und hierbei dann auch um die Harmonisierung der "WÄHRUNG"?

Das ist natürlich DIE! Frage, auf die früher oder später ALLE gestoßen werden, die diese seltsamen DREIER-Treffen schon ein wenig länger verfolgen.

ABER: Denen DREIEN geht es ganz officiell DARUM:

August 21, 2007, 11:57 A.M. EDT
President BUSH [of the USA] Participates in Joint Press Availability with
Prime Minister HARPER of CANADA, and President CALDERÓN of MEXICO
By The WHITE House:

"PRIME MINISTER HARPER: (As translated.) Might I, first and foremost, thank all the people here and the citizens of Montebello for giving such a warm Quebec welcome.
You are quite right to be proud of your beautiful Montebello manoir and the area.

As the leaders of the three countries, our discussions between President BUSH and myself were very cordial, constructive. Our three countries maintain peaceful, productive relations and give great contributions to our people. It is part and parcel of our commit-ment to democracy, FREE market, NAFTA, and the EQUALITY of CHANCES to all CITIZES.

This is a unique moment to look at the individual aspects that we could look at and the challenges that we have to face. We agreed to discuss the protection of the CONSUMER and looking at the non-secure products entering the nations, in particular those going to our CHILDREN.

We also recognize the fact to find practical, pragmatic solutions to our mutual environ-mental challenges. Our countries are working to find our own sustainable energy and
to find national STANDARDS on energy efficiency.

Our discussions did not merely deal with North America. We also discussed a number of other international and hemispheric questions: climate change, and to the next meeting of the Middle EAST discussions, where our countries are defending DEMOCRACY and FREEDOM, and protecting the HAVE-nots"...

SOURCE / LINK / QUELLE  dieses Ausschnitts:
http://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/...08/20070821-3.html

Bei denen seltsamen TROIKA-Treffen ginget, gang und gänge es also gar nimmer nicht JEMALS um die officiell als gänzlich phantastisch frei ERFUNDEN eingestufte Ziel-Gestalt des AMERO!

Vielmehr haben die nunmehr schon über JAHRE beharrlich fortgesetzten DREIER-Treffen auschließlich dem einzigen Zwecke gedient, in der geballten KAMPFES-Kraft derer drei geographischen NACHBARN folgende Ziele anzustreben:

To "MAINTAIN peaceful, PRODUCTIVE relations" and to "GIVE great contributions to our PEOPLE", welche 3 Völker von diesem seltsamen Treiben ja schließlich auch den Nutzen haben; zusätzlich darum, das "commitment to democracy", also das BEKENNTNIS zur DEMOKRATIE, ergänzt selbst-redend um das Bekenntnis zu denen "free MARKETS", in Erinnerung zu rufen - und obendrein "the EQUALITY of CHANCES to all CITIZENS" bei dieser Gelegenheit nochmals zu beschwören.

Deshalb hat das Alles mit dem AMERO auch überhaupt rein gar nichts zu tun, sondern vielmehr mit der "protection of the CONSUMER", ganz besonders derer "CHILDREN",
also derer Kinder; geht es bei diesen beharrlichen Dreier-Treffen doch immer nur darum, "DEMOCRACY and FREEDOM" zu verteidigen und die "have-NOTs", also die Habe-Nichtse, gehörig zu schützen...

Und es soll sogar Journalisten geben, die solche faulen Ausreden Tat-sächlich glauben.

Die ganze AMERO-Planung ist schon etwas ÄLTER und hängt unter Anderem damit zusammen, dass der U$-Dollar nicht nur schon seit Jahr-Zehnten nicht mehr als WÄHRUNG  www.ariva.de/forum/KALKÜL-der-Propagandisten-435912?page=7#jumppos176  acceptiert, sondern seit einigen Jahren sogar als bloßes ZAHLUNGS-Mittel immer öfter zurückwiesen wird:

Friday, January 4, 2008
US dollar no longer accepted at Taj Mahal and other Indian historical sites

"Due to the declining value of the United States dollar, tourism officials in India have decided to no longer accept the American currency at the site of the Taj Mahal and 120 other Indian historical sites.

The monument has refused to take dollars since November, as such, any American tourist wishing to visit the white domed marble mausoleum of Mughal emperor Shah Jahan for his wife Mumtaz Mahal will pay over 500 Indian rupees (US$ 12.80 at the current exchange rate) to be allowed in and additionally receive a free bottle of water.

The decision came as a result as part of the continuing decline of the American dollar, falling 11 percent in 2007 and now valued around 39 rupees.

Tourism Minister Ambika Soni told CNN-IBN that it seemed more practical and will save tourists money because "the dollar was weaker against the rupee," Soni added. "Before the dollar lost its value, there was a demand to have (admission tickets) just in rupees."

The Taj Mahal has not accepted American dollars since November 2007".

SOURCE / LINK / QUELLE:
http://en.wikinews.org/wiki/...ahal_and_other_Indian_historical_sites

Doch auch in der Dreier-Allianz USA-Canada-Mexico SELBER sind Tendenzen erkennbar, U$-Dollares nicht um JEDEN Preis als ein hier und da noch brauchbares Zahlungs-Mittel zu acceptieren:

29 August 2010, 17:27
US Dollar not being accepted in Mexico
By DougieMac:

"I was just at Thomson travel agent in Edinburgh to get some US dollars and Mexican Pesos at the best rate. The girl at the counter told me and showed me their internal e-mail that as from the 13th September US dollars would NO LONGER be accepted in most retail outlets bars and restaurants. The departure tax would have to be paid in Pesos, Euro or Pounds sterling. Apparently it was in the news (I am still searching).

Does anybody else or local expert know anything about this. - We are flying out on 15th September from Manchester and it isnt a huge problem for me but I would like to know".

SOURCE / LINK / QUELLE:
http://www.tripadvisor.co.uk/...aya_del_Carmen_Yucatan_Peninsula.html

Tuesday, June 15, 2010 - 12:05
MEXICO Sets CASH Transaction LIMITS in DOLLARS
By Nacha CATTAN:

"MEXICO CITY (MNI) - Mexico Finance Minister Ernesto CORDERO Tuesday announced new policies to limit cash transactions in dollars to $4,000 per month for account holders in an effort to prevent the flow of money from criminal sources.

The new regulations apply only to cash transactions that involve exchanges from dollars INTO [!] pesos, including deposits, credit payments, and service fees, CORDERO said at a press conference.

"For many years Mexico's banking system has been receiving a quantity in cash greater than could be explained by the activities and dynamic of Mexico's economy," CORDERO said.

About $10 BILLION [!] in excess cash flows through the system each year, he said.

These measures will prevent money laundering [=Geld-Wäsche] and should have little effect on households, TOURISTS and remittance flows, as they rarely EXCEED the new DOLLAR transaction LIMIT, Cordero said. He added that the rules are consistent with measures taken by OTHER countries to curb money laundering

The rules for businesses will go into effect 90 days after they are published Wednesday, CORDERO said.

Banking institutions will have no restrictions SELLING dollars in cash, or on any non-cash dollar transactions, he said"...

SOURCE / LINK / QUELLE  dieses Ausschnitts aus der officiellen Begründung:
http://imarketnews.com/node/15013

Friday, April 29, 2011 - 15:10
US T[rea]s[ur]y Proposes FX Swaps/F[or]w[ar]ds EXEMPTION from Central Clearing
By Denny GULINO:

"WASHINGTON (MNI) - The TREASURY Department Friday announced that, as expected,
it is proposing to exempt the $30 trillion foreign exchange swaps and forwards market from central clearing and exchange trading requirements that will apply to the OTHER 95% of over-the-counter derivatives transactions.

Rather than formally telling the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission of the exemption immediately, as allowed under the Dodd-Frank law, the Department is calling for another 30 days of comments and, officials said, not speculating as to whether any final modifications could be applied because of those comments.

Treasury had already gathered 60 days worth of comments, assumed to reflect solid opposition to clearing and exchange trading from the international banks that use foreign exchange swaps and forwards as a routine transactional tool.

In settling on the proposed exemption, Treasury officials said there are clear distinctions between the dangers to the financial system posed by derivatives in general, and the relative safety of the narrow slice represented by FX swaps and forwards that companies and investors use to protect themselves from currency volatility"...

SOURCE / LINK / QUELLE  dieses Ausschnitts:
http://imarketnews.com/?q=node/30107

Gut getimed; das muss man Denen wirklich lassen:

Die CARDINAL-Frage bleibt natürlich, ob das VOLUMEN in der künstlich erzeugten
Delle für JPMorgan Chase ausreichen wird, ihre SHORTS auf LONG umzuswitchen.

Der in denen Vereinigten Staaten von America ANGEKÜNDIGTE http://www.ariva.de/_t435912?pnr=10416390#jump10416390
www.ariva.de/forum/Und-jetzt-dies-435912?page=11#jumppos295  
und an der New York Globex VOLLSTRECKTE Silver-DIVER macht
natürlich nur DANN seinen Sinn, wenn das VOLUMEN Tat-sächlich
AUSREICHT:

Timothy GEITHNER's Entscheidung, die ForEx FORWARDS und ForEx SWAPS aus dem mandatory CLEARING zu "exempten" (=heraus zu nehmen), wird auch von Teilen der PRESSE kritisch gesehen:

Published: April 30, 2011
Mr. Geithner’s Loophole

"Until recently, the big threats to the Dodd-Frank financial reform law came from Republican lawmakers, who have vowed to derail it, and from banks and their lobbyists, who are determined to retain the status quo that enriched them so well in the years before, and since, the financial crisis. Now, the OBAMA Treasury Department has joined their ranks.

In an announcement on Friday afternoon — the time slot FAVORED by officials eager to avoid SCRUTINY — the Treasury Department said it intends to exempt certain foreign exchange derivatives from key new regulations under the Dodd-Frank law. These derivatives represent a $4 trillion-a-day market, one that is very lucrative for the big banks that trade them.

A LOOPHOLE in the law — which the bankers and their friends, INCLUDING the administration, FOUGHT for — allows the Treasury secretary to exempt the instruments. The arguments in favor of exemption, beyond a desire to please the banks, were always UNCONVINCING. They still ARE. The Treasury Department has asserted that the exempted market is not AS risky as OTHER derivatives markets, and therefore does not need full regulation.

That claim has been disputed by research, but even if it WERE true, it would be a WEAK argument. For instruments to be RELATIVELY safer than the derivatives that blew up in the crisis, necessitating huge bailouts, hardly makes them SAFE. Worse, dealers could probably find ways to manipulate the exempted transactions so as to hedge and speculate in ways that the law is intended to REGULATE"...

SOURCE / LINK / QUELLE  dieses Ausschnitts:
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/01/opinion/01sun2.html

Ich gierhals halte noch richtig dick optionsscheine weil ich dachte wir kratzen die 50 noch mal an die Tage... Dabei stand ich jeweils schon bei mehr als 150%! Ne ne ne... Wie sieht denn deine Prognose aus? Danke und LG