....Autohome reported its first earnings yesterday – and thank goodness it beat consensus estimates. Fourth-quarter revenue came in at 386 million yuan, higher than the consensus estimate of 353 million yuan. Earnings per share was RMB 1.26 versus the street’s RMB 1.03. Autohome guided first-quarter revenue to RMB 318-332 million, 3% ahead of the street at the midpoint.
Piper Jaffray analysts Gene Munster and Douglas J. Clinton believe Autohome is in a sweet spot in China right now: We continue to believe that Autohome controlled around 25% share of total automotive online media last year and we expect the company can expand their share of online auto media based on our belief that the company has about 50% share of time spent with automotive media online.
The company noted an iResearch study that showed the auto industry in China currently allocates about 20% of total ad budgets to online vs about 40% in the US. We believe that historically the US has been a leading indicator of where China goes in terms of online advertising, thus we believe that Chinese online ad budgets have the potential to double.
However, Piper Jaffray maintains a Hold rating and $38 price target.
Deutsche Bank analysts Vivian Hao and Alan Hellawell III raised their price target by 12% to $38, raising both their estimates and multiples:....But they maintained a Hold rating too, “on valuation ground.” In other words, Autohome is not cheap. One quarterly earnings beat after an IPO is not enough to deserve another share jump. After all, a 77% debut pop is already a huge vote of confidence from investors.
blogs.barrons.com/emergingmarketsdaily/2014/02/25/autohome-first-post-ipo-earnings-beat-analysts-maintain-hold/? |