Biokrafftstoffe: Der neue Boommarkt

Wie angekündigt, möchten wir Ihnen heute einige Unternehmen vorstellen, die alternative Treibstoffe in Form von Biodiesel ( Rapsöl ) und Ethanol (Getreide / Zuckerrüben ) herstellen.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /> 

Weltweites Umdenken in der Politik 

Besonders seit der Rede des amerikanischen Präsidenten G.W. Bush vom 1. Februar 2006 hat die Aufmerksamkeit an Produzenten alternativer Energien stark zugenommen. Bush forderte in seiner Rede die Erforschung alternativer Treibstoffe, um Ethanol aus Holz und Getreide zu gewinnen. «Unser Ziel ist es, diese Art von Ethanol innerhalb von sechs Jahren zum Einsatz zu bringen», so Bush. Damit solle das großes Ziel, mehr als 75 Prozent der Ölimporte aus dem Nahen Osten bis 2025 zu ersetzen, erreicht werden. 

Aber auch in Deutschland kündigte Umweltminister Sigmar Gabriel bereits Ende November eine Pflicht zur Beimischung von Biokraftstoffen zu Kfz-Treibstoffen an. Diese Pflicht wurde später auch zum Bestandteil des schwarz-roten Koalitionsvertrages. Darin wurde auch festgehalten, dass vor allem die heimische Produktion den Kraftstoff liefern solle. In einem Gespräch zwischen Bundesumweltminister Gabriel und Vertretern des Verbands der Automobilindustrie vor knapp einer Woche wurde vereinbart, kurzfristig die Beimischung deutlich auf 10 Prozent zu erhöhen. 

Vor zwei Wochen veröffentlichte die EU-Kommission eine Strategie zur Förderung von Biodiesel und Bioethanol, die bis 2010 ein zwingende Zielvorgaben für Biokraftstoffanteile in den 25 EU-Ländern vorsieht.

Während bei Biodiesel die EU weltweit der größte Produzent ist, muss Bioethanol aus dem Ausland importiert werden, vor allem aus Brasilien und den USA. Die beiden Weltmarktführer bei Bioethanol produzieren etwa das Fünffache des EU-Volumens pro Jahr.

Wie man sieht, stellen Unternehmen dieses Sektors aktuell und weiterhin ein attraktives Investment für den Anleger dar. Bei der Nachfrage nach Biodiesel sehen Branchenexperten jährliche Zuwachsraten von ca. 25 %.
 

Biopetrol Industries AG
 

Biopetrol AG http://www.biopetrol.de/
ISIN	CH0023225938
Kürzel:	B2I
Kurs	13,95 €

<?xml:namespace prefix = v ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:vml" /><?xml:namespace prefix = w ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:word" />Unser Favorit auf dem deutschen Parkett ist Biopetrol Industries AG. Mit dem Börsengang vom 21.11.2005 zum Ausgabekurs von 8,20 € wurden netto rund 57 Mio. Euro erlöst. Damit solle die Produktion innerhalb von zwei Jahren insgesamt verfünffacht werden. Biopetrol plant den Aufstieg unter die fünf größten europäischen Biodieselhersteller. Unter Berücksichtigung der eigenen Vorgaben wird schon über einen möglichen Wechsel vom Freiverkehr in den TecDax spekuliert. Beim Tochterunternehmen Biopetrol Schwarzheide GmbH (Oberspreewald Lausitz) werden derzeit 150.000 Tonnen Biodiesel sowie 30.000 Tonnen Pharmaglycerin von pro Jahr hergestellt. Am 1. Februar 2006 wurde mit der Umsetzung der ambitionierten Expansion begonnen. Biopetrol legte den Grundstein für ein neues Biodiesel-Werk in Rostock. Nach der Fertigstellung wird die Jahreskapazität zunächst bei 150.000 Tonnen Biodiesel (ab Mitte 2007 200.000 Tonnen) und 15.000 Tonnen des Koppelproduktes Glyzerin liegen. 

Derzeit hat Biopetrol eine Marktkapitalisierung von 500 Mio. Euro bei rund 37 Mio. ausgegebenen Aktien. Der Freefloat beträgt lediglich 24,3 %. Unseren <?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = ST1 />Informationen zu Folge wird für 2006 ein Umsatz über 150 Mio. Euro erwartet, das EBIT soll sich sogar auf mehr als 12 Mio. Euro verdoppeln. Bis 2008 wird eine weitere Umsatzverdoppelung auf 310 Mio. Euro erwartet, das EBIT soll überproportional auf über 50 Mio. Euro ansteigen.

Chart

Der Chart zeigt einen seit Jahresbeginn intakten Aufwärtstrend, der Kurs konnte seitdem von 9,20 auf mittlerweile 13,95 Euro um über 50% auf ein neues ATH zulegen. Wir gehen zukünftig von einer konstanten Aufwärtsbewegung aus, und empfehlen die Aktie in einem Bereich von 13,50 bis 13,80 Euro zum Kauf mit einem vorläufigen Kursziel von 18,00 €.

Weitere in Deutschland gelistete Unternehmen sind der Marktführer Oelmühle Hamburg AG ( ISIN DE0007269003; Kurs 509,00 € ) sowie EOP Biodiesel ( ISIN DE000A0DP374; Kurs 12,75 € ), die uns allerdings nicht ganz so aussichtsreich wie Biopetrol erscheinen.

Gea Group AG
 

Gea Group AG http://www.geagroup.com/de/
ISIN	DE0006602006
Kürzel:	G1A
akt. Kurs	13,90 €

Neben reinen Biodiesel Produzenten möchten wir Ihnen den deutschen Mischkonzern Gea Group vorstellen. Die GEA Group AG notiert im MDAX und ist ein internationaler Mischkonzern, dessen Geschäftstätigkeit hautsächlich im Spezialmaschinenbau und dem Anlagenbau ist. Mit einem Jahresumsatz von über 4 Milliarden Euro und mehr als 17.000 Mitarbeitern zählt die Gea Group in ihren Geschäftsfelder zählt die GEA Group zu den Markt- und Technologieführern. So baut die Tochter Lentjes GmbH unter anderem Rauchgasentschwefelungsanlagen, die Energietechnik-Division Trocken- und Nasskühlsysteme und aus unserer Sicht die Sparte mit den besten Zukunftsaussichten, die Tochter Lurgi UK, London, errichtet Anlagen zur Produktion von Biodiesel und Bioethanol. Lurgi rechnet nach eigenen Angaben mit Investitionsvolumen von 3 Mrd. Euro für Biodiesel- und Bioethanolanlagen. Global seien sogar 6 bis 8 Mrd. Euro zu erwarten. 

Mit einem Marktanteil im Bereich Biodiesel von 70% und 60% im Bereich Bioethanolanlagen ist Lurgi Weltmarktführer. So sind derzeit in Australien und den USA zwei Anlagen im Bau, die zu den größten Biodiesel-Anlagen der Welt gehören werden. Lurgi hat innovative und hocheffiziente chemische Verfahren entwickelt, mit denen Biodiesel und Bioethanol aus nachwachsenden Rohstoffen produziert werden.

Angesichts der Dynamik des Sektors Bioenergien und der dadurch zwangsläufig steigenden Nachfrage an hocheffizienten Anlagen zählen wir die Gea Group zu den Unternehmen, die außer den reinen Produzenten am stärksten von der gerade erst begonnenen Entwicklung profitieren. Wir sehen auf die Sicht von 12 Monaten ein Kursziel von 22 €.

PACIFIC ETHANOL INC
 

PACIFIC ETHANOL INC. http://www.pacificethanol.net/
ISIN	US69423U1079
Kürzel USA:	PEIX
Kürzel D:	FPRA
akt. Kurs	17,99 US$

Auf dem amerikanischen Markt agieren zahlreiche Unternehmen, vor allem Ethanol-Hersteller. Pacific Ethanol Inc. betreibt zwar derzeit noch keine eigenen Produktionsanlagen, allerdings wird sich dies ab dem 4. Quartal 2006 ändern. Die Finanzierung des 34 Mio. US$ Bauprojektes wurde Ende Januar erfolgreich abgeschlossen. Aus dem Handel mit Ethanol konnten im dritten Quartal 2005 26,4 Mio. US$ erlöst werden, für das Gesamtjahr 2005 werden 125 Mio. US$ erwartet. Mit der Inbetriebnahme der Produktionsanlage werden bereits erste Effekte auf Umsatz und Ergebnis für das Jahr 2006 erwartet. Bei einer Marktkapitalisierung von knapp 500 Mio. US$ ist das Unternehmen allerdings kein Schnäppchen. 

Für reichlich Fantasie sorgt allerdings immer noch eine Meldung vom 17. November 2005. Damals gab das Investmenthaus Cascade Investment seine Beteiligung an Pacific Ethanol mit 84 Mio. US$ bekannt. Damit wird die Finanzierung weiterer fünf Produktionsanlagen sichergestellt, um die Vision des Marktführers im Westen der USA zu realisieren. Der Eigentümer der Cascade Investment ist aber kein Geringerer als Microsoft-Gründer Bill Gates, der damit 27% an Pacific Ethanol erworben hat. Der Pioniergeist Gates kann mitunter als eines der positivsten Aussichten für das Unternehmen bewertet werden. Unser erstes Kursziel setzen wir bei 21 US$ an.

Chart:

Wie angekündigt, möchten wir Ihnen heute einige Unternehmen vorstellen, die alternative Treibstoffe in Form von Biodiesel ( Rapsöl ) und Ethanol (Getreide / Zuckerrüben ) herstellen. 

Weltweites Umdenken in der Politik 

Besonders seit der Rede des amerikanischen Präsidenten G.W. Bush vom 1. Februar 2006 hat die Aufmerksamkeit an Produzenten alternativer Energien stark zugenommen. Bush forderte in seiner Rede die Erforschung alternativer Treibstoffe, um Ethanol aus Holz und Getreide zu gewinnen. «Unser Ziel ist es, diese Art von Ethanol innerhalb von sechs Jahren zum Einsatz zu bringen», so Bush. Damit solle das großes Ziel, mehr als 75 Prozent der Ölimporte aus dem Nahen Osten bis 2025 zu ersetzen, erreicht werden. 

Aber auch in Deutschland kündigte Umweltminister Sigmar Gabriel bereits Ende November eine Pflicht zur Beimischung von Biokraftstoffen zu Kfz-Treibstoffen an. Diese Pflicht wurde später auch zum Bestandteil des schwarz-roten Koalitionsvertrages. Darin wurde auch festgehalten, dass vor allem die heimische Produktion den Kraftstoff liefern solle. In einem Gespräch zwischen Bundesumweltminister Gabriel und Vertretern des Verbands der Automobilindustrie vor knapp einer Woche wurde vereinbart, kurzfristig die Beimischung deutlich auf 10 Prozent zu erhöhen. 

Vor zwei Wochen veröffentlichte die EU-Kommission eine Strategie zur Förderung von Biodiesel und Bioethanol, die bis 2010 ein zwingende Zielvorgaben für Biokraftstoffanteile in den 25 EU-Ländern vorsieht.

Während bei Biodiesel die EU weltweit der größte Produzent ist, muss Bioethanol aus dem Ausland importiert werden, vor allem aus Brasilien und den USA. Die beiden Weltmarktführer bei Bioethanol produzieren etwa das Fünffache des EU-Volumens pro Jahr.

Wie man sieht, stellen Unternehmen dieses Sektors aktuell und weiterhin ein attraktives Investment für den Anleger dar. Bei der Nachfrage nach Biodiesel sehen Branchenexperten jährliche Zuwachsraten von ca. 25 %.
 

Biopetrol Industries AG
 

Biopetrol AG http://www.biopetrol.de/
ISIN	CH0023225938
Kürzel:	B2I
Kurs	13,95 €

Unser Favorit auf dem deutschen Parkett ist Biopetrol Industries AG. Mit dem Börsengang vom 21.11.2005 zum Ausgabekurs von 8,20 € wurden netto rund 57 Mio. Euro erlöst. Damit solle die Produktion innerhalb von zwei Jahren insgesamt verfünffacht werden. Biopetrol plant den Aufstieg unter die fünf größten europäischen Biodieselhersteller. Unter Berücksichtigung der eigenen Vorgaben wird schon über einen möglichen Wechsel vom Freiverkehr in den TecDax spekuliert. Beim Tochterunternehmen Biopetrol Schwarzheide GmbH (Oberspreewald Lausitz) werden derzeit 150.000 Tonnen Biodiesel sowie 30.000 Tonnen Pharmaglycerin von pro Jahr hergestellt. Am 1. Februar 2006 wurde mit der Umsetzung der ambitionierten Expansion begonnen. Biopetrol legte den Grundstein für ein neues Biodiesel-Werk in Rostock. Nach der Fertigstellung wird die Jahreskapazität zunächst bei 150.000 Tonnen Biodiesel (ab Mitte 2007 200.000 Tonnen) und 15.000 Tonnen des Koppelproduktes Glyzerin liegen. 

Derzeit hat Biopetrol eine Marktkapitalisierung von 500 Mio. Euro bei rund 37 Mio. ausgegebenen Aktien. Der Freefloat beträgt lediglich 24,3 %. Unseren Informationen zu Folge wird für 2006 ein Umsatz über 150 Mio. Euro erwartet, das EBIT soll sich sogar auf mehr als 12 Mio. Euro verdoppeln. Bis 2008 wird eine weitere Umsatzverdoppelung auf 310 Mio. Euro erwartet, das EBIT soll überproportional auf über 50 Mio. Euro ansteigen.

Chart

Der Chart zeigt einen seit Jahresbeginn intakten Aufwärtstrend, der Kurs konnte seitdem von 9,20 auf mittlerweile 13,95 Euro um über 50% auf ein neues ATH zulegen. Wir gehen zukünftig von einer konstanten Aufwärtsbewegung aus, und empfehlen die Aktie in einem Bereich von 13,50 bis 13,80 Euro zum Kauf mit einem vorläufigen Kursziel von 18,00 €.

Weitere in Deutschland gelistete Unternehmen sind der Marktführer Oelmühle Hamburg AG ( ISIN DE0007269003; Kurs 509,00 € ) sowie EOP Biodiesel ( ISIN DE000A0DP374; Kurs 12,75 € ), die uns allerdings nicht ganz so aussichtsreich wie Biopetrol erscheinen.

Gea Group AG
 

Gea Group AG http://www.geagroup.com/de/
ISIN	DE0006602006
Kürzel:	G1A
akt. Kurs	13,90 €

Neben reinen Biodiesel Produzenten möchten wir Ihnen den deutschen Mischkonzern Gea Group vorstellen. Die GEA Group AG notiert im MDAX und ist ein internationaler Mischkonzern, dessen Geschäftstätigkeit hautsächlich im Spezialmaschinenbau und dem Anlagenbau ist. Mit einem Jahresumsatz von über 4 Milliarden Euro und mehr als 17.000 Mitarbeitern zählt die Gea Group in ihren Geschäftsfelder zählt die GEA Group zu den Markt- und Technologieführern. So baut die Tochter Lentjes GmbH unter anderem Rauchgasentschwefelungsanlagen, die Energietechnik-Division Trocken- und Nasskühlsysteme und aus unserer Sicht die Sparte mit den besten Zukunftsaussichten, die Tochter Lurgi UK, London, errichtet Anlagen zur Produktion von Biodiesel und Bioethanol. Lurgi rechnet nach eigenen Angaben mit Investitionsvolumen von 3 Mrd. Euro für Biodiesel- und Bioethanolanlagen. Global seien sogar 6 bis 8 Mrd. Euro zu erwarten. 

Mit einem Marktanteil im Bereich Biodiesel von 70% und 60% im Bereich Bioethanolanlagen ist Lurgi Weltmarktführer. So sind derzeit in Australien und den USA zwei Anlagen im Bau, die zu den größten Biodiesel-Anlagen der Welt gehören werden. Lurgi hat innovative und hocheffiziente chemische Verfahren entwickelt, mit denen Biodiesel und Bioethanol aus nachwachsenden Rohstoffen produziert werden.

Angesichts der Dynamik des Sektors Bioenergien und der dadurch zwangsläufig steigenden Nachfrage an hocheffizienten Anlagen zählen wir die Gea Group zu den Unternehmen, die außer den reinen Produzenten am stärksten von der gerade erst begonnenen Entwicklung profitieren. Wir sehen auf die Sicht von 12 Monaten ein Kursziel von 22 €.

PACIFIC ETHANOL INC
 

PACIFIC ETHANOL INC. http://www.pacificethanol.net/
ISIN	US69423U1079
Kürzel USA:	PEIX
Kürzel D:	FPRA
akt. Kurs	17,99 US$

Auf dem amerikanischen Markt agieren zahlreiche Unternehmen, vor allem Ethanol-Hersteller. Pacific Ethanol Inc. betreibt zwar derzeit noch keine eigenen Produktionsanlagen, allerdings wird sich dies ab dem 4. Quartal 2006 ändern. Die Finanzierung des 34 Mio. US$ Bauprojektes wurde Ende Januar erfolgreich abgeschlossen. Aus dem Handel mit Ethanol konnten im dritten Quartal 2005 26,4 Mio. US$ erlöst werden, für das Gesamtjahr 2005 werden 125 Mio. US$ erwartet. Mit der Inbetriebnahme der Produktionsanlage werden bereits erste Effekte auf Umsatz und Ergebnis für das Jahr 2006 erwartet. Bei einer Marktkapitalisierung von knapp 500 Mio. US$ ist das Unternehmen allerdings kein Schnäppchen. 

Für reichlich Fantasie sorgt allerdings immer noch eine Meldung vom 17. November 2005. Damals gab das Investmenthaus Cascade Investment seine Beteiligung an Pacific Ethanol mit 84 Mio. US$ bekannt. Damit wird die Finanzierung weiterer fünf Produktionsanlagen sichergestellt, um die Vision des Marktführers im Westen der USA zu realisieren. Der Eigentümer der Cascade Investment ist aber kein Geringerer als Microsoft-Gründer Bill Gates, der damit 27% an Pacific Ethanol erworben hat. Der Pioniergeist Gates kann mitunter als eines der positivsten Aussichten für das Unternehmen bewertet werden. Unser erstes Kursziel setzen wir bei 21 US$ an.

Chart:

 

GreenShift Corp. <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

GreenShift Corporation http://www.greenshift.com
ISIN	US39571R1077
Kürzel US:	GSHF
Kürzel D:	TMVA.FSE
akt. Kurs	0,103 US$

<?xml:namespace prefix = v ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:vml" /><?xml:namespace prefix = w ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:word" />Unser Topfavorit in den USA ist GreenShift Corp., die seit dem 1. April 2005 an der OTCBB als so genannte Business Development Company (BDC) gehandelt wird. BDCs bieten kleineren und mittleren Unternehmen ein Umfeld, sich durch Investments von privaten und öffentlichen Anlegern sowie durch Venture Capital von Finanzinstitutionen auf eine sichere finanzielle Basis zu stellen. Durch Anwendung verschiedener finanzwirtschaftlicher Instrumente kann sich eine BDC dann auf seine Geschäftstätigkeit konzentrieren. Ohne dies bekämen junge Unternehmen nur begrenzt Zugang zu strategischen Investmentkapital und anderen Ressourcen zur weiteren Unternehmensentwicklung. Gleichzeitig bietet eine BDC einen Rahmen für Investoren, eine angemessene Verzinsung des eingesetzten Kapitals zu erzielen. Dies erfolgt durch vierteljährliche Auszahlung des zu versteuernden Ergebnisses in Form von Dividenden. 

GreenShift hat sich ganz und gar dem Umweltgedanken verschrieben und ist als ein diversifiziertes Portfolio von Umweltunternehmen aufgestellt. Unseren Recherchen nach sind dies die derzeit wichtigsten Beteiligungen: 

Ø       Veridium Corporation 

GreenShift hält 65 % der Anteile an Veridium (VRDM). Der Kurs von Veridium konnte in den letzten Tagen in den USA deutlich zulegen und ist derzeit die interessanteste GreenShift Beteiligung. 

Am 21. Februar vermeldete Veridium einen Auftrag von Glacial Lakes Energy, LLC zur Nutzung des patentierten Corn Oil Extraction System(TM). Diese neue Technologie ermöglicht eine Steigerung des gewonnenen Ehtanols aus Getreide um 50% und mehr. Die Erlöse werden dabei indirect durch langfristige Beschaffungsverträge mit dem Auftraggeber erzielt, der Veridium die Abnahme von Ethanol mit einem zum Marktpreis festen Preisabschlag zusagt. Der Weiterverkauf des Ethanols wird jährlich etwa 1,4 Mio. Dollar zusätzliche Einnahmen bringen. Entscheidend bei der neuartigen Technologie ist deutlich erhöhte Effizienz bei der Ethanolerzeugung, die reduzierten Kapitalkosten des Systems und der deutlich geringeren Herstellungskosten insgesamt je Gallone Ethanol. 

Am 13. Februar verkündete Veridium eine Innovation bei der Distribution von Biotreibstoffen. Endverbraucher der von Veridium bezogenen Treibstoffe werden dadurch von Steuerdarlehen, die die US Regierung den Herstellern von Biotreibstoffen gewährt, mit profitieren. Ziel sei es, die Vertriebsstruktur weiter auszubauen und Biotreibstoffe für den Verbraucher attraktiver zu machen, bei der freien Wahl des Ethanolanteils im Treibstoff (0% bis 99%). Ermöglicht wird dies durch ein patentiertes Zapfsäulensystem und die Zusammenarbeit mit Mean Green BioFuels Corporation. 

Ø       Mean Green BioFuels 

Mean Green bildet zusammen mit Greenshift ein Joint Venture und wurde Mitte 2005 gegründet. In einem Brief an die Aktionäre Anfang des Jahres bekräftigte David Cantrell (CEO) noch einmal, zwei der fünf bis Ende 2007 geplanten Biodiesel Produktionsanlagen in diesem Jahr zu errichten, jeweils mit einer Kapazität von 30 Mio. Gallonen pro Jahr. Dabei werde von Beginn an das Corn Oil Extraction System(TM) von Veridium eingesetzt. Neben der Produktion sollen bestehende Technologien weiterentwickelt und neue erforscht werden. 

» GreenWorks Corporation

 » Ethanol Oil Recovery Systems, Inc

» GreenShift Industrial Design Corporation

» Coriolis Energy Corporation

» TDS Telemedicine, Inc.

» Sterling Planet, Inc.
 

Auf Grund der mit ca. 8 Mio. Dollar äußerst geringen Marktkapitalisierung, des BDC Modells, der aussichtsreichen Story des Konzernportfolios, des anhaltend guten Newsflow und vor allem der einzigartigen innovativen Technologie in Herstellung und Vertrieb empfehlen wir die Aktien der Konzernmutter GreenShift Corp. und der Konzerntochter Veridium Corp.zum Kauf. Ein weiteres Kaufargument ist die Tatsache, dass ein wesentlicher Teil der ausgegebenen Aktien in festen Händen ist. 

Derzeit bietet die GreenShift Aktie ein äußerst attraktives Einstiegsniveau, zu dem man sich auch am deutschen Parkett positionieren kann. Wir gehen von einer überaus positiven Kursentwicklung aus. Unser erstes Kursziel sehen wir bei 0,15 US$.

 

Aus investorallerts heute

 

 

unsere regierung plan den wegfall der steuererleichterung für biokraftstoffe. des weiteren soll die einspeisevergütung wegfallen 6c/kwh. dies erschwert natürlich die markteinführung erheblich. schade eigendlich, weil ich denke, dass biokraftstoff in verbindung mit bhkws eine wirklich gute sache ist. die bauern können etwas dazuverdienen und sind nicht mehr auf subventionen angewiesen, der umwelt und den anlagenbauern tuts gut. WINWINWIN-Situation.

Schaun mer mal was noch so passiert

gruss
spekulazius  

 

 

Dear reader:

Thursday's Wall Street Journal says it all:



Bullish? You bet.

Every ethanol stock we own is up substantially. One cellulose company... a stock I initiated a trade on 7 weeks ago... has gone from our buy price of $5.09 to over $13 a couple days ago.

But I just found my latest blockbuster. It's a tiny $2.50 ethanol company that was tapped by the Pentagon to help develop a new fuel source for the US military. And this is something the US military simply isn't doing to help the environment. They are bound by an Executive Order to make the switch.

Here's the story...

It's called Executive Order 13149, and it was enacted on April 21, 2000.

Here's what E.O. 13149 says:



Now here's where it gets really interesting.

The US military consumes in excess of 400,000 barrels of oil every single day. Every year the military eats up 146 million barrels of crude.

Let me put it another way: If the US Department of Defense were its own nation, it would rank 33rd in the world in terms of oil consumption... that's more than Greece, Switzerland, Portugal, Philippines, Chile, Syria, Ireland, Norway and Finland.

That's why it's imperative...No... in fact it's vital to US national security that the American military diversify its fuel consumption.

So to comply with E.O. 13149, the US military has to find a renewable fuel source to replace 29.2 million barrels of oil per year.

That's massive. And the US military has to do it fast.

If you read the last sentence of PART 2 GOALS, the military should already have complied with E.O. 13149.

But because of Iraq and the never-ending War on Terror, the Pentagon is playing catch-up. That's why they just inked a deal with this tiny ethanol company.

Now I can go on and on about this tiny ethanol company. In fact, I'm putting together a much larger report on the company, its new fuel, and the opportunities for it. I expect to have it completed for market consumption in about a week or 2.

But that shouldn't stop you from owning the stock right now.

Bottom line, I don't want you to miss out on anymore profits. Our first trade in the Green Trader was a grand slam.

We purchased an ethanol upstart on February 23 for just $5.09 share. Today, that stock hit a record high of $13.67 a share. Take a look:

Think about that... traders who got in early are sitting on profits of 169% in just seven weeks.

The $2.50 ethanol stock I'm recommending now to my traders has that kind of potential. I mean, it has the potential to break $10 a share by this summer when gasoline and oil prices are sure to spike.

Don't miss out on this trade that is shaping up to be easy money.

I've instructed my publisher to give you yesterday's trade alert as soon as you sign up to my trading service. You'll get it immediately.

You can reserve a seat to The Green Trader here: https://server.publishers-mgmt.com/gtr1/...p?gtrppref=ded041606gt_gcr

And if, within the first month, you don't like The Green Trader for any reason whatsoever, you can cancel for a full refund. And you can keep the report. It's yours at no charge.

Please join us on this renewable energy journey which is gearing up for stock profits that'll blow your mind.

Regards,

Jeff Siegel

P.S. If you need more information about The Green Trader, I lay it all out here. I give you the whole shebang of why renewable energy is a place for your trading dollars. Please take a moment to read it.


Keine Ahnung welche Aktie sich dahinter verbirgt, evtl. XTHN

der Chart ist sehr ähnlich.

Weitere Ethanol Aktien folgen:

---

www.greenchipstocks.com  

Right now, shares of this company are trading for just $12.35 a share... less than 1/5th the value of its biggest competitor.

But thanks to a remarkable government "secret" these shares will soon take off!

I'm predicting this stock will gain 310%

Plus - I'm going to show you how this company's revolutionary technology gives it an ENORMOUS advantage over the competition
Dear Investor,

If you had made a modest $10,000 investment in one cutting edge renewable energy company on January 10 of this year, you'd have been sitting pretty just three weeks later.

That's because your $10,000 investment would have been worth $26,043...a remarkable gain of better than 160% in just three weeks' time.

Take a look at the chart to see just what I mean...



But here's the good news: over the course of the next eight months, this revolutionary young company will present us with several more opportunities for significant short-term gains - just like the one we saw earlier this year.

And thanks to a little-known "government secret" it's possible for us to make quick, easy short-term trading profits from this company...and several others in the renewable energy sector.

Jeff Siegel is the managing editor of Green Chip Stocks, an investment advisory service that has had stunning success in 2005 with portfolio returns of over 39% for the year... and for 2006 he's already up more than 60%. Jeff focuses on stocks in the emerging and lucrative organic food and renewable energy industries.

Jeff is a new breed of investor. Part entrepreneur, part Renaissance man, Jeff is an accomplished musician and writer, having recorded and performed all over the world - from London to Rome to New York. He was even called upon to score part of the latest Exorcist prequel.

From 1994 to 2001, Jeff worked for Agora Publishing, one of the largest financial newsletter publishers in the world.

In the past 4 years, he traveled across America searching for mega-trends that'll usher in a new generation of wealth.

Once a week in Green Chip Stocks, Jeff highlights investment opportunities in the fast-growing "Green" market. In fact, the next opportunity for a significant spike in share prices - as a direct result of legislation that is currently being debated on the floor of one of this nation's most oil-dependent states - could come at any time within the next two weeks.

And if it's anything like the last spike - a three-week surge that saw investors nearly triple their money - you won't want to miss out.

Just what is this "government secret" - and how are we able to turn it into consistent trading success?

I'll answer that in just a moment. But first I need to tell you more about...

The $12.35-a-Share Company That Could Become
the Dominant Name in Ethanol Before this Summer

Over the past few years, soaring oil and gas prices - as well as federal and state clean fuel programs - have pushed demand for ethanol to record highs.

As recently as 1996, the U.S. ethanol industry was producing just over 1.1 billion gallons of ethanol each year. By 2002, that figure had nearly doubled - to 2.13 billion gallons.

Then it began to take off - production reached 2.8 billion gallons by 2003...and had climbed all the way to 3.4 billion by 2004...and 3.9 billion by 2005!

But demand for ethanol is about to climb at an even faster rate...which means an incredibly bright future for the $12.35 stock I'm recommending right now.

And remember - this is a company that has already delivered three-week gains of 160% earlier this year.

Just how hot is the ethanol industry right now?

Hot enough for Bill Gates himself to invest $84 million just last November.

And hot enough for President Bush to specifically mention it during his State of the Union Address on January 31...

"We must also change how we power our automobiles...We'll also fund additional research in cutting-edge methods of producing ethanol, not just from corn, but from wood chips and stalks, or switch grass. Our goal is to make this new kind of ethanol practical and competitive within six years."

Remember, the energy bill passed by Congress just last year requires an increase in ethanol use to 7.5 billion gallons by the year 2012. That's nearly double the current total of roughly four billion gallons per year!

At this very moment, ethanol - and the entire renewable energy market - are exploding with interest, venture capital money, Wall Street funds, and incentives by state, local and federal governments.

Because of soaring demand - and pending legislation - I'm recommending you buy shares of this stock immediately!

Listen, I've been following the renewable energy industry for over a decade, and I've never seen the kind of enthusiasm that I'm seeing today. Trust me when I say that this enthusiasm will translate to higher stock prices for publicly traded renewable energy companies. What People are Saying About Jeff Siegel and his Green Chip Winners!

---

Jeff,

I got in at .40 with about 10,000 shares. I sold when it hit $1.45, bought it back after it dropped to $1.20, then sold it again today at 2.00!!

Absolutely fantastic. I subscribed to your Green Trader and dumped the profits into your new
recommendations!!

I appreciate all your hard work. Keep 'em coming!!

Regards,

R.M.

---

Hey Jeff, your newsletter is awesome! Although I still hold a strong position in conventional energy stocks, you've converted me!

I also signed up for the green trader new letter, and I made 18% on *CENSORED* in a day and 20% on *CENSORED*!

As for XSNX I got in a little later, I bought it at 0.85 and this morning i sold just enough to to get my initial investment back, so I'm about 230% up!

I'm waiting for your next Green Trader buy recommendation!

Thanks a lot Jeff and keep up the good work. - A.A.

---

Thanks Jeff, I sold 5K shares today for a $7,000 gain plus still have 5K left with a zero cost basis and $600 spending money. ( Bought at .64)

Your trading service is so necessary as these alternative energy stocks are so volatile that I have gotten out after a 2 week gain of 25% only to see the stock up another 50%. This is where you come in to give us an idea of what is fair value and what is speculator fluff.

Thanks again,

L.K.

---

Hi Jeff,

While I have been an Energy Report subscriber for a while, I just recently subscribed to Green Chip Stocks. I ended up buying 9,500 shares of XSNX between $1.15 and $1.47 a share in just the last few weeks. I sold 4,000 shares (approx half) last Friday at $1.80 and banked over a $2,000 gain on that. My remaining 4,500 shares are showing a gain of over $3,600 at today's close so I am pretty happy with a $5,600+ gain in just a few short weeks for my first stock buy using your recommendations. Keep it up - you have my confidence.

- Ritchie (in Ottawa, Canada)



As a matter of fact, given the soaring demand for ethanol - and the attention it's gotten over the past few months - you could do very well by simply calling your broker and investing in a handful of solid ethanol plays.

But I'm going to show you how you can do much better than that. In fact, I'll show you how you can repeatedly rake in short-term gains like the three-week, 160% winner I mentioned earlier.

Which brings me back to the company that delivered those impressive gains.

As I said before, this is a pure ethanol play - and I'm currently recommending that you buy shares immediately.

That's because as demand continues to soar, more and more people will take notice of this relatively young company.

They generated $5 million in revenue in 2005...but they're projecting revenues of $15 million for 2006.

And here's the best part of the story: Because of this company's revolutionary technology, they could easily become the dominant player in the ethanol game before this summer starts to heat up.

Here's what I mean:

For the past two years, this company has been making ethanol out of alternative sources.

So instead of producing ethanol from corn - as is most common - this company is using materials such as candy waste, cornstalks, grass clippings, newspapers and sawdust.

It's called cellulosic bioethanol...and it has all sorts of advantages.

First and foremost, the materials they're using to produce ethanol are cheap and abundant, whereas corn is subject to supply problems and wild price swings.

Just in Iowa alone, there's enough corn-based biomass (stalks, leaves and husks) to support 600 million gallons of ethanol production.

But perhaps the biggest advantage this company has is one that hasn't come into play.

At least not yet.

You see, in the event that corn prices rise suddenly - a very real possibility, as you'll soon see - the company I'm recommending could very well become the only game in town.

Why would that happen?

Because U.S. government forecasters have recently gone on record calling for the drought that has plagued a good deal of the Southwest and the central and southern plains to continue - and perhaps even worsen - through at least June.

At a mid-March press conference, David Johnson, director of the National Weather Service, warned that, "We need to monitor this drought situation very closely."

But not only do forecasters and farmers need to monitor this situation...so do those investors expecting easy profits from "traditional" ethanol stocks.

"Corn-based" ethanol companies could take a terrible beating as the price of corn rises. And there's no telling just how severe this drought might be.

If corn is in short supply - or priced at excessively high levels - corn-based ethanol production could be forced into a massive slowdown.

But because the company I'm recommending uses alternative materials - including waste products, wood chips and candy waste - they'll continue production completely unaffected by the drought or by a decrease in the supply of corn.

Given the soaring demand for ethanol, the value of this company - thanks to its revolutionary technology - could skyrocket quickly in the event of a drought.

After all, the ethanol needed to comply with legislation is going to have to come from somewhere. And if corn-based ethanol producers are struggling to meet demand due to rising production costs...our trade will look even sweeter!

What's the potential upside for this company?

It's hard to say, really - and I don't want to throw any outrageous predictions at you that have no basis in fact.

So let's look at it this way...

Pacific Ethanol (PEIX - NASDAQ) is a California-based ethanol producer that has had extraordinary success to date. Right now, Pacific Ethanol has a market cap of roughly $651 million.

The $12.35-a-share company I'm recommending right now actually has a brighter future - due to their advanced technology ...and their market cap currently stands at $150 million.

So we're talking about the potential for growth of 310% or more...

At this point, though, I've only told you part of the story. Now it's time to reveal...

The Government "Secret" That's Just Like Money in the Bank!

There is absolutely no question that right now is the best time to own renewable energy stocks. From the CEOs of Chevron-Texaco and British Petroleum to Wall Street brokerage houses and mainstream media outlets...everybody is talking about renewable energy.

But here's the key - the renewable energy bull market is still very much in its infancy.

Even more importantly, the renewable energy market has just entered a long-term phase of fast-moving gains.

This sets up perfectly, of course, for "hit and run" traders who are interested in making a year's worth of gains in as little as a week or two - week after week.

But it gets even better...

Renewable energy stocks are now prime candidates for quick trades thanks to a government "secret" that's as reliable as Old Faithful.

Every time a State government debates or passes a renewable energy bill, I'm finding more and more stocks that rally around the news.

And guess what? There are no less than 25 State initiatives pending regarding renewable energy.

That means, there's going to be at least 25 separate occasions to make quick, easy trading profits in the weeks and months ahead. And I'll guide you to them, every step of the way.

The most recent one was the State of Washington, which passed a renewable energy-ethanol bill on February 13 - and this is a perfect example.

In a two-day period, Pacific Ethanol - the company I mentioned earlier - went from $16.50 a share on Friday, February 10 to $19.95 on Monday, February 13. It was a gain of 21%...or more than 2.5 times the gain that the Dow experienced over the last two years.

However, an even smaller ethanol stock experienced an even more dramatic run-up. On February 9, this ethanol stock that I'm recommending now was trading for about $4 a share. After the Washington bill was passed, it traded for $5.30 a share, a gain of 33% in three days!

Buy the Bill, Sell the Law

The Washington bill is a great example of what traders can make playing renewable energy stocks this way. But nothing compares to what occured in January.

160% in just 15 trading days. $10,000 into $26,000.

That's what the California legislature and President Bush handed traders between January 10 and January 31.

In those days, the California legislature passed its renewable energy law and President Bush gave his State of the Union speech.

The tiny ethanol stock I want you to buy now went from $2.30 on January 10 to $5.99 on January 31.

It was easy money. Take a look at 3 stocks that went ballistic during those 2 weeks.







In fact, every time a State debates or passes a renewable bill or law (especially if the law has an ethanol provision), this stock is going to skyrocket in price.

The next opportunity is coming up quickly, as the Hawaii State Legislature is right now debating a bill proposed by its governor that would transform Hawaii from the nation's most oil-dependent state into a leader in the renewable energy game.

The very moment that this legislation passes, a number of renewable stocks are going to see a surge in price.

But I'd like to tell you how you can best take advantage of this opportunity - and the others coming up in the weeks ahead.

You may not have heard about my advisory service - Green Chip Stocks - but we've been taking advantage of renewable energy profit opportunities for quite a while now. Take a look at how we've done over the past 15 months...

CompanySymbolExchangeDatePriceCurrentStatusPercentOrganic Food Stock #1****Nasdaq01/01/20058.81$20.31open130.5%Renewable Energy Stock #1****OTCBB01/01/20050.30$0.445open48.33%Organic Food Stock #2****CDNX01/01/2005.90$2.46open173.3%Organic Food Stock #3****Nasdaq01/01/200520.67$25.96open25.59%Renewable Energy Stock #2****CDNX01/01/20052.95$3.74open26.77%LOHAS Stock #1****Nasdaq01/01/20055.90$16.35open177.1%Renewable Energy Stock #3****Nasdaq01/01/20057.18$8.30open15.59%Renewable Energy Stock #4****NYSE01/01/200516.28$38.10open134.0%Natural Supplement Stock #1****Nasdaq01/01/20059.23$8.11open-12.1%Natural Supplement Stock #2****Nasdaq01/01/200515.27$15.08open-1.24%Renewabl Energy Stock #5****Nasdaq01/05/200610.82$22.281open105.9%Hybrid Stock #1****TSX9/9/20051.05$1.19open13.33%Renewable Energy Stock #6****Nasdaq10/12/20058.50$15.30open80%Renewable Fuel Stock #1****OTCBB03/24/20060.50$0.75open50%Hybrid Stock #2****Toronto2/2/20064.22$4.36open3.317%XSUNX Inc*XSNX.OBOTCBB10/21/2005$0.36$2.53closed564.55%*Half of the XSUNX Inc. position was sold on 3/6/06 at $2.10. The remainder of the position was sold on 3/17/06 at $2.53, the percentage gain is the total gain of the entire position after both sales.
Total Portfolio (+/-) : 95.941 %

The truth is, my subscribers and I have had a pretty good run.

But I'm not writing you about the traditional, buy-and-hold opportunities that Green Chip Stocks readers have been cashing in on for more than a year.

Instead, I'm writing to you about a chance to make even more money - and in less time...

Hard, Fast & Often

With the growing number of renewable initiatives, you just have to take advantage of these stock rallies to make 20%, 33%, and 160% jumps in a matter of days.

And because the renewable energy market is in a long-term bull, I've decided it's time to offer a new, fast-paced, adrenaline pumping service called The Green Trader.

Now let me tell you right up front...this service is only for traders who want to make quick profits in the hottest industry since the Internets of the 1990s.

Quite simply, by not trading, you're missing out on quick and easy energy profits... and I want you to take advantage of these trading opportunities, as they come, on a moment's notice.

These are the magical opportunities to get in and get out fast - and with some whopping gains over and over again.

Just recently, my publisher launched a pair of services that are similar in scope to The Green Trader.

You may already be familiar with these two services - Extreme Opportunities and The Pure Energy Stock Trader - which both come from natural resource guru Mike Schaefer.

Here's why I bring them up: when those two services were launched, the number of available seats for each was limited to 200 and 2,000, respectively.

In the case of Extreme Opportunities, Mike filled all 200 seats within 48 hours.

With the Pure Energy Stock Trader, the service is still only a few weeks old...but I can tell you that more than half of the spots were gobbled up pretty quick.

I'm taking a similar approach with The Green Trader...and because of the soaring bull market in renewable energy stocks, I expect this service to sell out soon.

You should know that I have limited The Green Trader to a maximum of 2,000 seats. And since an invitation has already been extended to my regular Green Chip Stocks readers, we've been filling seats for more than a month now.

But before all of the spots have been taken, I wanted to give everyone who reads my articles a fair shot at climbing on board with us.

Now, I can't guarantee that the service won't be sold out by the time you sign up - that's why it's imperative that you act right away.

The truth of the matter is we're anticipating the need to create a waiting list shortly after this letter is sent out, as more than 150,000 people will now have a limited-time opportunity to sign up for this revolutionary service.

But if you act quickly, you can reserve your space now by following this link: https://server.publishers-mgmt.com/gtr1/...p?gtrppref=ded041606gt_gcr

A Mean, Green Traders Club

I'm also adopting another feature that Mike and company have implemented in their exclusive, premium services. And that feature is secrecy.

In order to become a member of The Green Trader, you must "digitally" sign our online confidentiality and term of service agreement.

This agreement states that you agree not to pass along any of the confidential analysis or trades you receive in The Green Trader.

This is vitally important.

The confidentially agreement is designed specifically to protect your interests as a member of The Green Trader.

It's simple...too many people trying to buy the same stock - especially stocks like our $12.35-a-share ethanol superstar - could literally push it to the stratosphere, and destroy the trade.

I understand that this additional step is likely one you've never had to take before. So before I go any further, let me tell you in plain English just how the confidentiality agreement works...

Loose Lips Sink Ships

Not a week goes by that a reader of Wealth Daily or Green Chip Stocks doesn't send me an email saying, "Somebody is posting the recommendation on the bull boards of Stockhouse.com. Why do I pay for this service if a couple days later the recommendation shows up on a public message board? Isn't this a copyright violation?"

Yes it is. And we take it seriously.

That's why Mike made all 200 members of Extreme Opportunities sign and submit a confidentiality agreement. And so far, everyone has abided by the terms of the agreement.

But in the case of The Green Trader, as it was with Extreme Opportunities, it's not so much the copyright violations that we're worried about.

We're worried that these small stocks will get blown out of the water because thousands of message board readers are buying it... and pushing the share price through the roof.

If that happens, it will jeopardize not only the trade, but this entire service. And the last thing that anyone wants is for us to have to cancel the trading service entirely.

That's why we're limiting The Green Trader to 2000 people. That's it. And there won't be any exceptions to the rule. If you miss out, we'll be happy to put you on the waiting list.

Based on our expectations, and our experience with the other services, we think we'll have twice as many interested parties as we'll be able to admit to the service.

We believe that we'll make a couple of dozen recommendations per year in The Green Trader. That's a lot of trades. But we don't plan on holding these positions very long. In and out. Take the profit and run. That's what this service is about.

Now, if the amount of trades bothers you, then this service isn't for you.

But if you've got the courage to make quick profits, I urge you to join right now.

As I mentioned before, we have already made The Green Trader available to my regular Green Chip Stocks readers. And those spots have begun to disappear quickly...

Get Ready

Another point I want to discuss is how the trades will be delivered to you. The trades will be sent via e-mail. No Faxes. That's because we want everybody to receive the trade at approximately the same time.

So everyone will be on equal footing.

If you're comfortable with what I said so far, I urge you to consider joining.

Again, I know this style of trading isn't for everybody. As a member of The Green Trader, you're elevating yourself into the top tier of the trading community. If you have second thoughts on the price or the frequency of recommendations, stop reading now...the service isn't for you.

If you're interested, welcome aboard.

Now Listen Carefully...

When you fill out the membership form (assuming there are remaining slots), you'll receive a confirmation and a welcome letter. Attached to that welcome letter will be the Green Trader Confidentiality and Terms of Service Agreement.

When you digitally sign the Agreement, you are bound by it. Now, I don't want to come off as a tough guy, but trading stocks is serious business. We're all here to make money. If you breach the agreement, we'll revoke your membership with all due haste. You'll get a refund, but you will not be permitted back into the trading service.

The Agreement will state, in clear terms, that the service is for you and you alone. You simply cannot share the trades, in any way, with anyone.

Heck, you cannot tell your family or friends about any of the stock trades. This Agreement is meant to protect us and our contacts. And it's meant to protect you.

As I mentioned earlier, if we have problems of this kind, we may be forced to shut down the service, and nobody wants that to happen.

So it's imperative you understand why the Agreement must be followed. It is important for us... and more importantly, for you and your trades.

It's important for everyone in this service.

The price of a subscription to The Green Trader is $1,995 per year.

I know for many of you $1,995 is a big lump of money to take down, even considering that many of you have made tens of thousands of dollars following my advice.

So here's the deal. We're also offering a quarterly bill program. If you chose that method, you'll be charged $550 every three months.

That's about as good as I can make it.

So again, remember. Only 2000 investors will be allowed to join The Green Trader. And every member must digitally sign the Confidentiality Agreement.

Believe me, we take this service seriously. And we expect you to as well. That's why we have the confidentiality agreement.

But for our part, we want to make sure you're satisfied. So, if for any reason you're unhappy with The Green Trader, you can get a full refund at any time before the end of the first month of your membership.

After that, the refund is prorated.

If you understand that and you sign up, you'll immediately receive 2-FREE trade reports. These reports tell you all about the ethanol and geothermal stocks that are going to rally with the euphoria that's being unleashed on renewable stocks.

But you have to act now.

I expect the 2000 slots to be full in short order.

So if you're considering joining us, please do so quickly.

https://server.publishers-mgmt.com/gtr1/signupT.php?gtrppref=ded041606gt_gcr

Sincerely,

Jeff Siegel

 

Ethanol Stocks On Fire (PEIX, GPRE, XTHN, ANDE, ADM)

Related Stocks: ADM, ANDE, GPRE, PEIX, XTHN

Himanshu Pandya submits: Wednesday was another big day for the ethanol-related stocks we monitor:

Pacific Ethanol Inc. (Nasdaq: PEIX) - Up 18.01%
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc. (Nasdaq: GPRE) - Up 5.80%
Xethanol Corporation (OTC: XTHN.OB) - Up 21.34%
The Andersons, Inc. (Nasdaq: ANDE) - Up 10.09%
Archers Daniels Midland Company (NYSE: ADM) - Up 3.42%

Email this article<!--mfunc votio_ballot_box() -->4.5 rating from 4 votes<!--/mfunc-->

Posted: Thursday, April 6th, 2006 by Himanshu Pandya
Related Stocks: ADM, ANDE, GPRE, PEIX, XTHN
Read More: Alternative Energy, Long Ideas
Permalink | Linking Blogs | Terms of Use

http://energystockblog.com/article/8706

 

ACPW ADM ALTI BCON BLDP DESC DSTI EEEI ELK ENER ENOV ESLR ETR FCEL HMC HOKU HYBT HYGS IDA KYO MCEL MDTL MKTY MXWL ORA PBW PEIX PLUG QTWW SATC SPWR STP XSNX  

PACIFIC ETHANOL INC - Nasdaq SmallCap Market: PEIX (NEW charting help)

<!--VITALS="app:interactivecharting lic:destination sale:kek web:kjb ops:ccn tech:cdt"-->

Enter Symbol or Keyword: Time Frame:   1-day2 days5 days10 days----------1 month2 months3 months6 monthsYTD1 year2 years3 years4 years5 years1 decadeAll Data Additional chart controls  PEIX - Pacific Ethanol Inc (NASDAQ NM) 4/13/2006

interessant dürfte auch das IPO sein::

GPRE

GPRE  Green Plains Renewable Energy (NASDAQ SC)     4/13/2006      hide quote      detailed quote      options chain      $7 Trades at Scottrade. Just $500 to open. chart help   Last:   46.05 Change:     -0.65 Open:   46.70 High:   49.00 Low:   43.75 Volume:   25,200 Percent Change:   -1.39% Yield:   n/a P/E Ratio:   n/a 52 Week Range:   21.60 to 63.50

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Ethanol Stock IPO Analysis: VeraSun Energy (VSE)

Related Stocks: VSE

ClearFish Research submits:

Background: For background on the ethanol market see here and here.

Story: As pointed out in a WSJ story Thursday, VeraSun Energy (VSE) is the second largest domestic corn-based ethanol producer (led by ADM, and followed by Aventine Renewable Energy), with 230M gal/year of current ethanol production capacity at 2 dry-grind plants (in Aurora, SD, and Fort Dodge, IA), and a third 110M gal/year plant under construction and expected to start up in Summer 2007. Just like everyone else, the also sell Distillers Grains (left over corn meal after the fermentation process) as an agricultural feed.

Company: The Aurora plant uses 43M bushels of corn to produce 120M gal ethanol and 390K tons of Distillers Grain, while the Fort Dodge facility uses 39M bushels of corn to produce 110M gal ethanol and 350K tons Distillers Grain. VeraSun gives the actual numbers (not capacities) for 2005 (prospectus, pg 7), which show for 2005 they sold 126M gal ethanol at an average price of $1.59/gal. That would account for $200M of their $235M revenue, the remainder coming presumably from sales of Distillers Grain. That means they offset their corn costs by $0.42/bushel capacity ($235M-$200M/43M+39M) through selling of Distillers Grains.

It’s cute to know exactly how much they produced, but all we really care about is revenue and income. Of note though is that they report ethanol sold (not produced) as 126,346,295 gallons for 2005. I just like the precision of their accounting - it’s a perfectly countable term the way they defined it (if it was a production number, or transported number, etc., I would laugh, but gallons sold is an easy line item), and it’s nice to see they have their processes well managed, and their language precise.

But about those numbers, we could just say that they generate $1.03 revenue/gal of ethanol capacity, and their $23.7M operating income gives them $0.18 of operating income/gal of ethanol capacity. By those measures, they are operating far less efficiently than Aventine ($1.38 and $0.47, respectively). That is the cleanest measure we can come up with that accounts for their ability to run their plant at or near capacity (the dollar figure goes up or down if run above or below capacity), the price of corn and every other production cost, and is comparable across companies. In the spirit of comparability, we also have their OP margin of 10% ($23.6M/$235M).

For their profitable 2004 they had a gross margin of 21% ($39.7M/$186M), which dropped to 15% ($35.5M/$235M) in break-even 2005. That’s not the sort of trajectory we look for. Breakeven ($0.01/share earnings) on selling ethanol in 2005? We’re surprised, but Blah.

They intend to use the IPO proceeds for the construction of 2 additional 110M gal/year ethanol plants, one in Iowa, and one in Minnesota.

Stock: Not listed yet, but given their unspectacular operating history, when all the stars were aligned for them, we’re skeptical of how they would fare if the price of ethanol took a nose dive. Unless they are available for a truly compelling price, we’re likely to pass.

Email this article<!--mfunc votio_ballot_box() -->4.6 rating from 5 votes<!--/mfunc-->

Posted: Friday, April 14th, 2006 by ClearFish Research
Related Stocks: VSE
Read More: Alternative Energy
Permalink | Linking Blogs | Terms of Use

 

Jetzt gehe ich nochmal schlafen

 

BUYINS.NET: Pacific Ethanol (PEIX) SqueezeTrigger Price Is $12.69. Short Sellers Are Down ApproximatelPacif Ethanol y $55 Million After Ethanol Hits The Limelight.
Apr 13, 2006 (M2 PRESSWIRE via COMTEX) -- www.buyins.net, announced today that the 3.28 million shares declared short on Pacific Ethanol (NASDAQ: PEIX) have a SqueezeTrigger Price of $12.69 per share. According to AP, oil refiners continued their rush to substitute ethanol for a toxic gasoline additive before the summer driving season shifts into gear. The enthusiasm for ethanol is tied to the fate of methyl tertiary butyl ether (MTBE), an additive mixed into gasoline to reduce pollution. However, studies have found that MTBE to be carcinogenic if it seeps into a water source. States are increasingly banning MBTE due to contamination concerns. Companies wishing to comply with new laws -- and worried about the potential for legal liability -- are turning to ethanol as a replacement for the additive. According to the federal Energy Information Administration, most of the refining industry is trying to cut out the additive before the summer driving season. That means demand for ethanol is on the climb -- as are producers' share prices. Short sellers are down approximately $55 million as the stock is currently trading near $29.34. To access SqueezeTrigger Prices ahead of short squeezes beginning, visit http://www.buyins.net.

From March 2005 to February 2006, an aggregate amount of 7,606,288 shares of PEIX have been shorted for a total dollar value of $96.5 million. The PEIX SqueezeTrigger price of $12.69 is the volume weighted average price that all shorts are short in shares of PEIX. Since crossing above the SqueezeTrigger Price, shares of PEIX are up nearly 131%. There is still approximately $96.5 million worth of potential short covering in shares of PEIX.

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. (NASDAQ: PEIX) engages in the development, production, and marketing of renewable fuels in the western United States. Pacific Ethanol is constructing an ethanol production facility in Madera County, California, as well as developing four additional plants on the West Coast. Kinergy Marketing, LLC, the company's wholly owned subsidiary, is a West Coast based marketer of ethanol. In addition, the company engages in the identification and development of other renewable fuel technologies, such as cellulose-based ethanol production and bio-diesel. Pacific Ethanol was founded in 2003 and is based in Fresno, California.

BUYINS.NET has built a massive database that collects, analyzes and publishes a proprietary SqueezeTrigger for each stock that has been shorted. The SqueezeTrigger database of nearly 700,000,000 short sale transactions goes back to January 1, 2005 and calculates the exact price at which the Total Short Interest is short in each stock. This data was never before available prior to January 1, 2005 because the Self Regulatory Organizations (primary exchanges) guarded it aggressively. After the SEC passed Regulation SHO, exchanges were forced to allow data processors like Buyins.net to access the data.

The SqueezeTrigger database collects individual short trade data on over 7,000 NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ stocks and general short trade data on nearly 8,000 OTCBB and PINKSHEET stocks. Each month the database grows by approximately 50,000,000 short sale transactions and provides investors with the knowledge necessary to time when to buy and sell stocks with outstanding short positions. By tracking the size and price of each month's short transactions, BUYINS.NET provides institutions, traders, analysts, journalists and individual investors the exact price point where short sellers start losing money and a short squeeze can begin.

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Danke  

unterstüzt folgende Seite:
http://www.ethanol-statt-benzin.de/

Autoumrüster:
www.rmg-rapsol.de
www.e85.biz

eine Umrüstung kostet rund 1.000 € Das könnte sich, ja nach fahrweise bei diesen hohen Benzinkosten schon bald amortisieren. Der Verbrauch steigt allerdings um 10-20%, jedoch auch die Leistung des Motors --> Tanktuning.  

Archer Daniels Midland Company Selects Hazleton, Pennsylvania as Site for New Cocoa PlantE-mail | Print | | Disable live quotes Last Update: 4:10 PM ET Apr 19, 2006
DECATUR, Ill., April 19, 2006 /PRNewswire-FirstCall via COMTEX/ -- Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM : Archer Daniels Midland CompanyNews , chart, profile, moreLast: 37.70+0.92+2.50%
6:40pm 04/19/2006
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ADM37.70, +0.92, +2.5%) today announced it has selected Hazleton, Pennsylvania as the site for its new U.S. cocoa processing facility. "We are pleased to announce Hazleton as our location of choice for this state-of-the-art facility," stated Mark Bemis, President-ADM Cocoa. "This plant illustrates ADM's commitment to meeting its customers' growing need for high-quality cocoa ingredients and will strengthen ADM's worldwide leadership position in the cocoa industry." Construction, pending final permitting approvals, is set to begin this fall, with the facility expected to be operational in mid-2007. ADM is a global leader in cocoa processing with plants in North and South America, Europe, Asia and Africa. ADM previously announced plans to build a new cocoa processing facility located in the mid-Atlantic region of the United States. Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) is a world leader in agricultural processing and fermentation technology. ADM is one of the world's largest processors of soybeans, corn, wheat and cocoa. ADM is also a leader in the production of soybean oil and meal, ethanol, corn sweeteners and flour. In addition, ADM produces value-added food and feed ingredients. Headquartered in Decatur, Illinois, ADM has over 25,000 employees, more than 250 processing plants and net sales for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2005 of $35.9 billion. Additional information can be found on ADM's Web site at http://www.admworld.com . SOURCE Archer Daniels Midland Company

Brian Peterson, Senior Vice President-Corporate Affairs, of Archer Daniels Midland Company, +1-217-424-5413 http://www.prnewswire.com Copyright (C) 2006 PR Newswire. All rights reserved. ************************************************** As of Saturday, 04-15-2006 23:59, the latest Comtex SmarTrend(SM) Alert, an automated pattern recognition system, indicated a DOWNTREND on 08-05-2005 for ADM @ $21.05. (C) 2006 Comtex News Network, Inc. All rights reserved.   

ARCHER DANIELS MIDLAND - New York Stock Exchange: ADM (NEW charting help)

<!--VITALS="app:interactivecharting lic:destination sale:kek web:kjb ops:ccn tech:cdt"-->

Enter Symbol or Keyword: Time Frame:   1-day2 days5 days10 days----------1 month2 months3 months6 monthsYTD1 year2 years3 years4 years5 years1 decadeAll Data Additional chart controls  ADM - Archer Daniels Midland Company (NYSE) 4:03 PM ET, 4/19/2006

 

PACIFIC ETHANOL INC - Nasdaq SmallCap Market: PEIX

Real-time ECN Quote*

Last	Change (%)	After Hours Chg (%)**	Trade Time	Bid	Ask
33.01	2.89 (9.59)	0.01 (0.03)	18:21	33.01 (4.08)	33.10 (1)

---

Exchange Quote

Last	Change (%)	Trade Time	Bid (size)	Ask (size)
33	2.88 (9.56)	16:00	33.01 (5)	33.15 (1)
Latest Ticks	Prev Close	Open	Low	High
-+-+	30.12	30.66	30.66	33.18
Day Volume	Avg Day Vol	VWAP	52 Wk Low	52 Wk High
6,219,677	3,665,300	32.2264	7.06	34.85
# of Trades	Last Size	Avg Trade Size	P/E Ratio	Market Cap (mil)
20,050	100	310	0	1,008

6:40:08 PM EDT - Monday, April 24, 2006- Exchange quote is delayed at least 15 minutes.

<!--StartFragment --> 

PEIX - Pacific Ethanol Inc (NASDAQ NM)

4/24/2006

<!--StartFragment -->

Morning Stock Focus List for Monday, April 24, 2006: Overwhelming Response to Patented Technology! NOTE TO EDITORS: The Following Is an Investment Opinion Being Issued by Peter Antipatis of Capital Research Group Inc.

WESTON, FL, Apr 24, 2006 (MARKET WIRE via COMTEX) -- TheSUBWAY.com names the following stocks to its Stock Focus List: eWAN1, Inc. (OTC: EWAN), Commercial Capital Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ: CCBI), Pacific Ethanol, Inc (NASDAQ: PEIX), Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) eWAN1, Inc. (OTC: EWAN) just announced that the Company successfully debuted its live streaming Internet television service at the "IPTV & Beyond" exposition this past week at the Marriott Del Mar in San Diego, CA, to an enthusiastic audience of engineers, executives and industry personnel from some of the worlds leading telecommunications and technology companies exhibiting and attending the show. Management reported an overwhelming response to the Company's patented real-time decompression technology that enables eWan to deliver near high definition quality video over the internet. Other stocks highlighted include Commercial Capital Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ: CCBI): Stock Focus List, down 1% on 2 million shares, Pacific Ethanol, Inc. (NASDAQ: PEIX): Stock Focus List, up 1% on 2 million shares, Google Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG): Stock Focus List, up 1% on 1 million shares "A few disappointing earnings releases and some disparate economic data have done their part to stall the market's advance, and political developments abroad have kept investors cautious. But overall tame inflation numbers, though rising over the past few months, solid growth in the domestic economy, and lower unemployment are buffeting the averages from below." More is available at: http://www.thesubway.com. TheSUBWAY.com's Daily Stock Updates: TheSUBWAY.com, a leader in corporate communications and finance, highlights stocks that are in the news, have traded high volume, or experienced a large change in price in recent sessions. The aforementioned commentary is not meant to be indicative of a "long term" view of any of the companies listed. For more go to http://www.thesubway.com. All material herein was prepared by Capital Research Group, Inc. (CRG) based upon information believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is not guaranteed by CRG to be accurate, and should not be considered to be all-inclusive. The companies that are discussed in this opinion have not approved the statements made in this opinion. This opinion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. This material is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. CRG is not a licensed broker, broker dealer, market maker, investment banker, investment advisor, analyst or underwriter. Please consult a broker before purchasing or selling any securities viewed on http://www.thesubway.com or mentioned herein CRG has been compensated by third party shareholders or with cash from the company on behalf of one or more of the companies mentioned in this opinion. CRG has been compensated one million five hundred thousand shares for EWAN. CRG has received two million shares in past compensation and those shares have been sold to date. CRG intends to sell its shares. CRG has sold approximately four hundred thousand EWAN shares to date. CRG may sell its shares for less than the target price given in this opinion. In addition to any compensation mentioned above, additional compensation can be equal to ten percent of any newly issued or registered securities of the profiled companies. CRG's affiliates, officers, directors and employees may also have bought or may buy the shares discussed in this opinion and may profit in the event those shares rise in value. CRG will not advise as to when it decides to sell and does not and will not offer any opinion as to when others should sell; each investor must make that decision based on his or her judgment of the market. Chuck Tamburello Phone: 954-217-8555 Fax: 954-217-1500 SOURCE: TheSUBWAY.com Copyright 2006 Market Wire, All rights reserved. ************************************************** As of Thursday, 04-20-2006 23:59, the latest Comtex SmarTrend(SM) Alert, an automated pattern recognition system, indicated a DOWNTREND on 01-24-2006 for CCBI @ $15.32. As of Thursday, 04-20-2006 23:59, the latest Comtex SmarTrend(SM) Alert, an automated pattern recognition system, indicated an UPTREND on 03-27-2006 for GOOG @ $367.85. (C) 2006 Comtex News Network, Inc. All rights reserved. SUBJECT CODE: Financial Services:Investment Opinion Business/Finance: General:Investment Opinion

 

gestern deutlich zugelegt (12,5% in Fund 8,65% in NY) bei stark steigendem Volumen! Ich sehe hier einen deutlichen Aufwärtstrend, bin bereits ordentlich eingedeckt @ 25,85 $. MfG  

gutes Potential ! aber Achtung teilweise teuer !  

<!--story begins here--> Markets: Active Trader Update <!--The Page Area is EMPTY--> A Better Energy Alternative: Efficiency By Steven Bulwa RealMoney.com Contributor 5/1/2006 5:37 PM EDT Click here for more stories by Steven Bulwa This column was originally published on RealMoney on May 1 at 11:04 a.m. EDT. It's being republished as a bonus for TheStreet.com readers. There is a feeding frenzy going on in alternative-energy stocks. It is not difficult to identify the source of everyone's excitement. With oil at $75 threatening the economy's buoyancy and our reliance on the Middle East for energy facing myriad pressures, not the least of which is a nuclear Iran, alternatives to oil seem like a terrific solution. Whether it is ethanol, solar or hydrogen, stocks of companies in these areas are all experiencing huge interest and appreciation. Pacific Ethanol (PEIX:Nasdaq - commentary - research - Cramer's Take) has tripled since President Bush first uttered the word ethanol, and even perennial cash destroyers such as Ballard Power (BLPD:Nasdaq - commentary - research - Cramer's Take) have seen share prices double. But the long-term viability of these technologies as suitable substitutes is still in question. Given the cost issues and uncertainty surrounding the prospects for the different alternative-energy sources, I have identified two companies that should benefit regardless, simply by adding efficiency to existing platforms: Intermagnetics (IMGC:Nasdaq - commentary - research - Cramer's Take) and Echelon (ELON:Nasdaq - commentary - research - Cramer's Take). Both offer technologies that improve energy efficiency and reduce costs for providers. Problematic Alternatives The trouble with most of these alternatives is cost. While from an environmental standpoint the technologies represent significant improvements, without subsidy there is no significant cost savings. In the case of hydrogen there is doubt whether it is even a viable alternative, considering all the energy needed to produce the fuel itself. Quoted in an article titled "The Price of Power," Penn State economist Tim Considine is not positive on the prospects for hydrogen. The article, written by Dana Bauer and published on Research PennState, states: According to a 2004 report from the National Academy of Engineering, "the vision of the hydrogen economy is based on the expectation that hydrogen can be produced from domestic energy sources in a manner that is affordable and environmentally benign," and that "applications using hydrogen -- fuel cell vehicles, for example -- can gain market share in competition with the alternatives." The conclusion of the committee that authored the report? A transition to a hydrogen economy is, at best, decades away.

www.marketwatch  

ich habe am 10.04.2006 mir einige aktien australian biodiesel  A0HMW7
ins depot gelegt.bis jetzt fast 40 % plus.
viele grüsse  

der Bedarf enscheidet und es ist soweit.

50% Verlust zu 500% Gewinn in 8Wochen. Informiert Euch und enscheidet selbst...

 

GREEN PLAINS RENEWABLE - Nasdaq National Market: GPRE

Real-time ECN Quote*

Last	Change (%)	After Hours Chg (%)**	Trade Time	Bid	Ask
--	--	0.79 (1.57)	--	0 (0)	0 (0)

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Exchange Quote

Last	Change (%)	Trade Time	Bid (size)	Ask (size)
50.30	3.30 (7.02)	15:56	44 (1)	51.40 (3)
Latest Ticks	Prev Close	Open	Low	High
+--+	47	47.40	47.40	50.30
Day Volume	Avg Day Vol	VWAP	52 Wk Low	52 Wk High
89,743	25,700	49.3355	21.60	63.50
# of Trades	Last Size	Avg Trade Size	P/E Ratio	Market Cap (mil)
360	300	249	0	217

 

wre auf bioethanol setzt kommt an südzucker nicht vorbei
grüße euer nonguru
P.S. neue ethanoltankstellenübersicht unter:
http://www.e85.biz/pdf/ethanol-tankstellen-d.pdf  

 

Die Welt steht Kopf. Was gestern zählte, hat heute kaum mehr Bedeutung. Dort, wo gestern noch das Thema Internet die Schlagzeilen bestimmte, werden heute andere Themen diskutiert. Spät, viel zu spät, haben Politiker, Unternehmer und auch führende Köpfe der Wirtschaftsforschungsinstitute erkannt, dass die Welt von heute vom Thema Rohstoffe bestimmt wird. Mit reichlicher Verzögerung hat die Energiewirtschaft auf die Herausforderungen der heutigen Zeit reagiert.

Denn der Kampf um Rohstoffe – angesichts der politischen Entwicklungen von Kritikern bereits als „Krieg um Rohstoffe“ tituliert – hat vor allem an den Energiemärkten eine geradezu atemberaubende Dynamik entwickelt. Dabei sind es jene Thesen, die die Fachleute des Club of Rome bereits vor Jahrzehnten mit dem Hinweis auf die Erschöpflichkeit der Rohstoffvorräte aufgestellt haben, die die Welt erschrecken lassen. Jene Experten, die mit den Thesen vom „Peak Oil“ bereits vor vielen Jahren das absehbare Ende des Ölzeitalters ankündigten, schwiegen viel zu lange. Heute erinnert man sich nicht nur wieder ihrer Thesen, sondern nimmt sie sogar her, um in der Wirtschaft eine Aufbruchsstimmung zu erzeugen, die von ihrer Bedeutung her an die frühe Phase des Industrialisierungs-Zeitalters erinnert.

Dabei wird nicht zuletzt ein Thema zum Megatrend hochgespielt, das bei den Agrar-Fachleuten hier in Chicago für Erregung sorgt. Bei den erneuerbaren – also regenerativen Energien – soll nach dem Willen der Politik auch stärker auf Bioenergien wie Ethanol und Biodiesel gesetzt werden. Über eines muss sich die Welt allerdings im Klaren sein: Die Lücke an den Energiemärkten werden diese Bioenergien nicht wirklich schließen können. Ungeachtet dessen ist weltweit rund um den Komplex Ethanol und Biodiesel längst eine blühende Industrie entstanden, die Anlegern ein interessantes Betätigungsfeld bietet. Dass sich führende Köpfe der Wirtschaft wie Bill Gates – der reichste Mann der Welt – in diesem Sektor bereits engagiert haben, spricht eine eindeutige Sprache.

Dass Ethanol – ein meist aus Zucker und Mais gewonnener Treibstoff – immer stärker ins grelle Rampenlicht der Börsenszene gerückt ist, kann nicht nur an den zahlreichen Anlageprodukten erkannt werden, die Banken in jüngster Zeit emittiert haben. Darüber hinaus sind sowohl Ethanol als Energieträger als auch Zucker und Mais – also jene Rohstoffe, die Grundlagen für die Herstellung von Ethanol sind – bei den Verantwortlichen der Terminbörsen zu einem wichtigen Thema geworden. Sowohl in den USA als auch in Brasilien werden nämlich bereits Futureskontrakte auf Ethanol gehandelt.

An der US-Terminbörse Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) ist der Preis für eine Gallone von aus US-Mais hergestelltem Ethanol analog zum Rohöl- und Benzinpreis zuletzt zeitweise auf das Rekordniveau von beinahe drei Dollar je Gallone gestiegen. Der Preis orientierte sich dabei sehr eng am steigenden Preistrend für Rohöl und für Benzin in den USA. Zum Vergleich: Noch im Oktober des Jahres 2005 hatte eine Gallone dieser erneuerbaren Energie am CBOT lediglich 1,60 Dollar gekostet. „Ethanol ist derzeit ein Trend im Megatrend der erneuerbaren Energien“, zeigt sich Herbert Wertz, Fondsmanager bei AMB Generali, optimistisch.

Das Interesse an diesen Produkten haben die Fachleute der US-Investmentbank kürzlich zur Auflegung von zwei Bonuszertifikaten (währungsgesichert und nicht währungsgesichert) auf jene Rohstoffe genutzt, aus denen Ethanol hergestellt wird – nämlich Zucker in Brasilien und Mais in Nordamerika. Die den Zertifikaten zu Grunde liegenden Basiswerte sind mit einem Anteil von jeweils 50 Prozent der GSCI Corn Excess Return Index und der GSCI Sugar Excess Return Index. Konkret bedeutet dies: Wenn die Nachfrage nach Ethanol in den nächsten Jahren zunehmen sollte, spricht vieles dafür, dass auch die Preise für Mais und Zucker weiter steigen und der Anleger in diesem Fall über einen steigenden Wert der Zertifikate Kursgewinne erzielt.