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Zukunft Windkraft
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Windenergiemarkt: Nachfrage wird steigen
13.11.2011
Frost & Sullivan: Weitere Konsolidierung im Markt für Windenergie wird zu wenigen, aber starken Marktteilnehmern führen
Frankfurt am Main, – Der europäische Markt für Windenergie beginnt sich sich vom wirtschaftlichen Abschwung in 2009 zu erholen. Während sich die Nachfrage stabilisiert, kann mit einem kontinuierlichen Wachstum gerechnet werden. Gleichzeitig durchläuft der Markt eine grössere Konsolidierungsphase, die im Auftreten von weniger, aber dafür starken Marktteilnehmern resultieren wird.
Laut einer aktuellen Studie von Frost & Sullivan (http://www.energy.frost.com), erwirtschaftete der Europamarkt für Windenergie Umsätze in Höhe von 19,18 Milliarden US-Dollar im Jahr 2010, welche auf 42,48 Milliarden US-Dollar im Jahr 2017 ansteigen sollen. Die Studie berücksichtigt die Sektoren Offshore- und Onshore-Windenergie.
“Der europäische Markt für Windenergie wird in erster Linie von der Europa 2020 Strategie für ein ressourceneffizientes Europa der Europäischen Gemeinschaft angetrieben, die vorgibt, 20 Prozent der benötigten Energie im Jahr 2020 durch erneuerbare Energiequellen bereitzustellen,“ erläutert Frost & Sullivan Research Analyst, Neelam Patil. „Das hohe Wachstumspotenzial der Offshore-Windenergie, verbunden mit den aufkommenden Märkten in Mittel- und Osteuropa locken weitere Investitionen in den europäischen Markt.
Windenergie wird weiterhin ein bedeutender Faktor im Energieportfolio der Mitgliedsstaaten der Europäischen Union darstellen, die versuchen, ihre Ziele für die EU Strategie 2020 zu erreichen. Deutschland, Spanien und Frankreich werden weitere Windkraftanlagen installieren und planen dabei, ihre Zielvorgaben zu übertreffen und die überschüssige Energie anderen europäischen Mitgliedsstaaten zur Verfügung zu stellen. Grossbritannien ist stark auf die Entwicklung von Offshore-Windenergie angewiesen, um die 2020-Ziele zu erreichen.
Vor einem Jahr war die Situation noch nicht so vielversprechend. Geringere Nachfrage nach Windenergie, aufgrund des wirtschaftlichen Abschwungs und der Überkapazität im Markt sorgten dafür, dass die Preise für Windturbinenenergie auf ihren niedrigsten Stand im Jahr 2010 sanken.
Gleichermassen sorgten immer heftigere Preiskämpfe zwischen neuen Marktteilnehmern aus Asien und europäischen Herstellern von Windturbinen dafür, dass ineffiziente Marktteilnehmer aus dem Markt verschwanden. Offshore-Windenergie stellt weiterhin eine Grauzone dar, für die praktische Aspekte, was den Betrieb und die Instandhaltung und Wartung der Offshore-Windturbinen im Winter angeht, noch geprüft werden müssen.
Mittel- und Osteuropa wird sich voraussichtlich als Low-Cost-Markt mit geringerem Technologie-Niveau entwickeln. Dies macht es zur attraktiven Marktregion für asiatische Hersteller.
“Während es schwierig ist, im westeuropäischen Markt Fuss zu fassen, werden die aufkommenden Märkte in Mittel- und Osteuropa mehr durch Preis- denn durch Technologiefragen bestimmt, was eine niedrigere Eintrittsbarriere darstellt,“ so Patil weiter. „Was Offshore-Technologie angeht, so ist das Timing wichtig; wenn auch eine nachweisbare Erfolgsbilanz eine kritische Rolle spielt. Unternehmen, die zu lange darauf warten, dass andere ihre Technologie testen und bestätigen, laufen Gefahr, die Wachstumsmöglichkeiten zu verpassen.“
In den gesättigten westeuropäischen Märkten müssen Unternehmen nicht nur die beste Technologie liefern, sondern auch hervorragende Servicepakete anbieten, um ihren Marktanteil zu behalten oder hinzu zu gewinnen. In den aufkommenden mittel- und osteuropäischen Märkten, werden Hersteller von Windturbinen besonders effizient und kostengünstig sein müssen, um in den Preiskämpfen bestehen zu können.
Diejenigen, die früh ins Offshore-Segment einsteigen, werden davon profitieren, indem sie einen signifikanten Marktanteil sichern können und eine Erfolgsbilanz aufbauen. Zudem werden Sie wichtige Erfahrungen sammeln können in Bezug auf die Sicherung der Finanzierung von Offshore-Windparks.
“Europäische Hersteller müssen weiterhin technologisch überlegene Windturbinen bei einem wettbewerbsfähigen Preis produzieren,” rät Patil. „Dabei können sie ihre technologische Führungsposition nutzen, um fortschrittliche Offshore-Windturbinen mit höheren Kapazitäten zu entwickeln, welche ihnen dazu verhelfen werden, Vorteile durch ihre Führungsposition im Markt zu erlangen.“
Bei Interesse an weiteren Informationen zur Frost & Sullvan Studie European Wind Energy Markets wenden Sie sich bitte unter Angabe Ihrer vollständigen Kontaktdaten an Katja Feick - Corporate Communications (katja.feick@frost.com).
Die Studie European Wind Energy Markets ist Bestandteil des Growth Partnership Service Programms Energy & Power.
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USA +72%
Deutschland +20%
Weltweit +15%
-Stadtwerke investieren vermehrt in Windenergie
-Es kommen immer neue Länder in den Windmarkt, die vorher noch nicht auf Wind gesetzt haben oder nur Minimal
-Die Länder, wie Deutschland, die schon Windenergie installiert haben wollen noch mehr Wind, vor allem Bayern und Baden-Würtemberg, aber auch im Norden ist noch ne Menge Möglich, auch durch Repowering
Nordex selber:
Dein Link benutzt zwar noch Daten von 2010, aber selbst da hat Nordex schon einen Buchwert von 5,55 Euro! Und im ersten HJ 2011 müsste der Buchwert bei 5,70 ca gewesen sein , der Kurs ist aber bei nur 4,10 Euro
Vergleich einfach mal den Börsenwert von ca 300 Mio mit Bilanzsumme, Eigenkapital, Cashbestand, Umsatz,Aktiva Zukunftsaussichten usw...
Einfaches Beispiel:
Nordex hat weltweit eine Kapazität von 3.500 MW, wird aber nur zu ca 1/3 momentan ausgenutzt, eine Marge von 4 wird angestrebt.
Wir wissen dass der windmarkt anzieht und wir wissen dass jeder neue Auftrag bis zu Kapazitätsgrenze weniger Produktinskosten nach sich zieht(Siehe Grenzkosten und Kapazitätsgrenze-die Stückkosten sinken)
Also hat Nordex bei einem starken Windmarkt ein Potential von 3.500 MW, was ca 3,5 Milliarden Euro Umsatz pro Jahr wären, dazu kommt noch das Servicegeschäft und wir wären bei ca 4 Milliarden euro pro Jahr!
Nimm hier mal ne Marge von 4%, das wären dann 160 Mio Euro Gewinn bei einem Börsenwert von 300 Mio?
Für mich ist Nordex sehr klar unterbewertet verglichen mit den Möglichkeiten was hier noch kommen kann.
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Automation Speeds Up Turbine Production
By Richard Baillie, Contributor
18. Oktober 2011 | 4 Comments
Increasing automation in the wind industry is equivalent to the changes that resulted in the mechanisation of the automotive sector nearly a century ago.
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LONDON -- Nordex has modernised its European production centre in Rostock in order to significantly improve the efficiency and production quality of the plant. In doing so it is continuing a trend toward automation in the wind industry, which is broadly equivalent to the changes that resulted in the mechanisation of the automotive industry nearly a century ago.
Nordex has converted its nacelle and switch cabinet factory to continuous flow production. The results of this modernisation are standardised work processes and shorter throughput times, making it possible to triple capacity in the two-shift operation from 330 to around 1,000 turbines a year. This equates to output of 2,500 MW. Nordex has also reduced the production time and rotating stock by some 30 percent. Throughout time has fallen from 13 days to just five days.
Overall, Nordex has set up three lines for the main components — the nacelle, hub and drive train — and three further lines for pre-assembly. The company decided in favour of a rail system with friction wheel drive. For this the technology had to be adapted to the existing hall layout. The most suitable solution proved to be a skid system with an angular transfer unit designed to take heavy weights. For construction of the switch cabinets the skids are moved by a drag chain conveyor. In this way Nordex has converted the entire nacelle assembly to continuous flow.
A Low-vertical Integration Approach
Nordex is taking a low-vertical integration approach to supply chain management, says CEO Dr Marc Sielemann, whose own background is in the automotive industry. "In the early stages (of windmill production) the supply chain might not be developed so you may do things you otherwise wouldn’t, but in the long run nobody can be the best at everything. Someone who is best in the decathlon won’t win the 100 metrers and so we are building a team of highly professional partners, each belonging to the best in their sphere."
But this new technology is only one part of the changeover. The organisational changes made are of key importance. For example, dock assembly made it difficult to determine the actual production status and the picture presented by the production hall was that of rows of shelves full of material. Now the assembly lines are designed in accordance with the principle of synchronisation and the required material is available directly at the assembly station — Nordex has minimised its stock-keeping and moved it out of the hall. "We’ve invested around €4 million but only around €1.7 million of that is in new machinery," says Sielemann.
Fixed contract amounts have been replaced by rolling forecast and the staged call off principle whereby the delivery schedule is organised according to a series of flexible release steps. "We found (when building a gearbox) that the hard part the supplier had was ordering bearings, but the with the changes we’ve made the supplier can build up an inventory of bearings," says Sielemann, adding that Nordex is now 95 percent accurate in terms of its demand schedule.
While new technology has improved production, organisational changes are key to effective modernization (Source: Nordex)
On top of this, large screens now inform all staff about progress in the respective cycle and along the entire production line. Any disruptions in the assembly process are immediately evident and can be remedied in good time. This minimises downtimes and error rate.
"For the efficiency programme in our production division we were able to adopt many principles from other industries," said Sielemann. "We attached particular importance to transparency and organised trouble-shooting as they make it possible for us to continuously optimise production."
"We built the most modern truck plant in Europe," says Sielemann, "and now we have built the most modern turbine plant in Europe."
Sielemann says that having a modern facility brings additional benefits throughout the company.
"In the old days, people would finish one turbine then celebrate by drinking beer and having a barbecue but things have moved on from there. Line production now forces discipline on other parts of the organisation. For example, in the past suppliers would say 'two days more or less' but now it has to really work and we can also do better TCO evaluations. Buying the cheapest might not turn out to be the best given the recurrent problems it could cause in production."
Sielemann also stresses the need for what he calls "visual transparency." He says, "The state of the factory is now apparent to everybody at every point in time. Additional markings on the floor show the place for material. Boards, cards and lights show the state of processes. Performance is measured and tracked on team boards."
Sielemann believes that further mechanisation will be an ongoing trend in wind energy. "The idea of changing our production came up two years ago and that was one of the reasons why I joined Nordex — because we needed to industrialise our processes. We are not the first but we are the most thorough," says Sielemann.
"It’s not about the techniques of production, there’s no secret about the technical side, it’s the organisational side that’s tougher," says Sielemann. "We’re more focused on team meetings, key learning and that kind of thing. When I worked for MAN I saw that Toyota had invented a way of organising production into three key areas: line assembly, relationship with suppliers and continuous improvement in shop floor management. That’s what we are trying to achieve at Nordex. We’ve already integrated this system at our factories in Arkansas and in Rostock but not yet in China."
Modernisation across the Sector
Nordex is not the only company in the sector that sees the necessity to modernise its production processes in order to lower costs and remain competitive.
Back in 2006 when the wind power industry was being squeezed by a turbine shortage, the largest manufacturer of turbines in the world, GE Energy, announced advances in its production chain that could help squeeze out a few more turbines to help meet robust worldwide demand. In Germany, GE Energy’s wind business has opened a new 80-tonne wind turbine "moving line" in its Salzbergen manufacturing facility to help to meet increased global demand for turbines.
GE’s moving line is a 42-meter rail system on which the turbines are continuously moved during production. It was designed for the manufacture of both GE 1.5 and multi-megawatt wind turbines and offered a 30 percent increase in capacity along with quality and safety improvements.
GE says the efficiency of the line enabled it to increase its capacity by 30 percent while reducing its inventory by 40 percent at the Salzbergen plant. A key feature of the line is its capability to detect abnormalities should they occur in wind turbine assembly, and to halt the manufacturing process until the issues are resolved. It can move at various speeds to accommodate different output levels.
The introduction of stable and standardised processes forms the basis of reliable deliveries to customers and guarantees high-quality products (Source: Nordex)
But while GE set the pace, the rest of the field is eager to catch up. Doosan Power Systems, part of the Korean industrial conglomerate Doosan Heavy, is the new kid on the block. The Korean company has unveiled plans to develop a 6-MW offshore-specific turbine. It plans to develop the turbine in order to enter the European market, where the company says it has identified a significant opportunity by 2020.
Doosan says it has decided to aggressively step up its campaign to industrialise its wind power business. The company also says it plans to co-develop core parts, including blades, with local small and medium-sized enterprises.
It currently offers a geared 3-MW wind turbine product, first developed in 2004 and commercially launched towards the end of 2010, although currently this is mainly for its domestic market. In September 2009, Doosan installed a prototype machine in Gimnyeong, Jeju Island where the island’s autonomous government is aggressively supporting the development of wind energy technology.
While the conceptual specification of the new 6-MW machine is complete, Doosan says it is currently finalising both the technical details of the system as well as options for manufacturing and assembly. Scotland is one option being favourably considered with groundbreaking anticipated in 2012.
An on-site pilot prototype is due to be installed by the end of 2013 and this will be followed in 2014 by prototype and demonstration units offshore, likely comprising three to four machines. Currently, the company foresees commercial series production in 2015. However, it is also in discussion with its partners with a view to exploring an option to accelerate the development programme by a full year. In addition, it is open to the concept of jointly developing pilot schemes with utility partners.
Already, Doosan and Scottish Enterprise have agreed to enter into a Memorandum of Understanding that will likely see the company locate its R& D Centre of Excellence for Renewables at its current site at Westway in Renfrew, near Glasgow. A second phase will advance a further proposal for the establishment of assembly and manufacturing facilities in Scotland — now the company’s favoured location for wind turbine prototype-build and manufacturing.
Meanwhile, the Danish wind turbine manufacturer Vestas says it will invest approximately €10 million in the next two years in Viveiro in Lugo in order to establish local production of generators.
The factory in Viveiro was chosen due to its existing skilled workforce that will enable Vestas to manufacture generators, one of the main components in a Vestas turbine. It is planned that the new factory will directly support the production capacity of the nacelle factory in Leon, which is currently under extension. When the investment is completed, the factory in Viveiro will produce 2 MW generators required for the V90 2 MW turbine.
But Vestas is also looking to move the centre of its operations eastwards to where many believe the new heart of Europe’s wind industry now lies, given a combination of generous operator subsidies, enthusiastic government support and an abundance of wind.
Vestas has installed over 20 wind turbines in Romania and recently opened its Eastern European hub in the capital Bucharest. The opening of a local production factory may follow. "Like any market production is determined by demand," says Andrew Hilton, vice president of communications. "Vestas has the correct capacity for the current market demand. As markets grow we always consider if there is a business case for setting up local production, hence our recently announced plans for a factory in the U.K. As developing markets like Romania mature we will be looking to find local suppliers in areas where we see development potential."
GE Energy is also making its presence felt out East. The energy behemoth supplied 240 wind turbines to the CEZ Group for the 600-MW Fantanele project in Romania, Europe’s largest onshore wind project. In Poland, 110.5 MW of wind energy capacity has been installed, comprising 21 2.5-MW turbines and 39 1.5-MW turbines. In April GE announced its first wind farm project in Bulgaria, developed with local partner the Winslow Group and expected to generate up to 69 MW of power.
An Emerging Market
Magdalena Dziegielewska, research analyst for energy and power systems at Frost & Sullivan, states that the overall market for wind farm components in Eastern Europe is just beginning to take shape. "The first visible signs of growth are seen in foundry and welding sectors. However, these components are mostly produced for wind farms located in Eastern Europe."
The benefits work both ways, says Dziegielewska. "[Eastern European] companies also participate in Western European projects, however they are usually sub-contractors for local firms and provide work related to painting and welding of steel parts."
With regards to projects in Eastern Europe she believes Western European suppliers are using local firms to make substantial cost savings. "Due to the significant size of components and high transportation costs that vary from €60–€80 per kilometre manufacturers are looking for sub-contractors and sub-suppliers among local producers," she explains.
Looking to the future, there is clearly the potential for major wind turbine manufacturers to operate manufacturing bases in Eastern Europe, especially if markets like Romania and Poland continue their impressive growth.
Modernisation around the World
Outside Europe, factories in the US are also looking to modernise their production facilities. Spanish firm Gamesa Wind, the number two producer of wind turbines worldwide, has aggressively ramped up production of its wind turbines at an abandoned US Steel plant in Bucks County, Pennsylvania in order to enter the U.S. alternative energy market. The plant is now capable of producing two 300-foot tall steel and carbon fibre wind towers every day. One year’s production output has the potential energy generating capacity of 700 MW.
Working closely with state and local economic development and regulatory agencies, the site was ready for initial production within six months. Renovating an existing building in a timely manner was critical to meeting the market window for Gamesa products. As with Nordex in Rostock, Gamesa chose to recycle a brownfield site, thereby saving on the costs of constructing a new building entirely from scratch.
Another noteworthy project in terms of automation is WinWinD Power Energy’s manufacturing facility at Vengal, not far from Chennai, in India. The Vengal facility will assemble and test nacelle hubs and produce rotor blades, and will initially manufacture utility grade 1-MW (WWD-1) wind turbines. The plant has an initial production capacity of four wind turbine generators per day (12 blades) and going forward, the company plans to scale up capacity to eight (24 blades) per day.
With 26,000 subscribers and a global readership in over 170 countries around the world, Renewable Energy World Magazine is targeted at those who make growth happen in renewable industries. Covering policy, technology, finance, markets and more, Renewable Energy World magazine covers all technologies and all markets. Published six times per year, a special Directory of Suppliers Issue is published in July/August which is distributed year round at key renewable energy events worldwide.
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Nordex has converted its nacelle and switch cabinet factory to continuous flow production. The results of this modernisation are standardised work processes and shorter throughput times, making it possible to triple capacity in the two-shift operation from 330 to around 1,000 turbines a year. This equates to output of 2,500 MW. Nordex has also reduced the production time and rotating stock by some 30 percent. Throughout time has fallen from 13 days to just five days...."
http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/...nesday-October19-2011
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Kein Interesse da immer zu scrollen wo der alte Beitrag eines Diskussionspartners war, weil hier 15 Post in 10 Minuten eingepflanzt werden.
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12:49
#606
Diskussion führen kann, ohne das hier immer dieser Irre alles vollspamt bin ich mal raus.
Kein Interesse da immer zu scrollen wo der alte Beitrag eines Diskussionspartners war, weil hier 15 Post in 10 Minuten eingepflanzt werden.
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meingott: Ahja...meinen Avatar muss ich noch ändern
12:50
#607
Je weiter wir runter kommen, umso mehr brennt ab ;-)))
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Ist kontraproduktiv also sein so nett und lass es!!
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Wind Boom USA - Chancen für europäische Firmen aus der Windbranche
Veranstalter: German-American Dialog on Renewable Energy (GADORE) in Kooperation mit American Wind Energy Association (AWEA), dem Ministerium für Wirtschaft, Mittelstand und Energie des Landes Nordrhein-Westfalen, der EnergieAgentur.NRW sowie der HUSUM WindEnergy.
Veranstaltungsort: Excelsior Hotel Ernst, Köln
Veranstaltungzeitraum: 9:00 bis 17:00 Uhr (beide Tage)
Veranstaltungsgebühr: 560,- EUR bzw. 500,- EUR (zzgl. MwSt.)
Die amerikanische Windbranche hat im letzten Jahre 5244 Megawatt (MW) installiert und damit in nur einem Jahr die nationale installierte Leistung um 45 Prozent gesteigert. Dahinter stecken Investitionen von über 9 Milliarden US Dollar, wie die American Wind Energy Association (AWEA) kürzlich bekannt gab. “Dies ist das dritte Jahr eines Rekordwachstums, das dazu beitragen wird, die Windenergie als eine der größten Ressourcen für eine neue Energieversorgung im Land zu etablieren”, sagte denn auch AWEA Executive Director Randall Swisher.
Dennoch bereitet die instabile Förderung der Windbranche in den letzten Jahren Sorge. Der Production Tax Credit (PTC) und entsprechende Steuergutschriften drohen Ende des Jahres auszulaufen. Deutlich werden Congress und Präsident aufgefordert, das derzeit einzige nationale Förderinstrument zu verlängern und so Stabilität zu gewährleisten.
Die U.S. Windbranche kann derzeit installierte 16 818 MW vorweisen. Auffallend ist, dass Texas vor Kalifornien, Minnesota, Iowa und Washington mit installierten 4 356 MW führt.
Neben der politischen Lobbyarbeit der AWEA gibt es noch ein zweites Betätigungsfeld des amerikanischen Windverbandes: Die Nachfrage nach Anlagen ist groß, die Lieferzeiten zu lang. Weder Hersteller noch Zulieferer scheinen mit der Nachfrage in Europa und Nordamerika Schritt halten zu können.
Eine interne aktuelle Studie der AWEA „Value Chain Marketing Priorities Assessment 2007” benennt daher konkrete Engpässe und formuliert Strategien. Es fehlt besonders an Getrieben, Generatoren und großen Lagern. Verantwortlich ist neben der globalen Konkurrenz um die wichtigsten Rohstoffe auch der zu langsame Aufbau von Produktionskapazitäten. Positiv feststellbar sei allerdings, dass die wichtigsten Hersteller finanzielle Anreize für Lieferanten und langfristige Verträge anbieten, um hier entgegenzuwirken. Kritisch seien allerdings auch folgende Bereiche: die Verfügbarkeit von Kränen, die Transportkapazität und der Betrieb und die Wartung der Anlagen.
Wind Boom USA – Opportunities for European Companies in the Wind Industry – lautet daher der Titel einer Veranstaltung, die am 14. und 15.4. in Köln stattfindet. Zielgruppe der Veranstaltung sind europäische mittelständische Unternehmen und Großunternehmen, die ihre Marktchancen in den USA nutzen möchten. Kooperationspartner der Veranstaltung sind die American Wind Energy Association (AWEA), das Ministerium für Wirtschaft, Mittelstand und Energie des Landes Nordrhein-Westfalen und die EnergieAgentur.NRW sowie die HUSUM WindEnergy.
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Was er scheinbar nicht versteht ist, dass er damit mehr Investoren abschreckt als wirklich informiert.
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In a finely crafted statement that managed to convey both satisfaction with the wind industry’s success to date and concerns about its prospects going forward, the American Wind Energy Association announced Tuesday that the new wind farm additions for...
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Ihr seit den Lesern schuldig, dass ihr endlich mal ehrlich werdet!
Hört mit den Negativlügen hier auf!
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http://www.presseportal.de/pm/60704/2148997/...wind-power-investments
16.11.2011 | 13:32 Uhr
|2148997
Banks: Substantial Growth in EU Offshore Wind Power Investments
Brussels, November 16 (ots/PRNewswire) - As Europe faces the danger of recession, one industry is planning massive growth.
The European offshore wind industry is set to more than triple its annual investments over the next decade - creating jobs, manufacturing and construction opportunities in many countries. At the end of the month, the world's largest offshore wind power event takes place in Amsterdam where leading industry figures and investors will discuss how offshore wind can replicate the success of the onshore industry.
The 7,500 participants will include the global investor Blackstone, the Dutch Rabobank, the Danish Export Credit Fund, ING Bank, Green Giraffe Energy Bankers, financial analysts Bloomberg, many Chief Finance Officers of European utilities and public financing institutes like Norddeutsche Landesbank. Not to mention wind turbine manufacturers, wind farm developers and other participants in the growing offshore wind industry.
The European Wind Energy Association expects annual investments in the European offshore wind industry to reach 10 billion Euros by 2020.
The offshore wind industry has shown strong growth despite difficulties in accessing financing due to the financial crisis (installations in 2011 are expected to be 13% up on installations in 2010).
"So far the financing squeeze has not really been felt very much in the offshore wind industry," said Henrik Stiesdal, Chief Technology Officer of Siemens Wind Power.[1] "I guess the main reasons are that many deals are balance sheet financed by very solid companies, and that many parties can clearly see the long-term solidity of the business. In that respect we are very different from many other businesses."
"As Europe struggles to avoid economic standstill, this gathering of the offshore wind industry could hardly be more timely," said Christian Kjaer, Chief Executive of the European Wind Energy Association (EWEA). "Offshore wind energy is a new industry with huge potential in which European companies are world leaders. Europe needs this industry to take off more than ever before."
EWEA OFFSHORE 2011 takes place at Amsterdam RAI from 29 November until 1 December 2011.
For more information, please see the EWEA OFFSHORE 2011 website [http://www.ewea.org/offshore2011 ].
EWEA - European Wind Energy Association asbl/vzw
[1] In: Wind Directions,the European Wind Industry Magazine, EWEA, December 2011, WD Volume 30/No 5, to be published on 30 November 2011.
Contact:
Peter Sennekamp, Media Officer, Mobile: +32-496-91-93-15
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Wind Power to be as Cheap as Natural Gas by 2016
In a few places, wind power is already as cheap as natural gas or coal-fired electricity. By and large, however, it's still a bit more expensive in most regions 'round the world. But not for long.
Climate Progress points us to this report in Bloomberg New Energy Finance, which has the scoop: "The cost of electricity from onshore wind turbines will drop 12% in the next five years thanks to a mix of lower-cost equipment and gains in output efficiency."
And that 12% drop will have huge implications, as Bloomberg reports: "The best wind farms in the world already produce power as economically as coal, gas and nuclear generators; the average wind farm will be fully competitive by 2016."
This means that wind power will hit grid parity pretty much everywhere in just a handful of years -- which is really encouraging news for clean energy advocates. The two factors that have led to the plummeting cost of installing and operating wind power are a) improvements in technology that have increased generation capacity -- read: bigger, more efficient, more aerodynamic turbines. And b) an estimated 7% "experience curve"; Bloomberg has determined that costs have dropped 7% every time the worldwide wind power capacity has doubled. And since we started with 0.3 GW in 1984, and will now have 240 GW by the end of the year, that's a whole lot of cost reduction.
The moral of this story is clear: there is nothing more important in the quest for cleaner energy than getting it out in the world. Far too many of the opinion-makers in Washington and beyond constantly condemn the entire clean energy sector for not yet being "ready". Wind and solar need more research; more investment, more time before we try to deploy them to scale, they say. It's an ultra-common argument. It's also wrong.
We need, more than anything, aggressive policies that will get wind farms on the ground, solar panels on rooftops, and arrays in the deserts. We need a price on carbon, more consistent tax breaks for clean energy, and feed-in tariff schemes. The more we get clean power sources out there, the more efficient the relevant supply chains and infrastructure (both physical and political) will become. Competition will drive improvements in technology, and costs will come down as the industry heats up. To be sure, we should continue funding R&D and incubating promising technologies. But as we can see with the story of wind power, there's no substitute for deployment.
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Und noogman bzw meingott könntet ihr beiden mal mit dem Negativspam aufhören?
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http://www.trust.org/alertnet/news/...s-development-hopes-in-n-kenya/
Wind power project raises development hopes in N. Kenya
16 Nov 2011 09:41
Source: alertnet // Evelyn Kahungu
People walk near wind turbines at the Kenya Electricity Generating Company (KenGen) station in Ngong hills, about 22 km (14 miles) southwest of Kenya's capital Nairobi, Sept. 8, 2010. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya
By Evelyn Kahungu
SALIMA, Kenya (Panos London/AlertNet) – The impoverished women and children of Salima village in Kenya’s remote arid north have little choice but to beg for food and water from passing traffic along the main route to Loiyangalani on Lake Turkana’s eastern shore.
They live in one of the poorest places in one of the country’s poorest districts, on the fringes of the Chalbi Desert. Home to tribes of semi-nomadic pastoralists, the region has experienced years of paralysing droughts that have killed many of the animals.
Most of the men have left to look for work in towns, and the few who have stayed are out hunting for water and pasture for their remaining goats and sheep, among the scattered acacia trees and black lava rocks. Environmental stress has led to an increase in raids on livestock and inter-ethnic conflict. Guns, slung across men’s shoulders, are a common sight.
Decades of under-investment in the area mean there are no tarmac roads and the “dry weather roads” that exist get washed away in the wet season. Many families depend on international food aid, and there is little access to healthcare and education.
Yet there is one thing this desolate spot does have in abundance: wind. Blowing south from the Sahara and the Ethiopian highlands across the border, it could bring a better future for local people - or so they have been promised.
Attracted by the potential of what experts say is one of the windiest places on earth, a consortium of Dutch and Kenyan investors, led by the African Development Bank, has leased 25,000 square kilometres of land to build Africa’s biggest wind farm, at a projected cost of 585 million euros ($819 million).
INADEQUATE, UNSTABLE POWER SUPPLY
Lake Turkana Wind Power (LTWP) plans to erect more than 350 towering wind turbines on the desert expanses near the shores of the world’s biggest permanent desert lake. The project aims to produce 300 megawatts (MW) of electricity per year, boosting Kenya’s energy supply by 30 percent.
This, in turn, is expected to boost the Kenyan economy while aiding local development and reducing poverty in the area.
Kenya certainly needs to increase its energy supply. More than 80 percent of the country has no access to grid electricity. The situation is even worse in rural areas, where only 4 percent of households are connected.
The residents of Salima - the only village that falls within the boundaries of the wind project - are among the 96 percent of rural Kenyans without electricity, lacking power for lights, cooking, water pumps, radio and television.
An average Kenyan family spends 20 Ksh ($0.25) on kerosene every night, adding up to $91 per year, according to Erik Hersman, a Nairobi-based technology expert and blogger, making cheap, sustainable alternatives are welcome. More widely, education, agricultural improvements and the expansion of municipal water systems and industrial activity all require abundant, reliable and cost-effective energy access.
Around two thirds of Kenya’s energy currently comes from hydropower - which is good until the rains fail.
Prolonged drought in 2009 caused riverbeds to dry up and crippled the country’s hydroelectric plants. Rolling blackouts around the country, from industry centres to shantytowns, forced manufacturers and other businesses to reduce output.
And the cost of the country’s unreliable power network is passed on to the people. Kenya’s oil import bill in 2008 consumed 55 percent of the country's foreign exchange earnings from exports, according to a research paper by Jeremiah Kiplagat, a researcher at Nairobi’s Kenyatta University.
As a result of these factors, energy prices have soared, hitting residential and business customers alike, while supplies remain unpredictable.
PROMISES STILL ON PAPER
Given the key role of electric power in supporting economic and social development, funding rural electrification is regarded as a way of alleviating poverty.
In a 2009 African Development Bank report backing the Lake Turkana wind project, promises were made - including new roads, employment opportunities, the installation of two sub-stations to distribute electricity locally, access to good quality water, and development of health and education facilities.
But Mark Ekale, the elected councillor of Loiyangalani, says the community has not yet been given enough information about the project and how it will affect them.
“Lake Turkana Wind Project has only been negotiating with elite members of the community based in Nairobi, and neglecting the grassroots whose lives will be greatly affected by the project once it commences,” he said.
Nearly all the local benefits outlined in 2009 have yet to be realised, Ekale says, although the project sometimes delivers water to local communities.
Managers say the problem is that the wind power scheme has been stalled several times. It was originally scheduled to be producing energy by June this year, scaling up to full capacity by 2012.
But when the government watered down financial guarantees for investors, securing the necessary funding took longer than planned. The wind turbines are now due to be installed next year with power generation starting in 2013 and not reaching full capacity until 2014.
Kiama Kaara of the Kenya Debt Relief Network says the LWTP has not provided enough detail on how promises to local people will be fulfilled.
“If you remove the hyperbole, major questions emerge,” he said. “How about the locals, or the nearby areas? How will they benefit? How will the villages join the grid? How will the developmental component of the project be enhanced?”
LTWP director Chris Staubo says a 20-year corporate social responsibility plan will be put in place, funded by a percentage of the project’s profits at no cost to local communities.
They will also benefit from an upgraded 204km road to the remote site, as well as a power transmission line serving Loiyangalani, South Horr, Kulal, Gatab and Kargi, according to Staubo.
But connections to households have to be carried out by the state-owned Kenya Power and Lighting Company and power generating company KenGen, as the LTWP is only permitted to generate electricity not distribute it, he adds.
‘MENIAL’ WORK FOR LOCAL PEOPLE
One of the most anticipated elements among local people has been the creation of new jobs, including training to help them learn new skills and lift themselves out of poverty.
Yet, two years on, only 25 local people are employed on a permanent basis. Staubo says an estimated 2,500 people will be taken on for construction, but not all will be local.
“The local community will be a priority, but certain skills must be there [for them to do some jobs],” he explains. “Although menial, basic work will pretty much all be local.”
Peter Njeru, an environmental activist with the charity Food for the Hungry, fears that the negative impacts will outweigh the gains.
“First, local communities might not benefit from the power generated. Second, the scale of the project site means reduced grazing land. Third, the concentration of people around the area will increase human activity, leading to degradation of the land, and lastly noise pollution from the turbines will definitely affect the residents,” he says.
Staubo points out that the construction of the wind farm – including turbines, roads and power transmission lines - presents a significant risk to investors. As the first wind-power power purchase agreement done in Kenya, the government “takes no risk, no guarantees and gets power and a lot of tax payments”, he says.
In May, the LTWP gained approval to generate credits for carbon emission reductions under the U.N. Clean Development Mechanism - the fourth project in Kenya to do so. The consortium says part of the revenues from the carbon credits will be returned to the Kenyan government.
Meanwhile, until the project is operational, the residents of Salima will likely remain in the dark about whether and how it is going to improve their lives.
Evelyn Kahungu is an independent film-maker and producer based in Nairobi. She currently works at Frontier Films and Al Jazeera as a producer.
This feature was produced by Panos Lon
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