Summary •Husky is a materially different company today than it was several years ago; •With Sunrise and Liwan set to start up next year, Husky is expected to generate positive FCF after capex and dividend; •The recent pullback provides a good opportunity to take a long-term position.
Headquartered in Calgary, Husky Energy (OTCQB:HUSKF) is one of Canada's largest integrated energy companies. Husky is a materially different company today than it was several years ago when the current strategy of dividing its operations between the "Foundation and Growth Pillars" was rolled out. The company has built a diverse portfolio of upstream assets through its strategic partnerships, exploration success, and legacy position in Western Canada.
With two major projects, Sunrise and Liwan, set to start up next year, Husky is expected to generate positive free cash flow after capex and dividend. I believe the market is overestimating the cost-over runs at Sunrise and start up issues at Liwan and as a result underestimating the cash flow impact of these projects. The company is currently trading at a discount compared to its peers. The market is not fully appreciating the power of Husky's integration model, the significant improvement of its upstream operations outlook in the last several years, and the value of the company's midstream and downstream assets.
A Deep Diversified Portfolio
Husky over the last few years has significantly improved its operations. From a pipeline of only large, long-term projects the company shifted its portfolio to many near and medium term opportunities. The company's current portfolio now includes all near, medium, and long-term projects. Husky's deep, diversified portfolio allows the company to deliver predictable stable earnings. The Calgary, Canada based company has more high-return opportunities (IRR of 15% or more) than its capex allows it to develop. |