March 18th, 2008
A number of our readers have informed us that they have recently moved out of uranium stocks and are intent on investing in the more glamorous gold and silver sector. We are long time gold and silver bugs but we question the wisdom of this move.
First of all gold is at an all time high at $1000 plus and its recent progress has been explosive, from $650 in September 2007, truly magnificent gains.
The same pretty much applies to silver which is also basking in the limelight.
Uranium stocks have however been beaten to the ground with falls of 60% in some cases. However, these stocks have shown signs that the worst is over and some have climbed back a little.
So, having suffered a loss in one sector is it a smart move to pull out and reinvest in another sector. Well, if the other sector is gold, then you are investing in a sector that is all ready at record highs. Ask yourself, is now the time to be doing this? Are you going to stay with it until gold reaches say, $2000, $5000? or if it corrects on short term profit taking and you suffer another loss will you be on the move again.
As a strategy we should be buying when there is ‘blood in the streets’ and not when everyone else is clamouring for the stock that you want. The blood is more or less in Uranium Street but that can not be said for the gold sector.
We don’t want to deter you from enjoying the success of the gold and silver sector, where we have a considerable holding, but we do question the timing of such a move. Timing is a vital ingredient to your decision making process.
We are observers at the moment and are concerned that a correction in the precious metals and their associated stocks is imminent. So we are not buyers at this time. As for the long term gold has a long way to go. Uranium stocks could remain shaky for the time being as they have taken a battering and need to stabilise before heading north, which they undoubtedly will.
Try to stay calm and allow your thoughts to thoroughly work through the possibilities that are right for you and read as widely as you can.
Whichever way you play it we wish you every success and if you can find the time, do let us know what your thoughts are and how your investments are working out for you.
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Have a good one. |