Aixtron purpose of this thread

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18.06.21 09:39

1448 Postings, 5148 Tage baggo-mhThank you CWL1

I was never gone as some of you know. I was just distracted by the circumstances.
Pandemic
Cancer (my neighbor told me yesterday she is suffering from lung cancer. She is 4 years younger than me never smoked a cigarette in her entire life)
BioNTech
Hopefully we can meet in good health at the AGM 2022.

Best regards
laugthing coolbaggo-mh

 

18.06.21 10:04

1448 Postings, 5148 Tage baggo-mh@Alexandrow

Hi Alex,

danke für die lieben Worte und die Anteilnahme.

Ich dachte du hättest den Champus ausgelobt für das Erreichen der € 25 in 2021. Möglicherweise war das auch bei W:O. Die Kursrichtung stimmt auf jeden Fall auch heute wieder.

Wäre schön einige von euch bei der HV 2022 kennen zu lernen. Machen wir erst den Champus nieder und wechseln dann zu Bier.

Gruß
laugthing cool baggo-mh


 

21.06.21 13:34
3

5888 Postings, 3943 Tage dlg.Bei Interesse...

...AlsterResearch ist heute mit einem 22-Seiten "Initiation Report" rausgekommen ("Buy" mit Kursziel 28 Euro).  Weiß nicht, wie lange der 'downloadbar' bleibt, daher legt Euch ins Zeug: https://www.research-hub.de
 

21.06.21 21:36

407 Postings, 2335 Tage Alexandrow@baggo,

du bist wohl  ein kleines Schlitzohr?  Der Champus war/ist mein Einsatz für denjenigen, der gegen meine Prognose 25 € wetten wollte/will.
Es hat sich aber niemand gefunden und beim jetzigen Stand wird das auch niemand mehr riskieren wollen.
Genehmigen werden wir uns denn noch einen!

LG WAlex  

08.07.21 10:51

407 Postings, 2335 Tage AlexandrowJetzt

sind wohl wieder einmal die Hedgefonds im Spiel :-(  

08.07.21 11:22
1

566 Postings, 6275 Tage fel216komischer Move

Hi Alex,

ich erachte es auch als komische Kursentwicklung, zumal auf recht geringem Volumen.. vielleicht bekommt hier einer (mehrere?) kalte Füsse vor dem Hintergrund der Tapering Diskussion und verkauft mit seine Gewinner?
Die Q2 Zahlen werden wohl (erneut) nicht der Brüller, ich habe von Erwartungen um 60m AE, 8m EBIT (inkl. der Sonderbelastungen für die APEVA Restrukturierung) aber einen sehr soliden AE ca. 120m gelesen.. nach dem eher schwachen (Umsatz/EBIT) in Q1 bringt das ggf. wieder die Diskussion mit sich, ob Aixtron die Guidance auch wirklich halten kann, da dass ja gigantisches Umsatz & EBIT in H2 bedeuten würde...
Ich glaube weiter fest an die Story und vermute (zumindest für den AE) eine Erhöhung der Guidance mit Q3, allerdings nicht mit Q2.
EUR/USD läuft ja übrigens auch für Aixtron zzt.

Insofern wäre meine Erklärung für den Kurs, dass jetzt alles "eingepreist" ist, also kein Upside mehr für die Gewinnerwartungen besteht, da der Konsens für 2021 bereits bei 427m Umsatz und 93.7m EBIT (22% Marge!) liegt.

Ich persönlich habe seit dem Kurssprung nichts großes verkauft und kaufe definitiv nochmal nach wenn es in Richtung 18-19€ fallen sollte, da ich von der Guidance Erhöhung mit Q3 ausgehe.

Q2 kommt am 29.07.

Viele Grüße!
Fel
 

09.07.21 10:40
1

566 Postings, 6275 Tage fel216EV transition gaining traction

Hi all,

just wanted to flag that the EV transition is clearly gaining momentum, following Tesla and VW the mega company Stellantis (consists of brands like Peugeot, RAM, Opel etc) yesterday announced a plan to invest € 30bn in 2021-2025 for the EV transition. The plan includes 70% of EU sold vehicles to be electric, long range (500-800km per charge), fast charging (!) and 5 EV dedicated production sites in EU/US ("Gigafactories").

To my ears this all heavily sounds like SIC is ramping hard during that period until 2025.

Also on SIC I saw this nice little video from one of the EU SIC leaders yesterday:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LeHE-7KmVvE

Link to Stellantis press release: https://www.stellantis.com/en/news/press-releases/...-in-the-mid-term

Regards,
Fel  

09.07.21 15:24
3

1102 Postings, 2509 Tage CWL1GaN future market is ...

This article is well written on the current and future applications of GaN.  Aixtron's Song Wei's comments that there are not enough GaN supply for fast charging applications alone and TSMC expanded 16 MOCVD's are worth noting.  
--------------------------------------------------
A compound annual growth rate of 70%! GaN is quickly charged and used in data centers and electric vehicles. The future market is indefinite
2021-7-8 10:44 | Views: 25 | Comments: 0

Abstract
: In recent years, the third-generation semiconductor GaN has developed rapidly. According to different substrate materials, GaN is mainly divided into several categories: Si-based GaN is currently mainly used in power periods and is gradually adopted by some RF devices; sapphire lining GaN on the bottom, mainly used in LEDs, the application has been very mature, GaN on SiC, the main application...

In recent years, the rapid development of the third generation of GaN semiconductor, depending on the substrate material, divided into several categories GaN: Si group GaN, mainly during the power applied, the partially gradually RF devices using; blue sapphire substrate GaN is mainly used in LEDs, and the application has been very mature. SiC-based GaN is mainly used in radio frequency devices of base stations, such as Huawei and ZTE. GaN-based products are mainly used in some high-energy laser devices.

At present, GaN is relatively popular in consumer applications such as charging and fast charging, and is gradually being introduced into industrial fields such as data centers, as well as in the application of electric vehicles. The future market space is unlimited. According to Yolo's data, the gallium nitride power device market in 2020 It is about 46 million U.S. dollars and is expected to grow to 1.1 billion U.S. dollars by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate of 69%.

After being brought into fire by fast charging, GaN applications began to expand to data centers, electric vehicles and other fields.

At the silicon-based gallium nitride industry development summit held by Innocent Technology not long ago, Yang Jianrong, deputy general manager of Aiji Micro, said that In the 1990s, some companies and institutions actually started to develop GaN products. However, until 2008, Toyota announced that it was preparing to use GaN and SiC in automobiles, which started to ignite the upsurge of compound semiconductors, and the development of GaN has also risen sharply. When it reached its apex around 2012, EPC released low-voltage GaN power devices, Transpherm released high-voltage GaN power devices, TSMC also released 6-inch GaN foundries, and IMEC released 8-inch silicon-based GaN technology. Many companies have entered this market.

However, because GaN has very high requirements for power, epitaxy, etc., at that time, the stability and ecology of GaN power devices were not fully developed. Later, the development declined greatly. In fact, there were some actions at this stage. Around 2014, Infineon After acquiring IR, Navitas launched 600V GaN chips around 2015. At the end of 2015, this wave of GaN development fell to the bottom.

However, GaN is still considered to be a technology with great potential. Innosys Technology was established at the bottom of the valley in 2015. After several years of slow development, it will not be until February 2020 that the Xiaomi Mi 10 launch conference will use GaN chargers. In September of the same year, the country included GaN in the 14th Five-Year Plan. In April of this year, IMEC also announced the launch of silicon-based GaN epitaxial wafers that can reach 1200V. The GaN industry is on the eve of its explosion.

The application scenarios of power GaN mainly include consumer, industrial and electric vehicles. Consumer products are mainly ultra-small power adapters. In addition, GaN can be used in notebooks and mobile phones. For example, more than 10 DC-DCs may be used in mobile phones. Power devices including all these can be converted into GaN. ; Industrial products have now begun to be used in servers, power supplies, photovoltaics and other products; applications on electric vehicles have also begun to increase, including OBC, DC-DC, etc.

At present, there are relatively many applications of 650V. For example, charging heads. Products around 900V are slowly being adopted. The last IMEC also introduced 1200V GaN epitaxial wafers, indicating that the scope of application of GaN is continuously expanding.
At present, fast charging can be said to be the most well-known application product of GaN. At the Hong Kong Electronics Show in April 2019, there were 8 new gallium nitride chargers exhibited. In February 2020, the Xiaomi 10 launch conference, Lei Jun showed gallium nitride Technology, the introduction of 65W fast charging, directly boosted the popularity of gallium nitride fast charging, and the popularity of gallium nitride fast charging has also penetrated into the hearts of consumers. According to statistics, as of the end of last month, nearly 20 models of 30W GaN chargers have been launched in China, which means that GaN has begun to spread to the low-end. This indicates that GaN has basically opened up the fast charging market.

The application of GaN in the data center can be said to be quite advantageous. The traditional Si power supply cabinet requires almost 10 power supplies and 30 services, while GaN power supplies are not only small because of their high energy density, but 6 power supplies can drive 34 servers. The data center’s original site cost is very high. If the energy density can be increased, more space can be left for servers, which not only solves the cost problem, but also saves money. The application of GaN in the data center must be very good in the future. development of.

The application of GaN in electric vehicles is also quite promising. 48V-12V DC-DC, OBC, traction inverter, etc. in automobiles can use a large number of GaN devices. It can be seen that many automobiles have introduced GaN applications in recent years. At the Tokyo Motor Show in 2019, Nagoya University and Toyota jointly developed an all-gallium nitride car, GaN used in traction inverters, DC-DC, car chargers, and LED lighting. In the near future, you can also see different institutions and Manufacturers have launched many GaN solutions for vehicles, including STMicroelectronics, Anshi, IMEC and TI.

The models of GaN companies mainly include IDM and Fabless. For example, Infineon, TI, ST, Panasonic, ON Semiconductor, PI, InnoSec, etc. are all IDM, and EPC, Dialog, Navitas, etc. are Fabless models. In terms of interest rates, IDM’s business model will have more advantages. For example, 6-inch silicon-based GaN, without packaging costs, the silicon substrate accounts for a relatively low proportion, about 5-8%, and the epitaxy and the substrate account for the entire 90% of the cost, of which gallium nitride epitaxial wafers account for 40-50%, and gallium nitride devices account for 45-55%. If it is only a Fabless manufacturer, both devices and epitaxy need to be outsourced, and the overall gross profit level is relatively low, so The industry believes that the IDM model can have a higher gross profit margin.

GaN is on the eve of the outbreak. In addition to fast charging, there are five killer applications.

Currently GaN investment is hot. Is it a bubble or is it really the eve of the outbreak? Yu Kunshan, secretary general of the third-generation semiconductor industry technology innovation strategic alliance, said that from two perspectives, five years ago, the investment in GaN was very small. At that time, many companies were in a difficult state and were in a state of maintaining and surviving. Now they are investing Very large. Last year, the entire third-generation semiconductor industry investment including silicon carbide and gallium nitride, a total of 23 investments, a total investment of about 69.4 billion, of which 55 billion of silicon carbide, and 144 of gallium nitride related investments 100 million yuan.

Although it looks like a lot now, it is not much when I look back in five years. The investment may increase to 10 times at that time. For the development of GaN, the investment is only the beginning of the construction of factories, and more investment is needed to maintain the industry in the future. Yu Kunshan believes that to jointly build an industrial ecology, create application solutions, and bridge the gap, it means that a huge investment of resources is required, and it also needs to include government policy support, industrial capital investment, and more. Standard supporting equipment, etc., on the whole, from the perspective of development, GaN has more room for future development, and investors, practitioners, and alliances will also have more room for future development.

Song Wei, President of Aixtron, shared the market situation of GaN power devices from the perspective of equipment manufacturers. Aixtron is the world's mainstream silicon-based GaN MOCVD equipment manufacturer with a market share of more than 90%. Song Wei mentioned that the current GaN market is in short supply. According to their understanding, the current predicament facing European and American mainstream design companies is that they do not have enough capacity to support the development of the market. These design manufacturers rely heavily on TSMC and other foundries to provide capacity. Silicon-based GaN is actually on the eve of the explosion. From the perspective of the application of fast charging, it is in short supply, because the design company's production capacity is far from enough. At the beginning of this year, TSMC announced a large-scale expansion plan and announced that it would purchase 16 units. MOCVD expands its production capacity, but it will take a long time from the procurement of equipment to the ability to supply the production capacity to the market.

Fast charging is popular, but has GaN ushered in a real killer application? Yao Lunhui, head of the charging head website, said that it is certain that fast charging is a very big killer application. There are about 5 billion terminal devices in the world that require fast charging. This is a very large market composed of many products, such as mobile phones. Probably there are billions of units shipped. Tablet PCs have an annual shipment of 200 million to 200 million units. Notebook computers and maintain have about 100 million shipments. Now fast charging has been integrated into all aspects of life.

In addition to fast charging, there should be at least five killer applications. Each market does not have a shipment of hundreds of billions of units each year, and a total of hundreds of millions of units are shipped each year. The first is the PC market. Game charging notebooks and office computers are all important application markets for GaN. Each PC notebook probably needs more than dozens of GaN. The second is the charger for electric bicycles. The chargers of bicycles are very large and require relatively high volume and efficiency. This is a market worth paying attention to; the third is the outdoor power supply market that replaces fuel generators, because the country now promotes oil-to-electricity, because outdoor power sources are usually Inverter circuits are needed. The two-way inverter market will be another killer application of GaN; the fourth is a protection circuit for lithium batteries; and the fifth is a display with very high requirements for volume and thickness. So these and fast charging together form 6 killer apps.

The use of GaN for fast charging is just a small test, and there is still a very large application space in the future. Yu Kunshan said that it is mainly based on these considerations. First, GaN technology is still improving. Now the most common application is 650V. Subsequent applications of 700V, 800V, and 1200V will also gradually become popular. As the voltage increases, performance and on-resistance drop again. The technology achieved by GaN is only the first step, and the application space of GaN will be greater in the future.

Second, the country is making efforts to achieve carbon peaks and carbon neutrality. The country's strategic measures will also enhance the application of new technologies. From the perspective of home appliance companies, according to a previous survey of home appliance companies, it needs to purchase 10 billion yuan a year This company can provide 1 billion yuan of power modules. The remaining 9 billion yuan of power modules are basically provided by foreign capital. This is just a company. If it expands to all electrical industries, including data centers, electric vehicles , Energy Internet, etc., the market space can be imagined, and the two-carbon strategy will give birth to a huge GaN market.

Third, the application of fast charging is equivalent to the leader in the application of GaN material technology. It is precisely because of the application of fast charging that it has greatly promoted the development of the GaN industry chain. Under such guidance, the GaN industry ecology will gradually improve. The application of the aspect will also mature accordingly.

https://www.eda365.com/article-190429-1.html
--------------------------------------------------
I should note that IMEC's 1200V GaN applications mentioned in the article are based on Aixtron's G5+C

https://www.imec-int.com/en/press/...0v-applications-breakdown-excess

 

14.07.21 12:02

566 Postings, 6275 Tage fel216Apple to raise iPhone production by 20% this year

Hi all,

not sure how important this sort of news is these days for Aixtron but I remember that Apple Supply Chain news used to be important, so I rather post it.
There is also mention of miniLED screens for MacBook Pro - not sure if that is Aixtron relevant either.

Anything else to read into this news from Aixtron perspective? Anybody got a clue? @CWL, Baggo etc?

Regards,
Felix

Bloomberg Article from Today:

By Debby Wu and Mark Gurman
(Bloomberg) -- Apple Inc. has asked suppliers to build as
many as 90 million next-generation iPhones this year, a sharp
increase from its 2020 iPhone shipments, according to people
with knowledge of the matter.
The Cupertino, California-based tech giant has maintained a
consistent level in recent years of roughly 75 million units for
the initial run from a device’s launch through the end of the
year. The upgraded forecast for 2021 would suggest the company
anticipates its first iPhone launch since the rollout of
Covid-19 vaccines will unlock additional demand. The next
iPhones will be Apple’s second with 5G, a key enticement pushing
users to upgrade.
This year’s update will be more incremental than last
year’s iPhone 12, emphasizing processor, camera and display
improvements, the people said, asking not to be named as the
plans are not public. Apple is planning updates to all of the
current models, spanning the 5.4-inch and 6.1-inch regular
versions and the 6.1-inch and 6.7-inch Pro models. The phones,
codenamed D16, D17, D63, and D64, are all expected to be
announced in September, earlier than last year’s October
introduction partly thanks to the supply chain recovering.
At least one of the new versions will have an LTPO (low-
temperature polycrystalline oxide) display capable of
alternating its refresh rate based on the content being shown.
Apple has used this technology in the Apple Watch for several
years, allowing the screen to be slower in certain situations --
such as the Always On mode -- to extend battery life. Oppo,
OnePlus and Samsung Electronics Co. already have LTPO screens in
their flagship phones. The new iPhones with LTPO displays will
also use IGZO (indium gallium zinc oxide) technology for
improved power efficiency and responsiveness.
Read more: Apple Considers Foldable iPhone; Minor Changes
Planned for 2021
While the design of the new Apple phones will remain
largely unchanged, the company plans to reduce the size of the
front-facing camera and face unlock sensor cutout, or notch, to
better match its rivals. The company hopes to eventually remove
the notch entirely in a future version of the iPhone and is
likely to shrink its size further next year.
An Apple spokesperson declined to comment.
Apple’s camera upgrades will put the focus on more advanced
video recording features such as improved optical zoom. An
upgraded system-on-chip, built around the same six cores as the
current A14 chip, will also be included. The company has tested
an in-display fingerprint scanner for this year’s devices,
however that feature will likely not appear on this generation.

What Bloomberg Intelligence Says

Apple’s building on strong momentum from the iPhone 12
release in 2020 and may continue to benefit from 5G smartphone
upgrades and an overall improved smartphone market to follow
that up with another strong release. Still, the growth expected
in the initial production ramp is skewed by the fact that the
iPhone 12 released later than normal in 2020, while the next
iPhone is expected back to the normal late September release
window.
-- Matthew Kanterman, analyst
While Apple has asked suppliers to build up to 90 million
units, the actual number could be a few million units shy of
that target, one of the people said. Huawei Technologies Co.’s
sanction-stricken smartphone business is a major factor for
Apple’s increased shipment orders, according to another person
familiar with the strategy.
The ongoing chip shortage that has undermined operations
across several global industries is not expected to affect the
production of upcoming iPhones, some of the people said. Apple
is key chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.’s
biggest customer and its outsize orders make the launch of a new
iPhone an annual event that suppliers across Asia plan for
months in advance.
TSMC shares rose as much as 1.3% after the report of
Apple’s upgraded output plans. Among other supply partners,
fellow Taiwanese connector and power-pack maker Cheng Uei
Precision Industry Co. climbed as much as 9% and lens maker
Largan Precision Co. was up as much as 2.4%. Japanese electronic
component makers Alps Alpine Co., up as much as 3.5%, and
Renesas Electronics Corp., rising as much as 2.6%, were also
positively affected. Apple profit estimates were raised at
Citigroup.
Chinese assembly partner Luxshare Precision Industry Co. is
set to have a bigger role this year after it acquired iPhone
assembly facilities from Wistron Corp.
Read more: Apple Grooms First Mainland China IPhone Maker
While U.S. Tensions Flare
Assembler Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. will dominate
orders for the 6.7-inch Pro Max model and split the 6.1-inch Pro
with Luxshare and the 6.1-inch regular iPhone with Pegatron
Corp. Pegatron is expected to make all the 5.4-inch units.
Beyond the new iPhones, Apple is preparing several other
products for later this year, including new MacBook Pro laptops
with custom Apple chips, redesigned iPad mini and entry-tier
iPad models and Apple Watches with updated displays. Apple plans
to kick off production of the new MacBook Pro in the third
quarter after facing some issues related to MiniLED screens that
also challenged the launch of the latest iPad Pro.
To resolve the MiniLED supply issue, Apple has recruited
Luxshare to split orders for an essential MiniLED component for
the new MacBook Pro with Taiwan Surface Mounting Technology
Corp., which earlier dominated the orders for the component for
iPad Pro.  

14.07.21 16:21
6

1102 Postings, 2509 Tage CWL1Aixtron in the Apple Phones

Aixtron has >90% market shares in MOCVD for GaAs applications.

In iPhones which are 5G, GaAs is in the VCSELS for 3d-sensing on the front camera and the world facing camera and LIDAR.

GaAs is also used in RF antenna power amplifier chips which use ~4x more than in the 4G phones.  

Lastly, GaAs is now used in the latest WIFI6 in the new iPhones.

WIN semiconductor, VPEC, IQE, IIVI, Lumentum, AMS, etc. are in the supply chain for iPhones.

There is little doubt that all the GaAs in the new iPhones are made by the AIxtron G4.  

15.07.21 15:57
2

1102 Postings, 2509 Tage CWL1GaAs in the new iPhones

It is funny that DIGITIMES is saying pretty much the same one day after my post.

https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20210715PD204.html
GaAs IC firms to see strong PA demand for 5G handsets,Wi-Fi 6E devices in 2H21
Julian Ho, Taipei; Willis Ke, DIGITIMES
Thursday 15 July 2021

GaAs IC foundries Win Semiconductors and Advanced Wireless Semiconductor Company (AWSC), and GaAs epi-wafer supplier Visual Photonics Epitaxy Company (VPEC) are all poised to log significant revenue gains in the second half of 2021, buoyed by demand for the upcoming iPhones and Wi-Fi 6E related applications, according to industry sources.

Apple is set to incorporate Wi-Fi 6E technology into its new iPhones for this year, and the technology is expected to become a standard feature of both iOS and Android smartphones in 2022, the sources said.

Many chipmakers including Qualcomm, Broadcom and MediaTeK are commercializing production of Wi-Fi 6E core chips, which have to be paired with RF front-end modules including power amplifiers (PA) rolled out by vendors including Qorvo and Skyworks, the sources noted. This will provide brisk business opportunities for Taiwan's 6-inch GaAs foundries Win Semi and AWSC and epi-wafer maker VPEC as they are crucial partners for processing 5G PAs and Wi-Fi 6/6E PAs for iPhones, Android smartphones, and other consumer electronics devices, added the sources.

As new iPhones will continue to adopt 3D face ID sensors for general models and ToF LiDAR scanners for Pro series, the three GaAS players will also see their third-quarter revenues further bolstered by VCSEL chips demand for the sensing solutions, the sources said.

Win Semi's June revenues rose 2.72% on year to NT$2.057 billion (US$73.36 million), and first-half 2021 sales edged up 0.67% on year to NT$12.143 billion.

AWSC saw its June revenues rise 4.5% sequentially and 39.41% on year to a six-year high of NT$396 million, with January-June sales jumping 33.95% on year to NT$2.216 billion.

VPEC's June revenues of NT$319 million represent sequential and on-year growths of 10.4% and 56.7%, respectively. Its revenues for the first six months of the year advanced 43.6% on year reaching NT$1.785 billion.  

16.07.21 09:56

566 Postings, 6275 Tage fel216@CWL - stupid question

@CWL, the Digitimes article just underpins your deep understanding of the technology and supply chains. So great to have you as an active participant in this Forum - thank you!

A stupid question: Have you got any feel for capacity utilisation and when the supply chain needs to add more capacity, e.g. place new orders at Aixtron? Would they just be incremental or could this also result in larger orders?

By the way, I read this morning that Xiaomi is now #2 Smartphone maker globally. How far are they in terms of this technology? Any chance that they will be adopting this over the next year(s) which should lead to more capacity requirement along the supply chain?

Thanks alot!
Fel  

16.07.21 14:56

1102 Postings, 2509 Tage CWL1@Fel

Certainly several Chinese and Taiwanese firms have announced adding capacity and I have mentioned most of them here. However, I don't have the visibility on the intensities, timing  and how they sit in the Aixtron's order book.  

As far as the GaAs contents Xiaomi's phones are pretty much the same as Apple's.  The supply chains are the same with Xiaomi having additional local ones.  VCSELS (GaAs) will probably be picking up speed near term.  Other main thrusts like GaN in fast charging and other applications (two posts before), SiC (EV), and with the micro LEDs coming in, there are  several more years of 20%+ growth to come.  

Given the strong demands on Aixtron's MOCVD, I want to see improving gross margin from Aixtron. I am not satisfied with it staying at ~40% which is not a indication of strong pricing power.  I hope the Aixtron managers in particular the new CFO are doing their jobs.   Better margins especially the gross margin can prove that.  

16.07.21 17:25

1102 Postings, 2509 Tage CWL1APEVA

Lost another 8 in May and was down to 7 employees in Korea.  

21.07.21 15:47
3

1102 Postings, 2509 Tage CWL1Software Upgrade

In today's ASML's earning news it was mentioned:

"Alongside buying ASML's equipment, chipmakers invested in software to boost capacity of existing gear, Wennink said, helping drive up ASML's gross profit margin to 50.9%."

That makes me wonder.  Aixtron is developing AI-based software for its new MOCVD to run more effectively with higher yields by controlling individual wafers during run using realtime data.  I wonder if it can also be retrofitted into the existing MOCVD's.  Felix in the last CC indicated higher service sales in 2022 and I wonder if they are related.  

29.07.21 08:42
1

566 Postings, 6275 Tage fel216Q2 results: CWL was spot on

Oh oh, Nobody active Here on q2 results?

Orders even stronger than expected and FY order guidance raised! CWL was again right there is no slowdown in end market demand!

I wonder when SIC orders will come in and how long the GAN momentum will hold!

Interesting day again today as always with aix results, +10% or -10%? Both is possible!!

Regards,
Fel  

29.07.21 08:55
1

5888 Postings, 3943 Tage dlg.2Q21

Dear Fel, please do give us the time for a coffee in the morning and to read the results a couple of times :-). Probably needless to say that today’s reported numbers are outstanding...a couple of thoughts:

1H21 revenues: EUR 117m
FY guidance (I take the upper end): EUR 440m
Implicit 2H revenues EUR 223m
As a result, we should expect on average some EUR 110m revenues for the next two quarters, maybe distributed 90/130m in 3Q/4Q (which compares with 64/108m last year)?

Aixtron increased total order intake, but left the revenue guidance for 2021 unchanged; thus it’s probably fair to assume that we can be looking forward to a very good start into 2022 as well.

When Aixtron increased the full year guidance in early June, EUR/USD stood at 1.1215, now it’s at 1.185 and the order intake guidance has been increased. Consequently, the June guidance is way more conservative that it was in early June. Given this background, the EUR 2m EBIT "miss" in 2Q21 vs consensus is negligible.

Aixtron is now guiding to approx. EUR 15m per quarter in after sales revenues which compares with some EUR 11m per quarter last year. CWL, maybe a proof of your posting #1057? Looks like an incremental EUR 15-20m high-margin revenue stream p.a.

In particular, I like the following Aixtron statement: "Supply chain remains stable"

By the way, I also like the new format of the IR presentation: https://www.aixtron.com/investoren/publikationen/...0Presentation.pdf
 

29.07.21 13:04

5888 Postings, 3943 Tage dlg.Ooops

Hm, ich weiß nicht, wann ich mich das letzte mal so zum Volltrottel bei ariva gemacht habe, aber 440 Mio abzüglich 117 Mio in 1H ist natürlich nicht 223 Mio, sondern 323 Mio Euro, die im zweiten Halbjahr noch kommen werden. Damit vllt eine Verteilung von 130/190 Mio in 3Q/4Q (verglichen mit 64/108 Mio im letzten Jahr).

Ich könnte es auf lediglich einen einzigen Kaffee zum Zeitpunkt des Posts schieben und dass ich kein Excel genutzt und stattdessen mit dem Kleinhirn versucht habe, aber das macht's nicht besser. Da wird man so oft gemeldet und Postings gesperrt, aber wenn man's mal wirklich braucht, hilft einem keiner :-)  

29.07.21 15:28

566 Postings, 6275 Tage fel216Conf call

Hallo allerseits,

Der Gong call ist bisher (jetzt 25min) ist so bullish und bestätigt den ganzen case hier. SIC rampt in 2022/23 richtig, VCSEL zieht in 2022 wieder an, GAN bleibt weiter stark.

„It is a multi year trend“ sagt der CEO.

Leider im Urlaub, daher nur diese highlights. Wahrscheinlich postet ja hier jemand ein transcript.

Story to continue over the next years!
Fel  

29.07.21 15:48
2

1429 Postings, 6312 Tage rosskata2Q22 CC script

Hallo hier meine Notizen auf die Schnelle:


Q: GaN: how evolving? Will be digesting in 2022?
A: very broad adoption in the market, multi year trend, driven broadly, customers working on opening more appl for GaN, adoption in the beginning

Q: How about SiC?
A: automotive market main driver, commercial orders (high volume) - from 1Q22

Q: Supply Chain: Lead times?
A: well fed to secure 2021 volume and well into 2022, very large customer from N.America
(vielleicht Cree?)

Q: SiC
A: Always competition, our equipement 6 and 8 inch size, later converting to 8 inch (wafer size transition - well prepared)

Q: Prices increase?
A: PRices increase only at certain times - justified.
(das sehe ich etwas schwach. Man sollte Preise auch dem DEmand entsprechend anheben können)

Q: Higher prepayments or not showing all orders?
A: Not the same policy with all customers, different payment behaviour

Q: Gross margin guidance basded on 1.25 USD for the year
A: Exposure to USD decreased, no intention to  increase gross margin due to cur. rate

Q: Backlog colouring?
A: Power Electr 50%, 20% LED, 25% telecom/data  

06.08.21 18:56

22 Postings, 1564 Tage bestfutureQD OLED

Hallo,
im HIFI-FORUM wird schon läger über QD-OLED TVs von Samsung dikutiert.
Ich stelle hier mal den Link ein.
http://www.hifi-forum.de/viewthread-313-86-7.html

55“ und 65“ QD-OLED TVs von Samsung in der ersten Jahreshälfte 2022?
https://www.hankyung.com/economy/article/2021072565981

Frage in die Runde bzw. die Fachleute:
Wenn dem so ist und QD OLED TV`s von Samsung kommen, auf welchen Maschinen würde dann produziert. Würde diese eine Anlage von Aixtron ausreichen oder hätte Aixtron die Chance mit weiteren Anlagen zum Zuge zu kommen, auch ohne weitere Qualifizierung?

Danke für Eure Einschätzung
bestfuture
 

09.08.21 10:49

1429 Postings, 6312 Tage rosskata@bestfuture, Aix wird damit

nichts zu tun haben. Apeva und Samsung ist Geschichte. Vielleicht bist du nicht auf dem laufenden.
aber sowieso wäre Apeva für  QD-OLED eher nicht in der supply chain gewesen.  

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