Ambac Rocky Balboa oder chapter 11

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13.11.12 09:20
1

1893 Postings, 5286 Tage GerusiaWas soll passieren?

Hi,

ja - was soll hier passieren?

Nach den Veröffentlichungern durch Ambac im März dieses Jahres natürlich eine Ausbuchung ohne Entschädigung. Ist doch klar!

Aber warum ist das noch nicht erfolgt? Warum werden die für den 9.11. avisierten Quartalszahlen nicht veröffentlicht? Um welchen Betrag handelt es sich in dem obigen Klageverfahren? Ist das - mit Zustimmung des Gerichts - operative Geschäft erfolgreich? Usw. usw.

MfG

 

 

13.11.12 09:32

3547 Postings, 5156 Tage Memory193Na ja........

evtl. begreifen die Amis auch noch, das man ausländisches Kapital ganz schnell verscheuchen kann.

Mit ihrer Armee haben se es ja schon hinlänglich bewiesen, das einzig und allein nur in eigenem Interesse irgendwo (z.B. Irak) eingefallen und gemordet wird.

Es kann ganz schnell in eine andere Richtung gehen, und dann schauen se ganz deftig in die Röhre.......

Occupy Wallstreet gibt es ja auch noch. Selbst das Volk lässt sich zumindest teilweise nicht mehr alles gefallen.........

Is wie im Sandkasten, ein Kind schmeist mit Förmchen und Sand............und irgendwann will dann kein anderes Kind mehr mit dem Förmchenschmeisser spielen.......

Die können froh sein, das hier das Merkel das sagen hat, wenn nicht (z.B. SchröderZeit), dann schauen se ganz schnell dumm aus der Wäsche.
(SchröderZeit: Weigerung Soldaten für einen Konflikt (evtl. Irak) zu schicken)

Evtl. ist jetzt die Zeit, evtl. noch nicht.  

13.11.12 17:55
2

1613 Postings, 6250 Tage Pfandbrief@gerusia

Aber warum ist das noch nicht erfolgt?

Weil nach wie vor keine Einigung mit der IRS über die Steuerstreitigkeiten erfolgt ist. Kommt das nicht, sieht's übrigens noch düsterer aus, wenn es auch den Aktionären auch schon egal sein kann.

Offenbar rechnen aber viele damit, dass alles klappt. Sonst stünden die Anleihen nicht in der Nähe von 40 %. Die waren im Tief unter 10 %.

Warum werden die für den 9.11. avisierten Quartalszahlen nicht veröffentlicht?

Die Veröffentlichung von regulären konsolidierten Quartalszahlen ist für eine in Chapter 11 befindliche Holding ohnehin nicht Standard, das ist mehr eine Serviceleistung die sich insbesondere an die Versicherungskunden richtet. Dennoch werden die Quartalszahlen wohl bis 15.11. veröffentlicht sein. Ich wüsste nur gerne, was man aus diesen dann aus Sicht eines Aktionärs lernen sollte?

 

14.11.12 13:54

2518 Postings, 4578 Tage Storm30018Assured Guaranty, Flagstar make final...

Assured Guaranty, Flagstar make final pleas in key loans case

NEW YORK, Nov 12 (Reuters) - Lawyers delivered closing arguments in a closely watched U.S. case brought by Assured Guaranty Ltd against Flagstar Bancorp Inc over claims the quality of loans underlying $900 million in mortgage-backed securities were misrepresented.

More than three-fourths of 800 loans the bond insurer examined failed to comply with Flagstar's underwriting guidelines, Assured counsel Jacob Buchdahl told the judge during closing arguments in a federal court in Manhattan on Monday.

Assured is seeking $116 million in damages.

Similar lawsuits by insurers including Assured, MBIA Inc. and Ambac Financial Group Inc are pending against banks such as JPMorgan Chase & Co, Credit Suisse Group AG and Bank of America Corp's Countrywide Financial unit.

The case against Flagstar was the first of those lawsuits to reach trial.

Veronica Rendon, a lawyer for Flagstar, called Assured's approach to establishing liability "cavalier," and attacked a core expert witness for Assured as being "nothing more than a talking head."

U.S. Judge Jed Rakoff in Manhattan, who is presiding over the non-jury trial, said he expects to issue a final decision by the end of January.

Filed in April 2011, the lawsuit accused the Troy, Michigan-based lender of misrepresenting the quality and characteristics of loans underlying two mortgage securitizations issued in 2005 and 2006 valued at more than $900 million.

Buchdahl described 25 loans that he said contained evidence of fraud by borrowers that should have been spotted by Flagstar, such as inflated incomes or undisclosed debts.

Rendon said Assured had failed to establish that Flagstar was aware of various loan breaches that required repurchasing.

For example, online search tools such as Salary.com were used to determine expected incomes for the careers of various borrowers in the securitizations.

But Rendon said the websites had only contemporaneous data, not salaries for the period when the loans were originated more than six years ago.

Stewart Aaron, another lawyer for Flagstar, also criticized Assured's method of estimating damages.

Assured relied on a statistical analysis of a handful of the 16,000 loans underlying the two transactions. But Aaron said Assured relied on an "insufficient sample size."

Flagstar said in its earning announcement Oct. 23 that it was increasing its litigation reserves by $40 million to address its exposure to "pending and threatened litigation."

Paul Borja, Flagstar's chief financial officer, declined on an analyst conference call the next day to say whether the reserve increase was attributable to Assured's lawsuit.

Shares in Assured Guaranty closed down 3.13 percent at $13.28 on the New York Stock Exchange. Flagstar shares closed up 2.11 percent at $16.41.

The case is Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp v Flagstar Bank, FSB in U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, No. 11-2375.

http://newsandinsight.thomsonreuters.com/Legal/..._in_key_loans_case/

 

14.11.12 16:42

1893 Postings, 5286 Tage GerusiaBericht

Hi.

erster Absatz des Quartalsberichts:

"NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Nov. 14, 2012--       Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (“Ambac”) today announced a third       quarter 2012 net profit of $157.5 million, or a net profit of $0.52 per       share. This compares to a third quarter 2011 net loss of $75.5 million,       or a net loss of $0.25 per share. Relative to third quarter 2011, third       quarter 2012 results were primarily driven by lower derivative product       losses, a positive net change in the fair value of credit derivatives, a       lower provision for income taxes, and lower operating and interest       expenses, partially offset by lower income on variable interest entities       (“VIE”) and higher loss and loss expenses."

MfG

 

16.11.12 08:45

2518 Postings, 4578 Tage Storm30018Ambac Q3 Results

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2012 Results

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. ("Ambac") today announced a third quarter 2012 net profit of $157.5 million, or a net profit of $0.52 per share. This compares to a third quarter 2011 net loss of $75.5 million, or a net loss of $0.25 per share. Relative to third quarter 2011, third quarter 2012 results were primarily driven by lower derivative product losses, a positive net change in the fair value of credit derivatives, a lower provision for income taxes, and lower operating and interest expenses, partially offset by lower income on variable interest entities ("VIE") and higher loss and loss expenses.

Third Quarter 2012 Summary

Relative to the third quarter of 2011,

  • Net premiums earned increased $11.1 million to $113.1 million
  • Net investment income declined $6.6 million to $84.1 million
  • Net change in the fair value of credit derivatives increased $22.9 million to a gain of $27.4 million
  • Derivative product losses decreased $179.8 million to $36.0 million
  • Income on VIEs decreased $48.9 million to $6.1 million
  • Loss and loss expenses increased $41.5 million to a net benefit of $18.7 million
  • Income tax expense decreased $74.3 million to $0.7 million
  • Operating and interest expenses decreased $21.3 million to $56.6 million

As of September 30, 2012, unrestricted cash, short-term securities and bonds at Ambac, the holding company, totaled $31.5 million, a decline of $2.4 million from June 30, 2012.

Financial Results

http://www.4-traders.com/news/...hird-Quarter-2012-Results--15509449/

 

16.11.12 15:57
1

2518 Postings, 4578 Tage Storm30018Da geht noch was ;-)

16.11.12 16:46

1893 Postings, 5286 Tage GerusiaHoffe mit Sorm

Hi,

aber nach wie vor steht auch in diesem Quartalsbericht im Absatz  About Ambac

"Upon consummation of       the plan of reorganization, Ambac’s existing common stock will be       cancelled and extinguished  and the holders thereof will not be entitled       to receive, and will  not retain, any property or interest on account of       such common  stock."

MfG

 

16.11.12 16:48

1893 Postings, 5286 Tage GerusiaFehlerteufel

H,

möchte mich entschuldigen - Storm natürlich mit t, er hat mir wieder mal Mut (auch mit t) gemacht.

MfG

 

17.11.12 17:08

2518 Postings, 4578 Tage Storm30018JPM, Credit Suisse Settle SEC Mortgage Inquiries

JPMorgan, Credit Suisse Settle SEC Mortgage Inquiries

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and Credit Suisse Group AG (CSGN) agreed to pay almost $417 million to settle U.S. regulatory claims they misled investors while selling billions of dollars of investments linked to home loans.

JPMorgan resolved claims that it made misstatements about delinquency data for loans packaged into securities and that Bear Stearns Cos., which the bank acquired in 2008, didn’t tell mortgage investors it kept reimbursements on soured loans, the Securities and Exchange Commission said in a statement. Credit Suisse was also faulted for disclosures on reimbursements.

For JPMorgan Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon, whose firm is forfeiting $296.9 million in the SEC deal, the claims add to a growing list of regulatory costs from the housing bubble, a botched bet on credit derivatives and an energy- trading probe. Since mid-2011, the bank also has been sued by state and federal watchdogs over sales of mortgage-backed securities to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and loans sold to investors by Bear Stearns.

“Misrepresentations in connection with the creation and sale of mortgage securities contributed greatly to the tremendous losses suffered by investors once the U.S. housing market collapsed,” the SEC’s enforcement chief, Robert Khuzami, said in yesterday’s statement.

One SEC claim against New York-based JPMorgan focuses on a $1.8 billion offering of residential mortgage-backed securities, known as RMBS, as the credit crisis loomed in December 2006. The bank told investors only four loans were delinquent by 30 to 59 days, when in reality, the firm had information showing more than 620 loans fit that description, the SEC said.

Bear Stearns

Another claim focuses on 156 mortgage-backed securities transactions by Bear Stearns from 2005 to 2007. Lenders were supposed to buy back home loans that defaulted early or were defective. Bear Stearns instead negotiated bulk settlements with the lenders and then kept payments for itself without telling investors, the SEC said.

The practice had been reviewed by attorneys for Bear Stearns and top executives, then continued after the firm’s takeover by JPMorgan, Khuzami said.

Dimon, 56, one of the industry’s most forceful advocates, lost stature this year as his bank, the nation’s biggest by assets, juggles investigations and more than $6.2 billion in trading losses on bets by the firm’s chief investment office. Dimon has said he did the U.S. a favor by buying Bear Stearns and that he might not do such a deal again after costs were boosted by legal and regulatory claims against the business.

Acquiring a company traditionally means taking on its liabilities too, Khuzami told reporters.

Ill-Gotten

“Here it certainly would not be a right result if JPMorgan was able to retain the ill-gotten gains from this illegal scheme,” he said. Still, the agency adjusted the penalties because much of the abuse took place before the deal, he said.

JPMorgan and Credit Suisse didn’t admit or deny wrongdoing in settling. The firms agreed to forfeit gains from the misconduct and pay fines. Khuzami said he doesn’t expect to bring claims against individuals in either case. That might change if the investigators uncover new evidence, he said.

“The SEC’s complaint makes allegations under the negligence-based provisions of the federal securities laws and does not include charges of intentional misconduct,” JPMorgan said in a statement.

Credit Suisse, led by CEO Brady Dougan, agreed to pay $120 million. It too had engaged in bulk settlements with originators from 2005 to 2010, kept proceeds and failed to tell investors, according to the SEC. The agency also faulted the bank, Switzerland’s second largest, for failing to make good on obligations to repurchase certain loans that defaulted.

‘Highest Standards’

“The bulk settlement practice involved a number of acts that operated as a fraud or deceit on RMBS investors,” the SEC said its complaint.

“Credit Suisse is committed to the highest standards of integrity and regulatory compliance in all its businesses,” the Zurich-based company said in a separate statement.

Dougan, 53, ran Credit Suisse’s investment banking division until 2007, when the bank’s board appointed him CEO. He was replaced by Paul Calello, who died in November 2010. Eric Varvel is the current chief of the unit.

The SEC said the settlements were reached in coordination with a state-federal task force set up by President Barack Obama earlier this year to root out misconduct involving mortgage- backed securities.

Advanced Talks

JPMorgan said last year it already was in advanced talks to settle a broad SEC inquiry into how firms packaged and sold mortgage-backed securities as the housing market unraveled. In February, the firm said it was warned by SEC employees that they may bring civil claims linked to two inquiries. This month, the bank said it reached an “agreement in principal” to resolve SEC complaints.

The regulator is seeking to wrap up probes into how banks bundled and pitched investments tied to risky home loans, after being accused by lawmakers and investors of failing to punish Wall Street for misconduct that may have fueled the housing bubble and financial crisis.

The agency has targeted companies at various stages of the loan-packaging process -- from originators such as Countrywide Financial Corp. to underwriters including Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) Wells Fargo agreed last year to pay $11 million to settle claims it sold risky collateralized debt obligations at unfair prices. The San Francisco-based lender didn’t admit or deny wrongdoing.

Other Lawsuits

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) paid $550 million in 2010 to settle SEC claims that it misled investors on a mortgage-linked investment in 2007. In that case, the New York-based company said it made a “mistake” in omitting disclosures.

JPMorgan was among more than a dozen banks sued in September 2011 by the Federal Housing Finance Agency, which said at the time it aimed to recoup $196 billion spent on mortgage- backed securities bought by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The FHFA accused the banks of misleading Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac about the soundness of the mortgages underlying the securities.

New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman also sued the bank in October, claiming that Bear Stearns deceived mortgage- bond investors about defective loans backing securities. JPMorgan, which bought Bear Stearns in March 2008 after a run on what was then Wall Street’s fifth-largest securities firm, said it planned to contest the claims.

The case is Securities and Exchange Commission v. JPMorgan Securities LLC, 12-cv-01862, U.S. District Court, District of Columbia (Washington).

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-11-16/...ge-backed-securities.html

 

17.11.12 17:14

2518 Postings, 4578 Tage Storm30018Millionenstrafe für JP Morgan und Credit Suisse

Wegen riskanter Hypothekengeschäfte sind die Großbanken Credit Suisse und JP Morgan ins Visier der US-Börsenaufsicht geraten. Nun müssen sie 417 Millionen Dollar Strafe zahlen.

WashingtonDie Strafe klingt gewaltig: Doch mit einer Zahlung von 417 Millionen Dollar sind die beiden Großbanken JP Morgan und Credit Suisse noch einmal mit einem blauen Auge davon gekommen. Die US-Börsenaufsicht SEC hatte gegen die Institute ermittelt, weil diese 2008 riskante Hypothekenbonds an ihre Kunden verkauft hatten. Mit ihrer Zustimmung konnten beide weitere Zivilklagen abwenden.

In einem genannten Fall geht es um Geschäfte der 2008 von JPMorgan übernommenen Investmentbank Bear Stearns. Der New Yorker Generalstaatsanwalt Eric Schneiderman hatte bereits vor einem Monat eine Klage eingereicht. Sein Vorwurf: Bear Stearns habe Investoren beim Verkauf von Hypothekenpapieren hinters Licht geführt. Die Bank habe es nicht gekümmert, welch minderwertigen Hauskredite darin verpackt gewesen seien. Das habe zu „riesigen Verlusten“ bei den Investoren geführt. JPMorgan hatte die Anschuldigungen damals zurückgewiesen.

JP Morgan

Die größte US-Bank JP Morgan Chase verdient wieder soviel wie vor der Krise. Im dritten Quartal steigerte JP Morgan den Nettogewinn um ein Drittel auf 5,7 Milliarden Dollar. Hauptgrund ist die boomende Nachfrage nach Hypotheken in den USA. Allein im Geschäft mit Häuserkrediten nahm das Institut 1,8 Milliarden Dollar ein – 36 Prozent mehr als vor einem Jahr. Das Ergebnis übertraf die Analystenerwartungen.

  • Wells Fargo

    Die Erfolgsgeschichte von Wells Fargo geht weiter. Im dritten Quartal wuchs der Gewinn im Vergleich zum Vorjahreszeitraum um 22 Prozent auf den Rekordwert von 4,94 Milliarden US-Dollar. Damit übertraf die Bank die Erwartungen von Analysten. Wells Fargo profitierte von der sich bessernden US-Konjunktur und dem weiter anziehenden Immobilienmarkt.

  • Citigroup

    Die Citigroup muss einen Gewinneinbruch hinnehmen. Die Erlöse gingen um 88 Prozent auf 468 Millionen Dollar zurück. Wesentlicher Grund dafür waren Sonderabschreibungen in Höhe von 2,9 Milliarden Dollar (nach Steuern), weil die Bank beim Verkauf ihrer Tochter Smith Barney nicht den erhofften Preis erzielen konnte.

  • Goldman Sachs

    Goldman Sachs wies einen überraschend kräftigen Gewinn von 1,5 Milliarden Dollar aus, nachdem ein Jahr zuvor noch ein Verlust von 428 Millionen Dollar in den Büchern stand. Die Einnahmen stiegen um 133 Prozent auf 8,4 Milliarden Dollar. Die Investmentbank verdient dank der Erholung an den Finanzmärkten wieder prächtig.

  • Bank of America

    Einen Gewinn von gerade einmal 340 Millionen Dollar hat die Bank of America im dritten Quartal erzielt. Vor einem Jahr erwirtschaftete die Bank noch ein Plus von 6,2 Milliarden Dollar. Schuld daran waren vor allem Sondereffekte wie die Abschreibung von 1,6 Milliarden Dollar nach einer 2,4 Milliarden Dollar teuren Einigung, um einer Sammelklage von Aktionären zu entgehen.

  • Morgan Stanley

JP Morgan muss darum eine Strafe von 296,9 Millionen Dollar zahlen. Credit Suisse kommt auf immerhin 120 Millionen Dollar. Obwohl die beiden Banken weiterhin jedes Fehlverhalten von sich weisen, akzeptieren sie die Strafzahlungen. Das Geld werde direkt an die Investoren weitergereicht, teilte die SEC mit.

Bereits in anderen Fällen waren Banken für ihr Verhalten im Vorfeld der Finanzkrise im Jahr 2008 verurteilt worden.

JPMorgan, die größte US-Bank, war bereits im Juni 2011 in einem ähnlich gelagerten Fall wegen riskanter Hypothekensicherheiten verurteilt worden, und hatte damals eine Strafe von 153,6 Millionen Euro gezahlt.

Auch Konkurret Goldman Sachs stimmte im Juli 2010 einer Strafe über 550 Millionen Dollar zu, nachdem sie Anleger zu komplizierten Hypotheken-Geschäften verleitet hatte.

In einer ersten Stellungnahme betonte JPMorgan, dass die Vorfälle auf Fahrlässigkeiten, nicht aber auf Vorsatz zurückzuführen seien. „Wir freuen uns, dass wir mit der SEC eine Einigung in dieser Angelegenheit erzielt haben“, so die Bank weiter.

http://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/banken/...suisse/7403394.html

 

17.11.12 17:23

2518 Postings, 4578 Tage Storm30018Das dürfte für Neuen Wind sorgen !! :-)

19.11.12 19:55

2518 Postings, 4578 Tage Storm30018Wall Street Kept Winning on Mortgages

20.11.12 19:07

1893 Postings, 5286 Tage GerusiaReopen Headquarter

Hi,

17:55Ambac (ABKFQ) Will Reopen New York Headquarters on Nov. 26th

MfG

 

20.11.12 19:14
1

1026 Postings, 6183 Tage LGDFLIDer ganze Artikel

 

Ambac to Reopen New York City Headquarters
   
 
   

KINGSTON, N.Y.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ambac Financial Group, Inc. and Ambac Assurance Corporation, (the        “Companies”), will reopen their headquarters at One State Street Plaza,        New York, New York on Monday, November 26, 2012.

   

As a result of storm damage, the Companies’ telephone system will not be        fully operational. A temporary system is available for inbound calls,        and inquiries may be directed via telephone to (845) 810-3000 or through        regular e-mail channels.

   

The Companies will be closed from Wednesday, November 21, 2012 through        Friday, November 23, 2012, to facilitate the migration of their systems        and operations back to the New York City headquarters from the disaster        recovery site in Kingston, NY, during this period.

   

About Ambac

   

On November 8, 2010, Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (“Ambac”) filed for a        voluntary petition for relief under Chapter 11 of the United States        Bankruptcy Code (“Bankruptcy Code”) in the United States Bankruptcy        Court for the Southern District of New York (“Bankruptcy Court”). The        Bankruptcy Court entered an order confirming Ambac’s plan of        reorganization on March 14, 2012 however, Ambac is not currently able to        estimate when it will be able to consummate such reorganization. Until        the plan of reorganization is consummated and Ambac emerges from        bankruptcy, it will continue to operate in the ordinary course of        business as “debtor-in-possession” in accordance with the applicable        provisions of the Bankruptcy Code and the orders of the Bankruptcy        Court. Currently, Ambac’s common stock trades in the over-the-counter        market under ticker symbol ABKFQ. Upon consummation of the plan of        reorganization, Ambac’s existing common stock will be cancelled and        extinguished and the holders thereof will not be entitled to receive,        and will not retain, any property or interest on account of such common        stock.

   

Ambac’s principal operating subsidiary, Ambac Assurance Corporation, is        a guarantor of public finance and structured f

-----------
manche träume begraben wir, weil die zweifel größer sind als die vision

20.11.12 19:25

2518 Postings, 4578 Tage Storm30018Ambac to Reopen New York City Headquarters

The Companies will be closed from Wednesday, November 21, 2012 through Friday, November 23, 2012, to facilitate the migration of their systems and operations back to the New York City headquarters from the disaster recovery site in Kingston, NY, during this period.

http://www.istockanalyst.com/business/news/...-york-city-headquarters

 

20.11.12 19:28

2518 Postings, 4578 Tage Storm30018How Wall Street won on mortgages while..

21.11.12 22:57
2

428 Postings, 5471 Tage vwfanIch glaube an kein Wunder mehr

 Nach diesem Invest werde ich definitiv keine Amiaktien mehr anfassen. Chapter 11 scheint ein beliebtes Mittel zu sein Altaktionäre loszuwerden. An Wunder glaube ich mittlerweile nicht mehr und bei dem Kurs ist es wohl nur noch eine Frage der Zeit bis das Licht ausgeht. Wieso die Aktie noch gehandelt wird ist mir ohnehin gänzlich unerklärlich. Bei Cit Group ging es wesentlich schneller vonstatten. 

 

28.11.12 19:12

2518 Postings, 4578 Tage Storm30018TEXT-S&P summary: BY Chelmer PLC

Rationale

Standard & Poor's Ratings Services' 'BBB-' long-term rating on the GBP192.65 million index-linked senior secured bonds (including GBP30 million of variation bonds) due 2043, issued by ProjectCo, reflects a composite of credit factors, as detailed below.

 The bonds retain an unconditional and irrevocable guarantee provided by Ambac Assurance U.K. Ltd. (not rated) of payment of scheduled interest and principal on the bonds. According to our criteria, the rating on a monoline-insured debt issue reflects the higher of the ratings on the monoline insurer and the Standard & Poor's Underlying Rating (SPUR). The long-term ratings on the bonds therefore reflect the SPUR.

 The underlying 'BBB-' rating takes into account the following risks:

-- ProjectCo has subcontracted lifecycle risk in full to Mid Essex Hospitals Project Ltd. (MEHPL), which is a subsidiary of Bouygues S.A. (BBB+/Stable/A-2). Unusually, the subcontract arrangements specify that MEHPL is paid for lifecycle works according to a fixed schedule, irrespective of whether the works are required or completed. As long as MEHPL and ProjectCo have common shareholders, there should be sufficient incentives for MEHPL to act in the long-term interests of the project. However, should Bouygues reduce or divest its equity ownership of the project, ProjectCo may have limited ability to influence lifecycle spending. In addition, ProjectCo benefits from a 12-year latent defects liability period from MEHPL, and has implemented a three-year forward-looking lifecycle reserve.

-- The aggressive financial structure is typical of the private finance initiative (PFI) sector. The ratio of senior debt to total funds is 90%, and the debt amortization profile is relatively back-ended. The operating financial model updated to Sept. 30, 2012, reports a minimum debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.16x in September 2033 and an average of 1.24x, which is unchanged from the September 2011 financial model. Excluding interest income in accordance with our criteria, the minimum DSCR falls to 1.09x in 2033 and the average is 1.18x. This compares to 1.10x minimum and 1.20x average in the previous model. We consider this financial profile to be relatively weak compared to peer projects due to the reliance on interest income.

These risks are offset by the following credit strengths:

-- Construction is now complete and the services are fully mobilized. There are only a small number of defects outstanding, which are being repaired as necessary.

-- The project has a strong rationale, given the Trust's position as the regional center for plastic surgery and supraregional burns.

-- The project's delivery strategy is to integrate construction, hard FM services, and lifecycle provision by various subsidiaries of Bouygues in its capacity as sponsor, constructor, and FM and lifecycle works provider. Bouygues is a leading participant in global infrastructure, with significant experience of delivering large infrastructure and PFI projects.

-- The project has an availability-based revenue stream and minimal volume or market exposure, with no reliance on third-party revenues.

The project has continued to perform strongly with a low level of service failure points and financial deductions being incurred. Planned preventative maintenance tasks have continued to be delivered as scheduled with no material issues noted. Positively, the construction contractor has now completed the replacement of defective movement joints throughout the hospital. There remain a few areas where joints will be replaced at a later date due to access restrictions. The failure of these joints was the cause of nearly all of the service failure points and financial deductions incurred to date.

Liquidity

 he project's liquidity is supported by a debt service reserve that is maintained with a balance equivalent to the next six months of debt service (principal and interest). Additional liquidity comes from major maintenance and change-in-law reserves.

Outlook

The stable outlook reflects our view that the project will continue to deliver strong operational performance.

Given the project's relatively weak financial profile, we could lower the long-term rating if operating performance or the financial profile were to weaken. We could also lower the rating if the relationship between ProjectCo and the Trust were to deteriorate materially, leading to an increased risk of disputes or deductions.

An upgrade is unlikely in the medium term due to the project's relatively weak financial profile.

Related Criteria And Research

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/11/28/idUSWLB137520121128

 

28.11.12 19:14
1

2518 Postings, 4578 Tage Storm30018Denke morgen fällt die 0,23€ !! :-)

28.11.12 19:21

2518 Postings, 4578 Tage Storm30018JPM sued Assurance

Tuesday, November 27, 1:12 PM JPMorgan (JPM) is sued by CIFG Assurance, which claims it lost over $100M insuring toxic-mortgage-filled CDOs created by ...

http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jpm

 

28.11.12 21:42

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