Danke an JMInvestor5 (stockhouse), der heute Robert Mackay auf der Investorenkonferenz in Vancouver interviewen konnte. Top! Gruß, mad
I asked many probing questions to Robert in Vancouver, and got some answers, but he was very tight lipped on my most pressing issues. Here's a summary:
Processing other's concentrates - They will be testing the Soviet process on external concentrates in the "near future". No definition of "near future" given. The only other's I could think of would be Soviet monazites, perhaps something from Kazakhstan, or Lynas' heavies, as they're having problems with their processing plant.
Kyrgyz government situation - They work closely with the government to be as transparent as possible, while supporting the local community whenever they can. Rob said the Kyrgyz mining laws are attractive for investment as the country recognises the need to develop its natural resources, unlike many countries who try to prohibit mining.
Financing (Most Important) - The west views Kyrgyzstan as a higher risk for mining than many other nations. Countries like Japan, Korea, Russia, China, and some European nationals do not attach a great risk to Central Asian projects. IMO, Stans is courting Asian bankers for the debt financing portion. Project financing and advanced offtake terms are constantly being negotiated with end users. Only country names were given for potential financiers - Germany, France, Russia, Korea, Japan, China, and the USA (likely the military contractor that Rob's referred to numerous times). So they're speaking with everyone, I'm guessing, they're trying to play one against the other to get the best terms they can, but there are only about 5-6 HREE end users would could put up the kind of dough necessary to build an new mine. Rob said Ideally, they will have 2-3 partners for the financing and initial offtakes, to reduce the risk of the project for the companies putting up the money.
Thechnical Expertise - The company's strategy is to secure the brightest RE processing minds available outside of China in the RE sector, and they believe Valery Kosynkin to be amung the best, if not the best in the world. Based on the expectations of the people they've hired, most projects will take 5-10 years of met testing to perfect mines to optimal scale (for HREEs). Many analysts are saying the same thing (seems like there will be great shorting opportunities for those Junior RE companies with high valuations, and no metallurgy).
Russian Projects - No comment, other than they've evaluated countless REE properties with their advisors and there and have narrowed their focus to acquiring a select few. They are only interested in HREE projects. Rob said something like, "until we own one, I won't say anything other than we're evaluating Russian projects"
Mill - The evaluation is ongoing, and there is no word as to whether they will purchase it or not. If the cost of repairs are satisfactory, they will buy it and begin production early. Let's hope it's in decent shape!
RE Prices - They said this is the hardest thing to predict, and because there are 15 oxides, 15 metals, and alloys, so there are many variables for a proper feasibility study. Stans is trying to get secure long term offtake contracts for the key element oxides (Yttrium, Terbium, Dysprosium, Neodymium, Erbium, Europium, and Praseodymium, according to their presentation). If they can sign those contracts, they are confident they will be able to input high prices into their financial model for their feasibility studies. Sounds to me like there will be a big range in the valuation of the feasibility study because of RE pricing forecasts. They do intend to produce to consumer's specifications, increasing the price of certain metal purities, and consistencies. I'm very confident in Stans after this conversation. I think the bottom line remains the same - Stans is on track to becoming the first, and the largest HRE producer outside of China. The costs of their processing will be higher than others, but the execution to production, and quality of their products will be secure enough for financiers to be confident putting up the money. If the rest of the world continues to lag HREE production, Stans should enjoy a the very least, a few years of Monopolistic RE pricing (I think even longer). There is a good chance for leveraging Stans' expertise in processing to create additional cash flows, and it sounds like their potential project pipeline is strong (I'm excited about that because they seem to be able to make great deals). They're going to be hiring Mining and Milling people in the coming year to execute the mine's development, so that Rob and Boris can focus on increasing the valuation of the company or its shareholders, rather than the day to day managment issues with running the mine in Kyrgyzstan. Music to my ears, and yours. Good luck to all, JM
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