@rosskata, noch einmal vielen Dank für Deine Zusammenfassung und Kommentare zu dem Aixtron Analystencall. Dieser ist zum Glück jetzt auch online: https://seekingalpha.com/article/...-results-earnings-call-transcript
Und, ja, in der Tat liest der sich SEHR positiv, aber einen negativen Punkt kann man mE auch ausmachen – und der passt ziemlich genau mit dem Zeitpunkt zusammen als der Kurs am Tag der Zahlen eingeknickt ist. Und zwar geht es darum als Hr. Grawert ausführt, dass der hohe Auftragseingang in 1H21 auch daran lag, dass man einzelne sehr große Orders bekommen hat und man diese nicht auch automatisch für das zweite Halbjahr unterstellen kann. Mag reine Vorsicht gewesen sein, vllt kam da aber auch die Botschaft rüber, dass der fantastische AE im ersten Halbjahr an einzelnen Orders lag, die man nicht als gesetzt für die nächsten Quartale sehen sollte.
Der Dialog von der SA-Seite:
„David O'Connor
Great. Good afternoon and thanks for taking my question. Felix, I'm just curious, given the broad-based strength you talk about across the business. I was just wondering why the order intake for the second half is going to 25% below the first half? Maybe can you give us some of the puts and takes around that? Or maybe even if there was only pull-forwards in the order intake into the first half, given the tight supply chain across the industry? And I have a follow-up, thanks.
Felix Grawert
Yeah, thank you. Very good question. So as said, we typically have a visibility into - for 6 months forward, so we have a good visibility now for the Q3. Yeah, for the Q4 it's a moderate visibility. Based on these data points, and this is the estimate, yeah, I think you've done the math, yeah. If you added up to the high point of our guidance, is now coming to 480 is the high point of the guidance for order intake, 260 is shipped meaning, another 220 to go, right, on average 110 per quarter, which is a little below the first half.
We believe the first half was characterized by some very large volume order. There could be some in the second half, maybe, maybe not. We don't know it yet. However, we would not expect that these volume peak orders that we've seen that also surprised us in the second quarter, hence the trading statement.
We do not expect that such a sector reoccurs in the second half. And that's the reason why we have given the guidance. This is what we currently see in terms of the volume. And still, we believe that it's a very good volume. And we are here on a long-term trend.“
(https://seekingalpha.com/article/...results-earnings-call-transcript)
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