Top-Foren

Forum Stunde Tag
Gesamt 453 6035
Talk 333 3146
Börse 82 1883
Hot-Stocks 38 1006
DAX 7 332

Der USA Bären-Thread

Seite 1 von 4597
neuester Beitrag: 27.01.15 19:08
eröffnet am: 20.02.07 18:45 von: Anti Lemmin. Anzahl Beiträge: 114906
neuester Beitrag: 27.01.15 19:08 von: Kicky Leser gesamt: 9037198
davon Heute: 4534
bewertet mit 420 Sternen

Seite: Zurück 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
4595 | 4596 | 4597 | 4597  Weiter  

39060 Postings, 3918 Tage Anti LemmingDer USA Bären-Thread

 
  
    #1
420
20.02.07 18:45
Dies ist ein Thread für mittelfristig orientierte Bären (keine Daytrader), die im Laufe dieses Jahres mit einem stärkeren Rückgang der US-Indizes rechnen - u. a. auf Grund folgender Fundamental-Faktoren:





1.  Zunehmende Probleme im US-Housing-Markt wegen Überkapazitäten, fallender Preise,
    rückläufiger Verkaufszahlen und fauler Hypotheken, vor allem im Subprime-Sektor

2.  Auf Grund dessen mögliche Banken-, Junkbond- und/oder Hedgefonds-Krise
    (HSBC warnte bereits)

3.  Überschuldung der USA im Inland (negative Sparquote, Haushaltsdefizit)
    und im Ausland (Handelsdefizit)

4.  Möglicher weiterer Wertverlust des Dollars zum Euro (zurzeit bereits über 1,30)

5.  Anziehende Inflation wegen Überschuldung und unkontrollierten Geldmengenwachstums

6.  Weitere Zinserhöhungen der Fed zur Inflationsbekämpfung

7.  Rückgang des US-Konsumentenvertrauens und weniger Konsum wegen der
    Liquiditätsrückgänge und drückender Housing-Schulden

8.  Rückabwicklung von Yen-Carry-Trades, weil Japan die Zinsen erhöht
    -> Ende der "globalen Hyperliquidität"

9.  Probleme im Irak, wachsende Kriegsgefahr in Iran/Nahost, Ölpreis-Anstieg

10. Terrorgefahr

11. Überbewertung der US-Aktien (das DOW-JONES KGV für 2006 liegt bei 24,25,
    das des SP-500 bei 19)

12. Aktien-Hausse der letzten vier Jahre verlief ohne nennenswerte Korrekturen
    (untypisch)





Dieser Thread soll meinen inzwischen leider teilweise gelöschten Doomsday-Bären-Thread ersetzen. Außerdem möchte ich in diesem Eingangsposting deutlich machen, dass der Fokus auf USA liegt (der DAX spielt nur am Rande eine Rolle, da die wirtschaftliche Lage hier zu Lande besser ist).

Ich wünsch mir in diesem Thread eine faire, offene und vor allem sachliche Diskussion, möglichst wenig persönliche Querelen, Beleidigungen und sinnlose Hahnenkämpfe. Wer notorisch stört und Unfrieden stiftet oder rassistische Sprüche ablässt, kommt auf die Ignore-Liste (was weitere Postings hier verhindert).
 
Seite: Zurück 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
4595 | 4596 | 4597 | 4597  Weiter  
114880 Postings ausgeblendet.

39060 Postings, 3918 Tage Anti LemmingDer Hebel von Fannie Mae

 
  
    #114882
26.01.15 10:25
liegt daher aktuell bei ca. 344

(= 3270 Mrd. Bilanzsumme geteilt durch 9,5 Mrd. Eigenkapital)  

39060 Postings, 3918 Tage Anti LemmingEuro nach Syriza-Sieg in Griechenland

 
  
    #114883
2
26.01.15 10:47
www.handelsblatt.com/finanzen/rohstoffe-devisen/...m-an/11280098.html

Der klare Sieg für das Linksbündnis Syriza in Griechenland hat den Euro auf Berg- und Talfahrt geschickt. Die Gemeinschaftswährung fiel in der Nacht für wenige Sekunden (unten grün) unter die Marke von 1,11 Dollar auf 1,1098 Dollar und markierte damit den tiefsten Stand seit mehr als elf Jahren.

Bis Montagmorgen erholte sich die Gemeinschaftswährung aber wieder etwas und notierte bei 1,1228 Dollar. Am Freitagnachmittag war der Euro wegen der EZB-Geldpolitik bereits bis auf 1,1115 Dollar abgetaucht.

Syriza hat Verhandlungen über die Reformauflagen seiner internationalen Geldgeber angekündigt. Das schürt unter Anlegern die Furcht vor einem Wiederaufflammen der Euro-Krise. Für Entspannung sorgte allerdings, dass Syriza mit ihrem Parteichef Alexis Tsipras die absolute Mehrheit verpasst hat.

 
Angehängte Grafik:
hc_030.jpg (verkleinert auf 86%) vergrößern
hc_030.jpg

39060 Postings, 3918 Tage Anti LemmingMariupol - "ukrainischer" Soldat antwortet English

 
  
    #114884
1
26.01.15 12:16
(mit Akzent, der auf US-Maine oder GB hindeutet)

"Go out of my face, please!"

www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-01-25/...ase-why-are-us-soldiers-mariupol

Amid the devastation of yesterday's Mariupol artillery strikes which killed or wounded dozens, which was promptly blamed by both sides on the "adversary" - and has been proclaimed by both 'sides' (more on that later) as more violent than before the truce - an 'odd' clip has emerged that appears to provide all the 'proof' a US intelligence officer would need to surmise that US military boots are on the ground in Ukraine. As the following clip shows, a Ukrainian journalist approaches what she thinks is a Ukrainian soldier (since he is wearing a Ukrainian military uniform and is carrying an AK) and asked him as they run through the battlezone, "tell me, what happened here?" His response, which requires no translation, speaks for itself.

-------------

A.L.: Kann natürlich eine Montage sein. Für US-Geheimdienste würde dieser Clip als "Beweis" für die Beschuldigung des Gegners (Prorussen) jedoch vollkommen ausreichen.



 

2172 Postings, 1885 Tage SufdlDAX

 
  
    #114885
1
26.01.15 14:30
wer sich bischen mit Statistik/CT beschäftigt: DAX Preis:

1100 Punkte (ca.12%) über gd 200 = ziemlich short
10% über gd 50 = extrem short
RSI 73 bei leichter short Divergenz

extrem hohes Volumen die letzten Tage...

Also ich fang mal wieder das shorten an   : )   scale in im etf 004

Spitzen shorten hat letztes Jahr gut gefunzt  
Angehängte Grafik:
dax_ct_short_scale_in.jpg (verkleinert auf 52%) vergrößern
dax_ct_short_scale_in.jpg

39060 Postings, 3918 Tage Anti LemmingMonster-Schneesturm an der US-Ostküste

 
  
    #114886
26.01.15 15:45
Metereologen vom Staatlichen US-Wetterdienst rechnen bis zu knapp einem Meter Schneetiefe wird an der Ostküste von Boston bis New York gerechnet. Der letzte Rekord, aufgestellt beim 2006-Blizzard, lag bei 68 cm Schneetiefe.

"Shop 'till you drop" wird zu "Sink 'till you stink". (C) A.L.

http://us.cnn.com/2015/01/26/us/weather-storm/index.html

'Historic' storm prepares to slam Northeast; airlines cancel flights

Someday you may tell your grandchildren about the Blizzard of 2015.

The National Weather Service, which isn't prone to exaggeration, is using terms like "life-threatening" and "historic" to describe the weather system taking aim at the Northeast -- with the worst to expected hit Monday night into Tuesday.

The first big storm of the year may drop up to 3 feet of snow on Boston and New York before it ends Tuesday, with freezing rain and strong wind gusts possibly reaching 55 to 65 mph. Blizzard and winter storm warnings have been issued from Maryland through Maine and into Canada. Up to 58 million people could be put into the deep freeze.

"I want everyone to understand that we are facing -- most likely -- one of the largest snowstorms in the history of this city," said New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio.

That's saying something. The city's biggest snowstorm was in 2006, when 26.9 inches of snow fell. That's second to the 25.8-inch snowfall in December 1947.
 

8569 Postings, 2742 Tage wawiduzu # 880

 
  
    #114887
1
26.01.15 16:44
Hier passt auch gut der Chart der größten griechischen Bank im NYSE-Handel:  
Angehängte Grafik:
nbg10jd.png (verkleinert auf 82%) vergrößern
nbg10jd.png

34091 Postings, 5570 Tage KickySyriza in Gefahr sich über Euro zu spalten?

 
  
    #114888
1
26.01.15 16:48
http://www.newsweek.com/...chism-after-likely-election-triumph-301774

...Aristides Hatzis, associate professor of law, economics and legal theory at the University of Athens. ?However there is going to be a second, less discussed negotiation between the more moderate leadership of Syriza with the radical faction of the party.? According to Hatzis, however, as polls continue to indicate Syriza is nearing winning a majority in the Greek parliament, the alliance has grown increasingly pragmatic and moderate, setting up a battle with the party?s left that could see leader Alexis Tsipras struggling to keep the alliance together.

?The leadership has slowly but steadily move to more centrist positions for the past weeks,? Hatzis says, predicting that, in the case of a Syriza landslide victory, the party?s leadership ?will try to persuade the radical leftist faction that a compromise is necessary in order for Greece to stay in the Eurozone.?

While this would appear to be be a U-turn from much of Syriza?s anti-Eurozone rhetoric since the last election in 2010, there has been a noticeable move towards more moderate policies.Notably one of the party?s leading members, Dimitris Papadimoulis, said last year that the times when Syriza wanted to do away with the euro and return to the drachma ?are gone?, while leader Alexis Tsipras himself issued a statement to ?the German taxpayer? earlier this month, in a bid to alay fears his party wanted to lay the groundwork for ?an agreement with the Eurozone that would allow Greeks to breathe?.

According to Hatzis this move from the far left to a more pragmatic centre is a conscious one and has been a long time in the making.....?However a lot of extremists inside the party made some unreasonable, politically costly, sometimes even purely stupid and ignorant, statements,? Hatzis says alluding to Syriza candidate Rachil Makri?s statement on live television that Greece can remain liquid by unilaterally printing up to ?100 billion, earlier this month.

Syriza, which is a an acronym for ?Coalition of the Radical Left?, have long had a broad spectrum of political persuasions in their midst, only uniting as a single political party, as opposed to an alliance of more than eight different parties, in 2012.

?During the pre-election period the party seemed united, however in the case of a landslide victory the leadership will try to persuade the radical leftist faction that a compromise is necessary in order for Greece to stay in the Eurozone,? Hatzis adds.

?This made sense for them because 74% of the Greek people wish for Greece to stay in the Eurozone.?

According to Hatzis the ?plan B? for the party, should the moderates fail to convince the far-left members, is to break up Syriza.....  

8569 Postings, 2742 Tage wawiduZur Erinnerung: Banken-Stresstest 2014

 
  
    #114889
26.01.15 17:04

39060 Postings, 3918 Tage Anti LemmingS&P stuft Russland auf "junk" herunter

 
  
    #114890
2
26.01.15 19:21
Krieg hat viele Gesichter...

www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-01-26/...t-junk-ruble-plunges-6-week-lows

With the Ruble having plunged 3 handles today alone, it appears perhaps more than a few could see this coming...

*RUSSIAN FEDERATION RATINGS CUT TO JUNK BY S&P
*RUSSIAN FEDERATION CUT TO BB+ FROM BBB- BY S&P; OUTLOOK NEG


Of course, one can;t help but wonder if the timing of the Russian 'junking' is mere coincidence with the $1.5bn settlement with the US DoJ over downgrading America. This comes on a day when The Russia Agriculcural Bank failed to sell 10Y bonds into the market. Russian stocks (ADRs) and the Ruble continue to slide on this news...

--------------------

Der Rubel verlor zum US-Dollar um -3,78 % (Chart unten)

www.bloomberg.com/news/2015-01-26/...s-slide-on-ukraine-fighting.html

Ruble Slides as Russian Stocks Tumble Most Worldwide on Ukraine

The ruble slid the most in emerging markets and Russian stocks ended a three-day rally as bloodshed in Ukraine raised the likelihood for tougher sanctions that would compound the nation?s economic slump.

Worsening violence in Ukraine, where the death toll climbed to more than 5,000, is returning to the radar of investors whose focus had for months switched to slumping oil, higher interest rates and risks to Russia?s investment-grade rating. The U.S. and European Union warned that Russia, which they accuse of aiding rebels in eastern Ukraine, may face further repercussions after a rocket attack on the port city of Mariupol on Saturday.

?Geopolitics are expected to return to the picture on the escalation in eastern Ukraine [A.L.: soll das heißen: bewusste Eskalation durch den Westen?] and talks in the West about new sanctions against Russia,? Vladimir Miklashevsky, an analyst at Danske Bank A/S in Helsinki, said by e-mail. ?Falling oil and a possible fear premium will weigh on the ruble this week.?

The currency weakened 3.4 percent against the dollar to 66.3885 by 7:48 p.m. in Moscow (Chart unten), its biggest decline in more than two weeks. Speculation that OAO Rosneft will swap proceeds from a 400 billion-ruble ($6.1 billion) debt sale into dollars exacerbated the selloff. The dollar-denominated RTS Index slid 4.8 percent to 781.31, the most among more than 90 benchmark equity gauges tracked by Bloomberg.

The escalation in Ukraine comes as Standard & Poor?s assesses whether to keep Russia at its lowest investment-grade rating. S&P said last month there was at least a 50 percent chance that Russia would be cut to junk by the end of January.

?What we see in Ukraine now is a full-blown war, which is a red light for investors into Russian assets,? Andrey Vashevnik, who manages $25 million as the chief investment officer at R&B Investment Fund Ltd. in Moscow, said by phone. ?There?s a strong chance of an S&P downgrade to junk and that would be really painful for Russia in the long run.? [A.L. genau dieses Downgrade wurde gerade ausgesprochen]

The cost of insuring Russian debt against default for five years increased for the first time in three days, climbing 33 basis points to 589. Government bonds fell, sending the yield on five-year notes up 55 basis points to 15.25 percent.

The rate on the securities has almost doubled since President Vladimir Putin?s incursion into Crimea started last March, leading to the annexation of the Black Sea peninsula. The standoff that ensued with the U.S. and EU left Russian companies shut off from international debt markets, prompting a dollar shortage at home that was among the reasons behind the ruble?s 46 percent plunge last year.

Rosneft placed local-currency bonds today with 11.9 percent coupon. Russia?s largest oil producer has $19.5 billion of debt due this year...

The ruble weakened to the lowest on a closing basis since the central bank hoisted interest rates by 650 basis points to 17 percent on Dec. 16 in Moscow, prioritizing the ruble?s stability over shoring up the economy, which analysts expect will contract 3.5 percent this year. The central bank will keep the rate at 17 percent at its Jan. 30 meeting, according to all but one of 18 economists in a Bloomberg survey. ...

-----------------

Chart Rubel zum US-Dollar:

 
Angehängte Grafik:
hc_031.jpg (verkleinert auf 83%) vergrößern
hc_031.jpg

39060 Postings, 3918 Tage Anti LemmingUS-Hauskauf wieder mit nur 3 % Anzahlung

 
  
    #114891
26.01.15 19:58
Aus Schaden sind die Amis erkennbar NICHT klug geworden. War ja auch vor allem das Ausland, dass die Subprime-Suppe auslöffeln musste...

www.marketwatch.com/story/down-payments-get-smaller-2015-01-26

Return of the 3% down payment

It is getting easier for some buyers to land a house with less money up front.

More lenders are lowering down-payment requirements, allowing borrowers to commit 3%?or even less?of a home?s purchase price to get a mortgage. Many had been requiring down payments of at least 20% since the recession began.

Some lenders also are waiving mortgage-related fees, and more are allowing down payments to be made by other parties, such as the borrower?s family.

The deals are aimed at buyers with good credit scores and a steady income who have been unable to save enough for a sizable down payment. They are often targeted at buyers who live in expensive housing markets, where even a small down payment can equal tens of thousands of dollars.

Low-down-payment mortgages have long been available. The Federal Housing Administration insures mortgages with down payments as low as 3.5% and it is lowering the annual mortgage-insurance premiums on new mortgages beginning on Monday. (siehe dazu Chart von Fannie in # 881)...
 

34091 Postings, 5570 Tage KickySyriza verlangt Haircut und hat recht

 
  
    #114892
1
26.01.15 20:09
....The party is demanding a major bondholder "haircut." This is effectively a form of gentle default. People who bought Greek government debt (bonds) with an agreed return will get screwed, but they will get some of their money back (how much depends on how big the haircut is).

Predictably, Europe's big institutions and politicians in other countries aren't exactly happy with the sound of this. Syriza are far to the left of mainstream European politics, and that sort of group isn't usually associated with sound economic management. A glance at their former constituent parties (Syriza started off as a big-tent coalition) shows that "far left" isn't an unreasonable way to describe them. "Trotskyism" pops up quite a lot.
So is it true? Are they a bunch of financial incompetents, about to undo the hard but necessary work of austerity?

Not quite. In fact, 87% of economists surveyed by Bloomberg thought Greece would get at least some debt relief if Syriza were elected. A letter including two Nobel prize winning economist calling for debt relief was sent to the FT last week.

Greece's new finance minister, Yanis Varoufakis, is an economics professor. He's been wheeled out at pretty much every opportunity to give interviews to the financial media. Here's what he told Bloomberg (emphasis ours):

... In 2010 unfortunately, tragically, our nation and particularly our state, became insolvent. How did Europe, official Europe, in its infinite wisdom, address this problem? It did this, in inverted commas, by unloading the largest loan in human history on the most insolvent of European states... It was a typical case of extend and pretend, writ large and applied to a whole nation...

If you're in denial about a bankruptcy and you treat it like a liquidity problem, and you take a huge amount of money and dump it on an insolvent entity, you're simply deepening the bankruptcy and extending it into the future.

It's really hard not to agree once you look at the absurd amount of austerity that Greece would have to implement to meet its current stated goals.

For starters, take a look at Greece's GDP. In the US, GDP fell by just over 5% from peak to trough, UK's recession GDP wiped away about 7% of GDP. Both countries are now back above their pre-crisis levels. Greek GDP fell by more than 25% and it's barely started to tick up again, let alone return to previous levels:

To return debt levels to about 60% of GDP, which is the aim of the EU's fiscal rules, Greece will have to run a primary surplus (so taking in more in tax than it spends on everything except debt interest) equivalent to 7.2% of its GDP. Every year from 2020 to 2030 (after a whole bunch in the next five years).

If that sounds like it would be painful, it's because it would be. In fact, it's so painful that it has close to no precedent in any advanced economy in the whole of recent history.

This sort of semi-permanent austerity, practically without historical precedent, is a denial of reality (something that Syriza and similar parties are often accused of). It hasn't happened before, it isn't going to happen now, and pretending that it will is a symptom of a Calvinist attitude to debt that holds a lot of sway around the world, no matter how much pain it causes.

Most of Greece's debt isn't even held by private bondholders or financial institutions. It's held by international and European institutions:
http://static5.uk.businessinsider.com/image/...0at%204.09.09%20pm.png
In short, it's in their power to do something about it, at relatively little cost (far less human misery than is currently being imposed on Greece).

Read more:http://uk.businessinsider.com/...everyone-needs-to-get-over-it-2015-1

 

34091 Postings, 5570 Tage KickyHershey's Just Blocked British Chocolate in USA

 
  
    #114893
1
26.01.15 20:13
http://uk.businessinsider.com/hersheys-bans-british-chocolate-2015-1
eigentlich unfassbar,warum verhandeln die überhaupt noch über Freihandelszonen ,wenn das so einseitig wirk?  

34091 Postings, 5570 Tage KickyTsipras's erstes Treffen-der russische Botschafter

 
  
    #114894
26.01.15 20:27
als neuer Premierminister Griechenlands   http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-01-26/...ear-message-his-first-act

und der Besuch des Klosters Kaisariani:A dark part of the modern history of Greece was written at the Kaisariani rifle range. There, on 1 May 1944, 200 Greek political activists were executed by the Nazi occupiers as a revenge for the death of German general Franz Krech, who had been killed in a guerrilla ambush near Molaoi a few days before.

In the early hours of June 17, 1944, 10 men of the United Panhellenic Organization of Youth and guerillas of the National Liberation Front were killed, when trapped by the Nazi forces at the Monastery of Kaisariani, where they had been hiding.....http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kaisariani

das wird vielen so gar nicht schmecken  

34091 Postings, 5570 Tage KickySaxo Bank: The Syriza Victory Is A Disaster for EU

 
  
    #114895
1
26.01.15 20:36
....The answer to the market reaction lies in a very different place: most of debt has changed hands since this crisis started from local European banks to EU and ECB through mainly the European Financial Stability Facility, Greece needs to pay EUR 22.3 billion in principal and interest on various loans - a tidy sum as it equals pretty much what what the government pays its state employees (Source: New York times, Nomura and IMF)

The creditors are even interesting: Greece is scheduled to pay the ECB EUR8 bn, with EUR7.6 bn of that coming due in July/August (Let us assume there is some kind of deal no later than June due to this fact!)

Who owns Greek debt?

The (rough) break down of creditors should a Grexit happen is like this: (Source: MacroPolis)

  ESM: EUR145 bn in loans. The ESM is by far the largest creditor of Greece. We have "socialised" the risk from bank balance sheets to the tax payers of Europe. It's also the most favorable (to Greece) in terms.
   
  IMF: EUR20.1 bn
   
   ECB:  It has more than EUR55 bn accumulated under the SMP program.


The market will be waiting for the creditors to comment before it makes a big move

?It is clear that Greece will remain dependent on support and it?s also clear that this aid will be provided only when it is in an aid program,? said Bundesbank president Jens Weidmann in an interview with television broadcaster ARD. (WSJ)....
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-01-26/...a-victory-disaster-europe  

39060 Postings, 3918 Tage Anti LemmingWährend die Mittelklasse global evaporiert,

 
  
    #114896
1
27.01.15 10:21
bemühen sich Oligarchen und Krisenprofiteure, die sich an deren Niedergang bereicht haben, nach Kräften, ihre Schäfchen noch rechtzeitig ins Trockene zu bringen - z. B. in Ländereien auf Neuseeland (für die Zeit nach dem Großen Knall).

Man könnte den Artikel von Michael Krieger auch, ein Zitat daraus ausborgend, mit "Die Angst der sich kriminell bereichernden Oligarchen vor den Mistforken" überschreiben.

Ja, trotz Facebook-Pseudomoderne erinnert die globale Gemengelage fatal an die (teils noch mit Mistforken geführten) Bauernkriege der frühen Neuzeit.

----------------

http://libertyblitzkrieg.com/2015/01/26/...-impoverished-pleb-masses/

As the Middle Class Evaporates, Global Oligarchs Plan Their Escape from the Impoverished Pleb Masses
Michael Krieger

The middle class has shrunk consistently over the past half-century. Until 2000, the reason was primarily because more Americans moved up the income ladder. But since then, the reason has shifted: There is a greater share of households on the lower rungs of the economic ladder.

? From yesterday?s New York Times article: Middle Class Shrinks Further as More Fall Out Instead of Climbing Up

At a packed session in Davos, former hedge fund director Robert Johnson revealed that worried hedge fund managers were already planning their escapes. ?I know hedge fund managers all over the world who are buying airstrips and farms in places like New Zealand because they think they need a getaway,? he said.

? From the Guardian?s article: As Inequality Soars, the Nervous Super Rich are Already Planning Their Escapes

So the other day, President Barack Obama once again demonstrated his contempt for the American public by using his State of the Union address to pejoratively blurt out meaningless phrases such as ?but tonight, we turn the page? and: ?The verdict is clear. Middle-class economics works. Expanding opportunity works. And these policies will continue to work, as long as politics don?t get in the way.?
.
Sorry, but why are ?we turning the page? tonight? Weren?t you elected over six years ago? Why didn?t you turn the page in 2009?

Meanwhile, I?m astounded by the phrase ?middle-class economics works.? Perhaps it does, but how would anyone know? The only thing I?ve seen from his administration is a laser focused determination to consolidate all American wealth and power into the hands of a tiny group of oligarchs and their lapdogs.

Indeed, the following articles published in the last two days by the New York Times and the Guardian show the true results of Obama?s oligarch-coddling legacy. The Obama years have been nothing short of an oligarch crime scene.

First, from the New York Times:

The middle class that President Obama identified in his State of the Union speech last week as the foundation of the American economy has been shrinking for almost half a century.

In the late 1960s, more than half of the households in the United States were squarely in the middle, earning, in today?s dollars, $35,000 to $100,000 a year. Few people noticed or cared as the size of that group began to fall, because the shift was primarily caused by more Americans climbing the economic ladder into upper-income brackets.

But since 2000, the middle-class share of households has continued to narrow, the main reason being that more people have fallen to the bottom. At the same time, fewer of those in this group fit the traditional image of a married couple with children at home, a gap increasingly filled by the elderly.


Remember, middle-class economics works. If the goal is its total destruction.

These charts from the New York Times do not tell the tale of a thriving economy:

[Chart am Ende des Postings, A.L.]

Even as the American middle class has shrunk, it has gone through a transformation. The 53 million households that remain in the middle class ? about 43 percent of all households ? look considerably different from their middle-class predecessors of a previous generation, according to a New York Times analysis of census data....
.
One of the main reasons we have seen such a low level of resistance to this historic oligarch theft, is due to the successful brainwashing of the American public. Despite clear evidence to the contrary, 60% of what is left of the middle-class still think they are going to get rich. They have no idea that they are really just a bunch of deluded plebs unable to see how systematically and catestrophically they are being played.

Meanwhile, the Guardian describes how many global oligarchs are already planning their escape. These people know full well they are being enriched criminally. Their response is to take as much money as possible and flee before the pitchforks emerge

see: The Pitchforks are Coming?? A Dire Warning from a Member of the 0.01%
http://libertyblitzkrieg.com/2014/06/27/...chforks-are-coming-for-us/

....  
Angehängte Grafik:
screen-shot-2015-01-26-at-10.jpg (verkleinert auf 49%) vergrößern
screen-shot-2015-01-26-at-10.jpg

34091 Postings, 5570 Tage KickyNYSE mit Rule 48 um Panikverkauf zu vermeiden

 
  
    #114897
1
27.01.15 15:34
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-01-27/...48-pre-empt-selling-panic

Rule 48. Exemptive Relief ? Extreme Market Volatility Condition......
Dow 500 Punkte runter seit Freitag Blutbad  
Angehängte Grafik:
dow_0.jpg (verkleinert auf 85%) vergrößern
dow_0.jpg

34091 Postings, 5570 Tage KickyGoldman Sachs s Cohn:Öl bis $30

 
  
    #114898
2
27.01.15 15:36
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2015-01-26/...30-in-extended-slump.html

Oil prices will probably continue to decline and could reach as low as $30 a barrel, according to Gary Cohn, president of Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

?We?re probably in the lower, longer view,? Cohn, a former oil trader, said Monday in an interview with CNBC. .....  

34091 Postings, 5570 Tage KickyGreece will Schuldenerlass,Germany rasselt m.Säbel

 
  
    #114899
2
27.01.15 15:51
Markets have yet to grasp that the rift between EU creditors and Greece's firebrand premier Alexis Tspiras is 'so large as to be unbridgeable', warns Nomura

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

The new Greece of Alexis Tsipras will run out of money by early March. It will then face a series of escalating crunch points that will end in default and a return to the drachma unless it can reach a deal with EU creditors.

Greece must repay ?3.4bn to the International Monetary Fund in February and March. Tax revenues have collapsed as Greeks preempt what they hope will be a repeal of austerity taxes. ?There is only ?1.9bn left in the cash kitty, and the government has spending costs of $2.5bn coming up. Somebody needs to lend the country money soon,? said Megan Greene, from Manulife Asset Management. ....



The Greek media reports that capital flight last week reached ?10bn as it became the clear that the amalgam of Maoists, ex-Leninists and radical socialists known as Syriza would win the election. Barclays estimates the outflow at ?20bn since early December, roughly 12pc of GDP.

The European Central Bank is for now stepping into the breach. Liquidity support for Greek banks spiked to ?54bn at the end of December, and is rising fast. If the ECB were to pull the plug, Greece would spiral into a systemic crisis immediately.

Yet that could in theory happen as soon February 28 when the temporary extension on Greece?s bail-out package expires. The final drama will occur in July and August when Greece has to repay ?7bn to the ECB. ?It is absolutely certain that we can?t agree to any debt relief involving Greek bonds held by the ECB. That is legally impossible,? said Benoît C?uré, an ECB board member.

One banker with close ties to Greece said the crisis may come to a head much sooner. ?If there is no bail-out extension, Greece faces a really serious crunch. The EU may give Tsipras an extra month but they are not going to let this drag on. Events will accelerate,? he said

Mr Tsipras held out an olive branch to Germany and EU creditors after his landslide victory. ?There will neither be a catastrophic clash nor will kowtowing continue. We are fully aware that the Greek people haven?t given us carte blanche,? he said.

Yet his election campaign was one long vow to repudiate the austerity demands of the EU-IMF Troika from his ?first day in office?, even as he insisted that Greece will not give up the euro. He aims for grand debt conference modelled on the London accord in 1953 when past enemies scarred by war agreed to rebuild Europe on new foundations. Germany secured 50pc debt relief. That is what he wants for Greece.

Mr Tsipras?s decision to form a coalition with the right-wing ANEL, or Independent Greeks party - rather than the centrist Potami party - strongly suggests that he intends to force a showdown with the Troika. ........
The only policy that ANEL has in common with Syriza is a shared zeal to annul much of the ?245bn debt imposed upon the Greek state in a series of Troika loan packages that allowed German and French banks to dump their bonds on taxpayers.

Dimitris Drakopoulos, from Nomura, said the Syriza-ANEL coalition will be even more ?confrontational? than if Syriza had won an outright majority. ?We think the divergence of views with the Troika is so large as to be unbridgeable,? he said. ....
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/...ny-rattles-sabre.html  

39060 Postings, 3918 Tage Anti LemmingDurable Good Orders enttäuschen deutlich

 
  
    #114900
2
27.01.15 16:20
www.marketwatch.com/story/...urable-goods-sink-in-december-2015-01-27

Fourth decline in the past five months

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) ? Orders for durable goods declined sharply in December, raising questions about whether businesses are really ready to ramp up investment in 2015.

Durable-goods orders sank 3.4% last month, the Commerce Department said Tuesday, while November?s reading was marked down to a 2.1% decline from a drop of 0.9%.

Economists polled by MarketWatch had expected a 0.1% increase in orders, although expectations were all over the map. The weak December reading was the fourth decline in the past five months.

Stock futures losses steepened after the durable goods report was released. Construction equipment maker Caterpillar CAT, -7.63%   separately forecast profits well below analyst expectations.

...?More numbers like this and the risk of the Federal Reserve backing off with a rate hike becomes more real,? said Jennifer Lee, an economist with BMO Capital Markets.

[Das haben wir hier schon letztes Jahr prophezeit, A.L.]

The surprising decline appeared to stem in part from how commercial-aircraft orders are calculated. Nondefense aircraft orders fell 55.5% in December.

But there was weakness across the board. Orders excluding the volatile transportation sector were still down 0.8%, the third straight decline. Orders excluding defense were down 3.2%.

And orders for core capital goods ? a stand-in for general business investment ? declined 0.6% in December.

The softness in orders casts doubt on whether businesses will boost investment in 2015, a key ingredient for faster economic growth. Many economists predict this will be the year U.S. reaches or exceeds 3% GDP growth.

?The disappointing trend in core investment activity is especially worrying as it brings into question the expectation for the rotation in the driver of growth from consumer spending, which remains buoyant, to business capital investment, which continues to be lackluster,? said Millan Mulraine, deputy head of U.S. research at TD Securities....  

8569 Postings, 2742 Tage wawiduSturz des Tages

 
  
    #114901
3
27.01.15 17:32
 
Angehängte Grafik:
msft8m.png (verkleinert auf 82%) vergrößern
msft8m.png

2172 Postings, 1885 Tage Sufdldie ammis

 
  
    #114902
27.01.15 17:39
drehen mal wieder am Rad. Und das PlungeProtectionTeam steckt in ner Bostoner Schneewehe fest.   : D  

8569 Postings, 2742 Tage wawiduWas macht eigentlich ...?

 
  
    #114903
4
27.01.15 17:52
der ehemalige Super-Highflyer TESLA? Nun ja, was alle solche Blasenwerte über kurz oder lang tun.  
Angehängte Grafik:
tsla5jd.png (verkleinert auf 82%) vergrößern
tsla5jd.png

2172 Postings, 1885 Tage Sufdlschaffen

 
  
    #114904
3
27.01.15 17:53
sie es noch bis market close die Pumpe zur exchange zu wursteln?  
Angehängte Grafik:
nyse_ppt.jpg (verkleinert auf 78%) vergrößern
nyse_ppt.jpg

34091 Postings, 5570 Tage KickyMoody s +S&P drohen Greece m.Herabstufung

 
  
    #114905
27.01.15 18:58
Wien/Athen. Die Ratingagentur Moody's droht Griechenland nach dem Wahlsieg der linken Syriza-Partei mit einer Herabstufung der Bonität. Der Wahlausgang erhöhe die Wachstums-, Finanzierungs- und Liquiditätsrisiken, erklärte Moody's am Dienstag. Derzeit bewertet die Agentur die griechische Kreditwürdigkeit mit Caa1. Das bedeutet hohe Ausfallrisiken für Gläubiger, die ihr Geld nur bei günstiger Entwicklung zurückbekommen. Erst am Montag hatte die Ratingagentur S&P mit einer Herabstufung gedroht. An der Börse in Athen gehen die Aktien der griechischen Institute Piraeus, Alpha Bank, Eurobank und National Bank of Greece in die Knie. Die vier Titel büssen jeweils mehr als 10 Prozent ein.

Für so gut wie alle europäischen Bankaktien ist es ein roter Dienstag... die Raiffeisen Bank International kracht um über sechs Prozent südwärts. Bitter. ..

http://wirtschaftsblatt.at/home/boerse/wien/...e-knallt-auf-930-Euro-

The Bonds Of The Third Largest Austrian Bank Are Crashing
On the heels of the Swiss National Bank's decision to un-peg from the Euro, Raiffeisen Bank's Swiss-Franc-Denominated mortgage worries have resurfaced (along with Russian/Ukraine writedowns) and nowhere is that more evident than the total collapse of the bank's bonds (from over 95c to 65c today). Even after the ECB Q? (and some apparent intervention to weaken the Swissy) bonds kept free-falling. Perhaps, The Freedom Party's demands for a bailout will grow louder as the contagion concerns across Europe's banking system explode...

Subordinated bonds sold by the Vienna-based lender slid as low as 63.4 cents on the euro, with yields of as much as 10 percent, after trading at 91 cents at the start of December, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

?When bonds get to 60, 70 cents it?s fair to say it?s a sign of distress,? said Robert Montague,....
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2015-01-20/...-currency-woes-mount.html  

34091 Postings, 5570 Tage KickyDeutsche Banken nur begrenzt betroffen in Greece

 
  
    #114906
1
27.01.15 19:08
Der deutliche Wahlsieg des reformkritischen Linksbündnisses Syriza in Griechenland macht zwar die Aktionäre deutscher Banken nervös. Die hiesigen Institute sind in dem südeuropäischen Schuldenstaat aber nur noch in begrenztem Maße engagiert.

Im vergangenen September - neuere Zahlen gibt es nicht - hatten sie dort insgesamt knapp 23,5 Milliarden Euro im Feuer, wie aus Daten des Bundesverbandes deutscher Banken (BdB) hervorgeht. Davon entfallen rund 4,6 Milliarden auf Banken und 3,6 Milliarden auf Unternehmen und Privatpersonen. Der größte Teil - gut 15 Milliarden Euro - sind Forderungen gegenüber öffentlichen Haushalten, die fast ausschließlich von der staatlichen Förderbank KfW gehalten werden. Dabei handelte es sich um Kredite der KfW aus dem ersten Hilfspaket für Griechenland, für die der Bund in voller Höhe bürgt.

Die Deutsche Bank war nach eigenen Angaben in Griechenland zuletzt noch mit knapp 300 Millionen Euro engagiert, die Commerzbank mit knapp 400 Millionen. Nach einer Analystenstudie von JP Morgan sind die hiesigen Geldhäuser damit neben den französischen Banken zwar die größten Gläubiger. Trotzdem gaben die Experten Entwarnung: Bei einem Ausstieg Griechenlands aus der Euro-Zone ("Grexit") seien die Folgen für die Finanzinstitute angesichts der geringen Summen begrenzt.....

http://wirtschaftsblatt.at/home/boerse/europa/...erse/europa/index.do  

Seite: Zurück 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
4595 | 4596 | 4597 | 4597  Weiter  
   Antwort einfügen - nach oben

  2 Nutzer wurden vom Verfasser von der Diskussion ausgeschlossen: derunwissende, lehna